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Colombia vs Congo DR Prédiction

World Cup World Cup · Group Stage - 2
FT
Post on X
Colombia

Colombia

Home
1 : 0
HT 0 - 0
Congo DR

Congo DR

Away
Estadio AKRON, Zapopan
Prédiction IA Colombia pour gagner ou match nul
73%
22%
5%
Victoire à domicile Match nul Victoire extérieure

Pronostic Colombia vs Congo DR : Sportiko estime que Colombia a 73% de chances de s'imposer, Congo DR 5% et le match nul 22%. Dernière mise à jour : 20 Jul 2026, 15:55.

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  • Les deux équipes ne marquent pas 76%
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Match Report

Colombia secured a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory over Congo DR in their World Cup Group Stage opener, with the match remaining goalless at the break despite the South Americans' clear territorial dominance. Colombia controlled 64% of possession and registered 19 total shots across the 90 minutes, though the breakthrough proved elusive in the first half.

The decisive moment arrived in the 76th minute when Daniel Muñoz broke the deadlock with a normal goal, settling a contest that had grown increasingly one-sided. Colombia's expected goals figure of 0.99 reflected their sustained pressure, while Congo DR managed just a single shot on target throughout, underlining how limited their attacking threat proved to be. The introduction of James Rodríguez on 58 minutes added creative impetus for Colombia in the second period.

Congo DR finished the game with yellow cards for Charles Pickel and Jefferson Lerma in stoppage time adding late drama, though the result was never seriously in doubt by that stage. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Colombia win as most likely at 73%, a call that proved correct as Colombia move into a strong position in the group.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
Ngal'ayel Mukau ⇄ Noah Sadiki
Jhon Lucumí Yellow Card
56' ▮
⇄ 57'
Cédric Bakambu ⇄ Simon Banza
Luis Javier Suárez ⇄ Jhon Córdoba
58' ⇄
James Rodríguez ⇄ Juan Fernando Quintero
58' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Arthur Masuaku ⇄ Joris Kayembe
⇄ 72'
Edo Kayembe ⇄ Charles Pickel
Daniel Muñoz assist: Juan Fernando Quintero
76' ⚽ 1–0
Jhon Arias ⇄ Richard Ríos
77' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Samuel Moutoussamy ⇄ Nathanaël Mbuku
▮ 90+3'
Charles Pickel Yellow Card
Jefferson Lerma Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 1–0
Colombia

Match Stats

Congo DR
64% Ball Possession 36%
0.99 Expected Goals (xG) 0.39
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 4
8 Shots outsidebox 4
5 Corner Kicks 4
7 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
538 Total passes 293
473 Passes accurate 221
88% Passes % 75%
0.39 goals_prevented 0.39
Colombia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Daniel Muñoz D 7.6 93' 1 – 2 50 (47%) 2
23 Davinson Sánchez D 7.3 93' – – 1 66 (63%) 1
11 Jhon Arias M 7.3 77' – – 2 48 (45%) 3
3 Jhon Lucumí D 7.2 93' – – 1 53 (50%) –
17 Johan Mojica D 7.2 93' – – 1 67 (55%) 1
20 Juan Fernando Quintero M 7.2 35' – 1 – 26 (20%) –
16 Jefferson Lerma M 7.0 93' – – – 46 (42%) –
10 James Rodríguez F 7.0 58' – – 1 45 (37%) –
12 Camilo Vargas G 6.9 93' – – – 29 (24%) –
14 Gustavo Puerta M 6.9 93' – – 3 51 (47%) 1
25 Luis Javier Suárez F 6.7 58' – – – 8 (6%) –
7 Luis Díaz F 6.6 93' – – 2 40 (31%) 1
6 Richard Ríos M 6.3 16' – – – 3 (2%) 1
9 Jhon Córdoba F 6.3 35' – – – 3 (2%) –
Congo DR
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Lionel Mpasi Nzau G 7.3 93' – – – 26 (18%) –
26 Arthur Masuaku D 7.0 72' – – – 24 (19%) 1
2 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D 6.7 93' – – – 21 (15%) 5
22 Chancel Mbemba D 6.7 93' – – 1 37 (28%) –
4 Axel Tuanzebe D 6.7 93' – – – 25 (22%) 1
7 Nathanaël Mbuku F 6.7 11' – – 1 5 (4%) –
14 Noah Sadiki M 6.7 48' – – – 15 (11%) 2
23 Simon Banza F 6.7 36' – – – 6 (3%) 1
20 Yoane Wissa F 6.6 93' – – – 13 (10%) –
8 Samuel Moutoussamy M 6.5 82' – – 1 28 (21%) 2
3 Steve Kapuadi D 6.3 93' – – – 34 (28%) –
6 Ngal'ayel Mukau M 6.3 45' – – – 14 (9%) 1
12 Joris Kayembe D 6.3 21' – – – 4 (4%) 1
18 Charles Pickel M 6.3 21' – – 1 12 (10%) –
17 Cédric Bakambu F 6.2 57' – – 1 11 (6%) –
25 Edo Kayembe M 6.0 72' – – 1 16 (13%) –
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Confidence High (73%)

At a glance

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Colombia pour gagner ou match nul
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Colombia
DWDWW
Congo DR
WLWLD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 24, 2026, Colombia will host Congo DR in a pivotal clash. Colombia, known for their attacking prowess and technical ability, will look to capitalize on their midfield strength, featuring players like Luis Díaz and James Rodríguez. In contrast, Congo DR will rely on their physical play and counter-attacking strategy, spearheaded by talents like Chancel Mbemba and Cédric Bakambu. Historically, Colombia has a strong record against African teams, but Congo DR's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge. The match will likely hinge on Colombia's ability to break through Congo DR's defense while managing the pace of the game.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
73%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
5%
10%

Most likely scores

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Head to Head: Colombia vs Congo DR

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Colombia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Jul A Switzerland D 0 - 0
04 Jul H Ghana W 1 - 0
27 Jun H Portugal D 0 - 0
24 Jun H Congo DR W 1 - 0
18 Jun A Uzbekistan W 1 - 3

Congo DR — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
24 Sep H Equatorial Guinea W 2 - 0
01 Jul A England L 2 - 1
27 Jun H Uzbekistan W 3 - 1
24 Jun A Colombia L 1 - 0
17 Jun A Portugal D 1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Mexico
3 3 0 0 +6 9
2
South Africa
3 1 1 1 -1 4
4
Czechia
3 0 1 2 -4 1

Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Canada
3 1 1 1 +5 4
4
Qatar
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Brazil
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Morocco
3 2 1 0 +3 7
4
Haiti
3 0 0 3 -6 0

Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
USA
3 2 0 1 +4 6
2
Australia
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 -2 3

Group E

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Germany
3 2 0 1 +6 6
2
Ivory Coast
3 2 0 1 +2 6
4
Curaçao
3 0 1 2 -8 1

Group F

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Netherlands
3 2 1 0 +6 7
2
Japan
3 1 2 0 +4 5
4
Tunisia
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Group G

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Belgium
3 1 2 0 +4 5
2
Egypt
3 1 2 0 +2 5
4
New Zealand
3 0 1 2 -6 1

Group H

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
3 2 1 0 +5 7
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 0 3
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 -4 2

Group I

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
3 3 0 0 +8 9
2
Norway
3 2 0 1 +1 6
4
Iraq
3 0 0 3 -11 0

Group J

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Argentina
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Austria
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Jordan
3 0 0 3 -5 0

Group K

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Colombia
3 2 1 0 +3 7
2
Portugal
3 1 2 0 +5 5
4
Uzbekistan
3 0 0 3 -9 0

Group L

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
England
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Croatia
3 2 0 1 0 6
4
Panama
3 0 0 3 -4 0

Group Stage

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Congo DR
3 1 1 1 +1 4
2
Sweden
3 1 1 1 0 4
3
Ghana
3 1 1 1 0 4
4
Ecuador
3 1 1 1 0 4
5
Bosnia & Herzegovina
3 1 1 1 -1 4
6
Algeria
3 1 1 1 -2 4
7
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 -2 4
8
Senegal
3 1 0 2 +2 3
9
Iran
3 0 3 0 0 3
10
South Korea
3 1 0 2 -1 3
11
Scotland
3 1 0 2 -3 3
12
Uruguay
3 0 2 1 -1 2

Colombia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Nestor Lorenzo
12 Vargas
17 Mojica
3 Lucumí
23 Sánchez
2 Muñoz
11 Arias
16 Lerma
14 Puerta
7 Díaz
25 Suárez
10 Rodríguez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Camilo Vargas G
2 Daniel Muñoz D
23 Davinson Sánchez D
3 Jhon Lucumí D
17 Johan Mojica D
14 Gustavo Puerta M
16 Jefferson Lerma M
11 Jhon Arias M
10 James Rodríguez F
25 Luis Javier Suárez F
7 Luis Díaz F

Substitutes

20 Juan Fernando Quintero M
9 Jhon Córdoba F
24 Álvaro Montero G
1 David Ospina G
13 Yerry Mina D
18 Willer Ditta D
22 Deiver Machado D
4 Santiago Arias D
21 Jaminton Campaz M
6 Richard Ríos M
8 Jorge Carrascal M
26 Andrés Gómez F
15 Juan Portilla M
5 Kevin Castaño M
19 Cucho Hernández F

Congo DR

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: S. Desabre
1 Nzau
26 Masuaku
3 Kapuadi
4 Tuanzebe
22 Mbemba
2 Wan-Bissaka
25 Kayembe
8 Moutoussamy
6 Mukau
20 Wissa
17 Bakambu

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lionel Mpasi Nzau G
2 Aaron Wan-Bissaka D
22 Chancel Mbemba D
4 Axel Tuanzebe D
3 Steve Kapuadi D
26 Arthur Masuaku D
6 Ngal'ayel Mukau M
8 Samuel Moutoussamy M
25 Edo Kayembe M
17 Cédric Bakambu F
20 Yoane Wissa F

Substitutes

14 Noah Sadiki M
23 Simon Banza F
21 Matthieu Epolo G
16 Timothy Fayulu G
24 Gedeon Kalulu D
12 Joris Kayembe D
5 Dylan Batubinsika D
15 Aaron Tshibola M
11 Gaël Kakuta M
18 Charles Pickel M
9 Brian Cipenga F
7 Nathanaël Mbuku F
10 Théo Bongonda M
13 Meschak Elia F
19 Fiston Mayele F

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