RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prédiction
Pronostic RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV : Sportiko estime que RB Leipzig a 67% de chances de s'imposer, Hamburger SV 14% et le match nul 19%. Dernière mise à jour : 13 Sep 2026, 15:24.
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Match Report
RB Leipzig produced a dominant display at home, thrashing Hamburger SV 5–0 in Bundesliga Matchday 3. The hosts took control early, with Tidiam Gomis breaking the deadlock in the 17th minute before Antonio Nusa doubled the advantage on 28 minutes. Leipzig headed into the break with a comfortable 2–0 lead, having controlled possession and territory throughout the opening half.
The second half brought more of the same, with Leipzig turning the contest into a rout in a remarkable five-minute spell. Willi Orbán headed home on 72 minutes, and Christopher Nkunku added a fourth just two minutes later, with Rômulo completing the scoring on 77 minutes. Hamburg rarely threatened, managing just four shots on goal across the entire match compared to Leipzig's six, with the hosts enjoying 64% of possession throughout.
The result was a comprehensive statement from Leipzig, who showed no mercy against a Hamburg side that struggled to cope at this level. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leipzig win as the most likely outcome at 67%, a call that proved well-founded by the final whistle.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
RB Leipzig
Match Stats
RB Leipzig
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Antonio Nusa F | 9.0 | 78' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 (24%) | 1 |
| 27 Tidiam Gomis F | 8.8 | 74' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 (20%) | 1 |
| 4 Willi Orbán D | 8.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 92 (86%) | 1 |
| 26 Maarten Vandevoordt G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | – |
| 28 Christopher Nkunku F | 7.8 | 55' | 1 | – | 4 | 26 (25%) | – |
| 40 Rômulo F | 7.8 | 16' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 6 Ezechiel Banzuzi M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 49 (42%) | 3 |
| 22 David Raum D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 76 (70%) | – |
| 39 Benjamin Henrichs D | 7.5 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 39 (36%) | 2 |
| 17 Ridle Baku D | 7.4 | 16' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | – |
| 3 Maxime Estève D | 7.4 | 16' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | – |
| 21 Neil El Aynaoui M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 60 (56%) | 1 |
| 8 Assan Ouédraogo M | 7.1 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 11 (8%) | – |
| 35 Max Finkgräfe D | 7.0 | 12' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 23 Castello Lukeba D | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | – | 72 (67%) | – |
| 10 Brajan Gruda F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 43 (32%) | 1 |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Terem Moffi F | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 21 Nicolai Remberg M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (37%) | 3 |
| 11 Albert Grønbæk M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (30%) | 5 |
| 15 Yussuf Poulsen F | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 6 (3%) | – |
| 27 Patson Daka M | 6.3 | 73' | – | – | 3 | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 6 Albert Sambi Lokonga M | 6.2 | 78' | – | – | – | 35 (31%) | 1 |
| 19 Otto Stange F | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 7 Zakaria El Ouahdi M | 6.1 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | – |
| 23 Jordan Torunarigha D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (33%) | – |
| 20 Fábio Vieira M | 5.9 | 17' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 18 Bakery Jatta M | 5.7 | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 3 David Møller Wolfe M | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (21%) | – |
| 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (32%) | – |
| 17 Warmed Omari D | 5.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 43 Shafiq Nandja D | 5.5 | 73' | – | – | – | 35 (30%) | 1 |
| 24 Nicolás Capaldo D | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (22%) | 1 |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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A. Nusa
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar 2026 | Hamburger SV | 1 - 2 | RB Leipzig |
| 18 Oct 2025 | RB Leipzig | 2 - 1 | Hamburger SV |
| 27 Jan 2018 | RB Leipzig | 1 - 1 | Hamburger SV |
RB Leipzig — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Bayer Leverkusen | L | 2 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Hamburger SV | W | 5 - 0 |
| 10 Sep | A Como | L | 4 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Werder Bremen | L | 3 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | W | 3 - 0 |
Hamburger SV — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H 1. FC Köln | W | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A RB Leipzig | L | 5 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H FSV Mainz 05 | L | 0 - 5 |
| 29 Aug | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | A Verl | W | 0 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
RB Leipzig
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: M. Demichelis
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | M. Vandevoordt | G |
| 39 | B. Henrichs | D |
| 4 | W. Orbán | D |
| 23 | C. Lukeba | D |
| 22 | D. Raum | D |
| 6 | E. Banzuzi | M |
| 21 | N. El Aynaoui | M |
| 8 | A. Ouédraogo | M |
| 10 | B. Gruda | F |
| 27 | T. Gomis | F |
| 7 | A. Nusa | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | Rômulo | F |
| 3 | M. Estève | D |
| 35 | Max Finkgräfe | D |
| 9 | Marc Guiu | F |
| 1 | Ø. Nyland | G |
| 30 | A. MaksimoviÄ | M |
| 28 | C. Nkunku | F |
| 17 | R. Baku | D |
| 13 | N. Seiwald | M |
Hamburger SV
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Polzin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes | G |
| 43 | S. Nandja | D |
| 23 | J. Torunarigha | D |
| 24 | N. Capaldo | D |
| 7 | Z. El Ouahdi | M |
| 6 | A. Sambi Lokonga | M |
| 21 | N. Remberg | M |
| 3 | D. Møller Wolfe | M |
| 27 | P. Daka | M |
| 11 | A. Grønbæk | M |
| 15 | Y. Poulsen | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | M. Adeline | M |
| 18 | B. Jatta | M |
| 37 | L. Lemke | D |
| 9 | T. Moffi | F |
| 4 | B. Nadir | M |
| 17 | W. Omari | D |
| 19 | Otto Emerson Stange | F |
| 12 | S. Tangvik | G |
| 20 | Fábio Vieira | M |