Malaga vs Elche Prédiction

La Liga · Regular Season - 18

03 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Elche

Away

Prédiction IA Elche ou match nul

29%

28%

44%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Malaga vs Elche : Sportiko estime que Malaga a 29% de chances de s'imposer, Elche 44% et le match nul 28%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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76% 72%

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Malaga

LLDDL

Elche

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings Malaga · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Malaga faces Elche in a crucial La Liga clash on January 3, 2027. Both teams will be aiming to secure critical points as the season progresses. Malaga has shown a tendency to control possession, averaging 55% in recent matches, while Elche's defense has struggled, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game this season. The outcome may hinge on Malaga's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, especially given Elche's defensive vulnerabilities. This match promises to be pivotal for both sides in their pursuit of league stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Elche goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	7	7	4	2	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	3	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Malaga goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Malaga

No scorer data.

Elche

Fer Niño 5 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Home Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 29% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

67%

3.5

33%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	7.5%	7.3%	4.0%	1.6%
1	5.5%	13.0%	9.3%	5.1%	2.1%
2	4.5%	7.3%	6.0%	3.3%	1.3%
3	1.9%	3.1%	2.6%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Malaga	Draw	Elche
Malaga	16.9%	4.6%	2.6%
Draw	10.7%	16.4%	15.6%
Elche	1.9%	4.5%	26.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Malaga vs Elche

1 Malaga Wins

0 Draws

2 Elche Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2015	Malaga	1 - 2	Elche
21 Dec 2014	Elche	1 - 2	Malaga
03 May 2014	Malaga	0 - 1	Elche

Voir les 4 confrontations — Premium

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

Elche — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Espanyol	W	1 - 3
15 Sep	H Real Madrid	L	2 - 3
12 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
28 Aug	A Racing Santander	L	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.