Sevilla vs Malaga Prédiction

La Liga · Regular Season - 15

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Malaga

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Malaga

15%

26%

59%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Sevilla vs Malaga : Sportiko estime que Sevilla a 15% de chances de s'imposer, Malaga 59% et le match nul 26%. Dernière mise à jour : 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Sevilla

LWWDL

Malaga

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Sevilla · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In their upcoming La Liga clash, Sevilla will look to leverage their strong home record against a struggling Malaga side. Sevilla has consistently showcased a robust defense, allowing only 1.2 goals per game on average this season, while Malaga has struggled to find the net, averaging just 0.8 goals per game. With Sevilla's midfield controlling possession and creating scoring opportunities, they will aim to dominate the match tempo. If Malaga is to pull off an upset, they will need to tighten their defense and capitalize on counter-attacking chances. Overall, Sevilla is favored based on current form and statistical performance metrics.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Malaga goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	13	12	7	3	1
1	5	12	10	6	2	1
2	2	4	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Sevilla goals · most likely 0–1 (12.6%)

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	12.6%	12.3%	7.2%	3.1%
1	4.8%	12.4%	9.6%	5.6%	2.5%
2	2.5%	4.3%	3.8%	2.2%	1.0%
3	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sevilla	Draw	Malaga
Sevilla	8.3%	3.5%	2.3%
Draw	6.5%	17.1%	20.2%
Malaga	0.9%	3.6%	37.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sevilla vs Malaga

2 Sevilla Wins

0 Draws

1 Malaga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2018	Malaga	0 - 1	Sevilla
30 Sep 2017	Sevilla	2 - 0	Malaga
01 May 2017	Malaga	4 - 2	Sevilla

Voir les 10 confrontations — Premium

Sevilla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Barcelona	L	1 - 3
16 Sep	A Deportivo La Coruna	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	H Valencia	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Espanyol	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Atletico Madrid	L	1 - 3

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.