Bologna vs Inter Prediction
Bologna vs Inter prediction: Sportiko gives Bologna a 22% chance of winning, Inter 52% and the draw 26%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Inter came into this final Serie A fixture as slight favourites, and they made an early statement when Federico Dimarco opened the scoring in the 22nd minute. Bologna responded almost immediately through Federico Bernardeschi three minutes later, before Tommaso Pobega gave the hosts a 2–1 lead just before the break, a spell that also saw Lautaro Martínez collect a yellow card.
Inter levelled early in the second half via a Piotr Zieliński own goal in the 48th minute, and Inter's coaching staff made a triple substitution shortly after, withdrawing Barella, Dimarco and the booked Martínez. Francesco Pio Esposito then put Inter ahead for the first time at 2–3 in the 64th minute, seemingly setting the visitors up for victory. However, Bologna refused to yield, and Andy Diouf struck in the 86th minute to earn the hosts a share of the spoils.
The final scoreline of 3–3 reflected an entertaining contest in which Inter edged possession at 55% and created the higher expected goals figure of 1.78. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as the most likely outcome at 52%, though ultimately neither side could secure all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Bologna
Match Stats
Bologna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Federico Bernardeschi F | 7.9 | 88' | 1 | – | 2 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 4 Tommaso Pobega M | 7.7 | 66' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (19%) | 1 |
| 8 Remo Freuler M | 7.2 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 31 (31%) | 1 |
| 11 Jonathan Rowe F | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 19 Lewis Ferguson M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (46%) | 1 |
| 21 Jens Odgaard F | 6.9 | 24' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 2 |
| 26 Jhon Lucumí D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (45%) | 1 |
| 9 Santiago Castro F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 14 Torbjørn Heggem D | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 6 Nikola Moro M | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | 2 |
| 20 Nadir Zortea D | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 5 Eivind Helland D | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | – | 54 (46%) | – |
| 33 Juan Miranda D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (26%) | 1 |
| 29 Lorenzo De Silvestri D | 5.9 | 66' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 1 Łukasz Skorupski G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | – |
| 24 Thijs Dallinga F | — | 2' | – | – | – | – | – |
Inter
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Federico Dimarco M | 7.9 | 54' | 1 | – | 2 | 38 (34%) | – |
| 94 Francesco Pio Esposito F | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 21 (14%) | 1 |
| 17 Andy Diouf M | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 36 (32%) | – |
| 43 Matteo Cocchi D | 6.9 | 16' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 31 Yann Bisseck D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (52%) | 1 |
| 22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M | 6.6 | 36' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | – |
| 11 Luís Henrique F | 6.6 | 36' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 58 Luka Topalović M | 6.6 | 9' | – | 1 | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 10 Lautaro Martínez F | 6.5 | 54' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | – |
| 8 Petar Sučić M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 47 (45%) | 4 |
| 23 Nicolò Barella M | 6.3 | 54' | – | – | – | 36 (30%) | 1 |
| 14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F | 6.2 | 36' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 6 Stefan de Vrij D | 6.2 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 33 (32%) | 2 |
| 13 Josep Martínez G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (47%) | – |
| 7 Piotr Zieliński M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (40%) | 1 |
| 30 Carlos Augusto D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 52 (45%) | – |
Desbloquea el análisis completo de la IA para Bologna vs Inter
- Todos los mercados de probabilidad (70+)
- Reporte de partido — Análisis Profundo IA
- Ventaja de Valor — modelo vs. mercado
- Copiloto en vivo durante el partido
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bologna vs Inter
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan 2026 | Inter | 3 - 1 | Bologna |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Bologna | 1 - 0 | Inter |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Inter | 2 - 2 | Bologna |
Bologna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul | H Iraklis 1908 | W | 2 - 0 |
| 22 Jul | H 1. FC Heidenheim | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Jul | H Arminia Bielefeld | L | 0 - 2 |
| 23 May | H Inter | D | 3 - 3 |
| 17 May | A Atalanta | W | 0 - 1 |
Inter — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug | A Manchester City | D | 1 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | A Karlsruher SC | W | 1 - 2 |
| 23 May | A Bologna | D | 3 - 3 |
| 17 May | H Hellas Verona | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 May | A Lazio | W | 0 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atalanta
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Bologna
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Cagliari
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Como
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Fiorentina
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Genoa
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Inter
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Juventus
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Lazio
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Lecce
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
AC Milan
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |
Monza
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |
Napoli
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |
AS Roma
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 |
Torino
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 |
Udinese
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bologna
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Vincenzo Italiano
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Skorupski | G |
| 29 | L. De Silvestri | D |
| 5 | E. Fauske Helland | D |
| 26 | J. Lucumi | D |
| 33 | J. Miranda | D |
| 19 | L. Ferguson | M |
| 8 | R. Freuler | M |
| 4 | T. Pobega | M |
| 10 | F. Bernardeschi | F |
| 9 | S. Castro | F |
| 11 | J. Rowe | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | F. Ravaglia | G |
| 25 | M. Pessina | G |
| 6 | N. Moro | M |
| 14 | T. Heggem | D |
| 20 | N. Zortea | D |
| 24 | T. Dallinga | F |
| 30 | B. Dominguez | F |
| 22 | C. Lykogiannis | D |
| 21 | J. Odgaard | F |
| 17 | Joao Mario | D |
| 23 | S. Sohm | M |
Inter
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Cristian Chivu
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | J. Martinez | G |
| 31 | Y. Bisseck | D |
| 6 | S. de Vrij | D |
| 30 | Carlos Augusto | D |
| 17 | A. Diouf | M |
| 23 | N. Barella | M |
| 8 | P. Sucic | M |
| 7 | P. Zielinski | M |
| 32 | F. Dimarco | M |
| 94 | F. Esposito | F |
| 10 | L. Martinez | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Y. Sommer | G |
| 12 | R. Di Gennaro | G |
| 36 | M. Darmian | D |
| 22 | H. Mkhitaryan | M |
| 95 | A. Bastoni | D |
| 57 | I. Kaczmarski | M |
| 58 | L. Topalovic | M |
| 43 | M. Cocchi | D |
| 48 | M. Mosconi | F |
| 15 | F. Acerbi | D |
| 11 | Luis Henrique | F |
| 14 | A. Bonny | F |