Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 1

23 Aug 2026, 13:00

Post on X

Aston Villa

Away

Prédiction IA Aston Villa ou match nul

31%

30%

39%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Brighton vs Aston Villa prediction: Sportiko gives Brighton a 31% chance of winning, Aston Villa 39% and the draw 30%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:43.

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76% 73% 73% 73%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Brighton

LLWLW

Aston Villa

LLWWD

Last 3 meetings Brighton · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Brighton faces Aston Villa in a Premier League clash that promises to be competitive. Brighton has shown strong home form, highlighted by their effective possession-based play and an average of 56% possession this season. Aston Villa, known for their counter-attacking prowess, will look to exploit any defensive lapses, especially given their average of 1.8 goals per game in recent outings. Key players to watch include Brighton's creative midfielders and Villa's pacey forwards. This match could hinge on which team can control the midfield battle and take their chances effectively.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aston Villa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	7	3	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	6	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Brighton goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

31%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

31%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 31% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	9.4%	7.4%	3.3%	1.1%
1	8.0%	14.5%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.6%	7.5%	5.0%	2.2%	0.7%
3	2.2%	2.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Brighton	Draw	Aston Villa
Brighton	17.9%	4.4%	2.0%
Draw	12.2%	19.4%	14.7%
Aston Villa	1.7%	4.5%	23.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Brighton vs Aston Villa

0 Brighton Wins

0 Draws

3 Aston Villa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Feb 2026	Aston Villa	1 - 0	Brighton
03 Dec 2025	Brighton	3 - 4	Aston Villa
02 Apr 2025	Brighton	0 - 3	Aston Villa

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Brighton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 May	H Manchester United	L	0 - 3
17 May	A Leeds	L	1 - 0
09 May	H Wolves	W	3 - 0
02 May	A Newcastle	L	3 - 1
21 Apr	H Chelsea	W	3 - 0

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Bayern München	L	2 - 1
25 Jul	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
24 May	A Manchester City	W	1 - 2
15 May	H Liverpool	W	4 - 2
10 May	A Burnley	D	2 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.