Turku PS vs Ilves Prédiction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 16

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Ilves

Away

Prédiction IA Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Turku PS

53%

30%

17%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Turku PS vs Ilves : Sportiko estime que Turku PS a 53% de chances de s'imposer, Ilves 17% et le match nul 30%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Timeline

▮ 14'

V. Kumpu Yellow Card

N. Talo Yellow Card

29' ▮

▮ 32'

T. Hytönen Yellow Card

⚽ 0–1 34'

T. Hytönen

42' ⚽ 1–1

⚽ 1–2 45'

HT 1–2

N. Talo ⇄ M. Kauppila

46' ⇄

⇄ 46'

J. Kilo ⇄ A. Popovitch

Yellow Card

49' ▮

K. Visser Yellow Card

57' ▮

58' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Y. Raap ⇄ O. Multala

⇄ 64'

V. Kumpu ⇄ S. Väisänen

Yellow Card

68' ▮

⚽ 1–3 69'

T. Hytönen assist: J. Kanga

⇄ L. Ikonen

69' ⇄

Yellow Card

73' ▮

Red Card

73' ▮

⇄ 74'

T. Hytönen ⇄ R. Riski

⇄ C. Azongnitode

76' ⇄

⇄ 81'

J. Veteli ⇄ O. Tiitinen

▮ 90+2'

S. Väisänen Yellow Card

FT 1–3

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Notre approche

Victoire ou match nul difficile pour Turku PS

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Turku PS

LLDDD

Ilves

WWWLL

Last 1 meetings Turku PS · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

Turku PS faces Ilves in a Veikkausliiga matchup on July 20, 2026. Turku PS has shown a solid home record, with a strong offensive output of 1.8 goals per game in their last five home matches. In contrast, Ilves has struggled on the road, averaging only 0.9 goals per game in away fixtures this season. Defensively, Turku PS has been more resilient, conceding just 1.2 goals per game compared to Ilves' 1.6 goals per game on the road. This matchup could hinge on Turku PS's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities against a vulnerable Ilves defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

17%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ilves goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	7	3	1
1	15	14	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	4	1
4	2	1	1
5	1

↑ Turku PS goals · most likely 1–0 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Turku PS

A. Muzaci 3 gls

Ilves

T. Hytönen 7 gls

J. Kanga 4 gls

E. Tamminen 3 gls

M. Stjopin 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

30%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

30%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	6.8%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
1	15.3%	13.6%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.1%	8.6%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
3	5.8%	4.1%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	2.1%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Turku PS	Draw	Ilves
Turku PS	32.2%	3.5%	0.8%
Draw	19.9%	21.1%	7.6%
Ilves	1.8%	3.6%	9.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Turku PS vs Ilves

0 Turku PS Wins

0 Draws

1 Ilves Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Turku PS	0 - 3	Ilves

Turku PS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ilves	L	0 - 3
12 Sep	A Mariehamn	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H SJK	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A Gnistan	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Inter Turku	D	0 - 0

Ilves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Turku PS	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lahti	W	3 - 1
08 Sep	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
31 Aug	H HJK Helsinki	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	H VPS	L	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Ilves

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Joni Lehtonen

12 Krkalić

3 Rale

16 Miettunen

24 Kumpu

13 Wallius

28 Kilo

6 Raap

4 Pettersson

7 Veteli

30 Kanga

9 Hytönen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Faris Krkalić	G
24	Ville Kumpu	D
16	Tatu Miettunen	D
3	Matias Rale	D
4	Oliver Pettersson	D
6	Yiandro Raap	D
28	Jesse Kilo	M
13	Kalle Wallius	M
30	Jardell Kanga	M
7	Joona Veteli	M
9	Teemu Hytönen	F

Substitutes

14	Anton Popovitch	M
5	Sauli Väisänen	D
22	Oskari Multala	M
1	Otso Virtanen	G
25	Sebastian Suvanne	D
15	Lauri Ala-Myllymäki	M
17	Stanislav Baranov	M
20	Otto Tiitinen	M
10	Roope Riski	F

Turku PS

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Ivan Pinol

1 Henriksson

24 Talo

14 Hradecky

17 Sihvonen

2 Haggstrom

11 Vauhkonen

29 Muzaci

6 Juvanteny

10 Könkkölä

22 Zaal

99 Visser

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Elmo Henriksson	G
2	Oscar Haggstrom	D
17	Atte Sihvonen	D
14	Matej Hradecky	D
24	Nikolas Talo	D
10	Marius Könkkölä	M
6	Pau Juvanteny	D
29	Albijon Muzaci	M
11	Elmer Vauhkonen	M
99	Kian Visser	F
22	Timo Zaal	M

Substitutes

20	Miika Kauppila	D
41	Samuel Anini Jr.	F
26	Lasse Ikonen	M
35	Dan Lauri	G
4	Akim Sairinen	D
15	Charlemagne Azongnitode	D
8	Aly Coulibaly	M
28	Tomi Vakiparta	M
7	Rasmus Harjanne	F