Strasbourg vs Monaco Prédiction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
Prédiction IA Monaco ou match nul
28%
26%
46%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Strasbourg vs Monaco : Sportiko estime que Strasbourg a 28% de chances de s'imposer, Monaco 46% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 12 Sep 2026, 17:14.

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  • L'équipe à domicile marque 75%
  • 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
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Match Report

Strasbourg and Monaco played out a 1–1 draw in Ligue 1's fourth matchday, with both goals arriving in the second half after a goalless opening 45 minutes. Strasbourg held the greater share of possession at 56% and forced seven corners to Monaco's two, though neither side could find the net before the break.

Monaco took the lead in unexpected fashion when Sadibou Sané turned the ball into his own net on 52 minutes, gifting the visitors an advantage. Paris Brunner levelled for Strasbourg just 19 minutes later, restoring parity and ensuring the points were shared. The result meant Monaco's win did not materialise, despite our pre-match AI model having rated that outcome as the most likely at 46%.

Both sides finished with similar shot tallies — 12 for Strasbourg and 13 for Monaco — though neither goalkeeper was heavily tested, with only three and two shots on target respectively. Yellow cards for Pape Diop and Aleksandr Golovin added some late needle to proceedings, but the match ultimately ended all square.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

22'
Anis Soubeir ⇄ Matthis Abline
Diogo Sousa ⇄ Dário Essugo
45'
HT 0–0
Sadibou Sané Own Goal
52' 1–0
Jacobo Ortega ⇄ Conrad Harder
69'
1–1 71'
Paris Brunner assist: Lamine Camara
72'
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo ⇄ Mathys Detourbet
Pape Diop Yellow Card
78'
Giovanni Reyna ⇄ Samir El Mourabet
81'
Sebastian Nanasi ⇄ Samuel Amo-Ameyaw
82'
90'
Aleksandr Golovin Yellow Card
Gessime Yassine ⇄ Karim Coulibaly
90+2'
FT 1–1
Strasbourg

Match Stats

Monaco
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Corner Kicks 7
0 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
439 Total passes 560
368 Passes accurate 509
10 Free Kicks 9
Strasbourg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
21 Pape Diop M 7.1 90' 2 56 (49%) 2
4 Jeyland Mitchell D 7.0 90' 42 (37%) 3
36 Oso D 7.0 90' 4 51 (47%)
6 Ismael Doukouré D 6.9 90' 43 (38%) 1
14 Dário Essugo M 6.8 44' 23 (22%)
10 Giovanni Reyna M 6.7 81' 1 33 (30%) 3
16 Genesis Antwi D 6.7 90' 1 36 (28%) 2
23 Diogo Sousa F 6.6 46' 17 (14%)
1 Filip Jørgensen G 6.6 90' 37 (26%)
7 Samuel Amo-Ameyaw F 6.5 8' 4 (3%)
30 Jacobo Ortega F 6.5 69' 1 18 (9%) 1
80 Gessime Yassine M 6.4 92' 2 35 (28%) 3
29 Samir El Mourabet M 6.4 9' 2 (2%)
11 Sebastian Nanasi F 6.4 82' 2 35 (31%)
40 Conrad Harder F 6.2 21' 6 (4%)
Monaco
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
29 Paris Brunner F 8.2 90' 1 3 13 (12%)
8 Lamine Camara M 7.7 90' 1 1 61 (56%) 4
15 Eric Dier D 7.2 90' 2 90 (86%) 2
10 Aleksandr Golovin M 7.1 90' 2 30 (27%) 2
6 Denis Zakaria M 7.0 90' 2 58 (55%) 2
2 Vanderson D 6.9 90' 1 60 (49%) 1
20 Nazinho D 6.8 90' 76 (68%) 3
17 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo M 6.7 72' 33 (29%) 3
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G 6.5 90' 19 (17%)
7 Mathys Detourbet F 6.5 18' 10 (8%)
11 Matthis Abline F 6.4 68' 22 (17%)
46 Anis Soubeir M 6.4 22' 1 8 (7%)
72 Sadibou Sané D 6.2 90' 75 (74%) 3
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Notre approche
Monaco ou match nul
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Strasbourg
LDWWL
Monaco
WDWWW
Last 3 meetings Strasbourg · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Strasbourg
Gessime Yassine 2 gls
S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls
Monaco
Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Head to Head: Strasbourg vs Monaco

1 Strasbourg Wins
1 Draws
1 Monaco Wins
Date Home Score Away
17 May 2026 Strasbourg 5 - 4 Monaco
31 Aug 2025 Monaco 3 - 2 Strasbourg
19 Apr 2025 Monaco 0 - 0 Strasbourg
Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Paris FC L 2 - 1
12 Sep H Monaco D 1 - 1
06 Sep A Estac Troyes W 2 - 6
29 Aug H Lens W 2 - 1
21 Aug A Marseille L 4 - 0

Monaco — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Lens W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Strasbourg D 1 - 1
04 Sep A Paris Saint Germain W 1 - 2
30 Aug H Marseille W 2 - 0
27 Aug H Gornik Zabrze W 4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Monaco

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Filipe Luís
1 Hrádecký
20 Nazinho
15 Dier
72 Sané
2 Vanderson
6 Zakaria
8 Camara
17 Idumbo-Muzambo
10 Golovin
46 Soubeir
29 Brunner

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Hrádecký G
2 Vanderson D
72 Sadibou Sané D
15 E. Dier D
20 Flávio Nazinho D
8 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
46 A. Soubeir M
10 A. Golovin M
17 S. Idumbo-Muzambo M
29 Paris Josua Brunner F

Substitutes

13 C. Mawissa Elebi D
16 P. Köhn G
7 M. Detourbet F
19 Pape Cabral M
14 M. Biereth F
47 S. Benzahra M
11 M. Abline F
22 M. Salisu D
49 I. Touré M

Strasbourg

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hugo Oliveira
1 Jörgensen
36 Oso
6 Doukouré
4 Mitchell
16 Antwi
10 Reyna
21 Diop
80 Yassine
11 Nanasi
30 Ortega
23 Sousa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Jörgensen G
16 G. Antwi D
4 J. Mitchell D
6 I. Doukouré D
36 Oso D
80 Gessime Yassine M
21 P. Diop M
10 G. Reyna M
23 Diogo Sousa F
30 J. Ortega F
11 S. Nanasi F

Substitutes

12 M. Piekutowski G
24 L. Høgsberg D
31 Abdoul Karim Coulibaly D
28 Tyrese Noubissie M
14 Dário Essugo M
29 S. El Mourabet M
45 B. Brantlind M
7 S. Amo-Ameyaw F
40 C. Harder F

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