VPS vs SJK Prédiction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 15

Post on X

SJK

Away

Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa

Prédiction IA VPS gagnant

80%

17%

Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic VPS vs SJK : Sportiko estime que VPS a 80% de chances de s'imposer, SJK 3% et le match nul 17%. Dernière mise à jour : 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Plus de 1,5 buts 71%

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Timeline

▮ 11'

Yellow Card

M. Haukioja Missed Penalty

13' ✗

▮ 17'

Yellow Card

M. Haukioja Yellow Card

25' ▮

K. Kouassivi-Benissan Yellow Card

41' ▮

▮ 41'

Yellow Card

⇄ 42'

O. Väistö

FT 1–0

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Confidence High (80%)

At a glance

Notre approche

VPS gagnant

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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VPS

LLWLW

SJK

WDDDL

Last 1 meetings VPS · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the Veikkausliiga clash between VPS and SJK, both teams will seek crucial points to bolster their standings. VPS has demonstrated a solid home record, while SJK has shown resilience on the road. Key players to watch include VPS's top scorer, who has consistently found the net, and SJK's midfield playmaker, known for creating chances. The match will be pivotal for both sides, as they aim to secure a playoff position. Expect a competitive encounter with potential for tactical battles in midfield.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

80%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SJK goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	18	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	4	1
4	8	2
5	4	1

↑ VPS goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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Players in form

VPS

L. Smyth 5 gls

SJK

E. Mastokangas 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

20%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	1.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.0%	6.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.8%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.1%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	VPS	Draw	SJK
VPS	55.4%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.5%	12.4%	1.6%
SJK	1.3%	1.5%	1.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: VPS vs SJK

1 VPS Wins

0 Draws

0 SJK Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jun 2026	SJK	1 - 2	VPS

VPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H KuPS	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H AC Oulu	W	1 - 0
31 Aug	H Lahti	L	0 - 1
22 Aug	A Ilves	W	0 - 1

SJK — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Mariehamn	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A FF Jaro	D	1 - 1
08 Sep	A Turku PS	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A AC Oulu	D	0 - 0
21 Aug	H Lahti	L	1 - 2

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.