Levante vs Mallorca Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 37

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Mallorca

Away

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia

Llamada IA Difícil victoria o empate de Levante

50%

27%

23%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Levante vs Mallorca prediction: Sportiko gives Levante a 50% chance of winning, Mallorca 23% and the draw 27%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Levante secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Mallorca in matchday 37 of La Liga, a result that our pre-match AI model had rated as the most likely outcome at 50%. Despite surrendering 71% of possession to their visitors, Levante were the more dangerous side throughout, generating an expected goals figure of 2.44 compared to Mallorca's meagre 0.34.

Carlos Espí broke the deadlock on 32 minutes to give Levante a deserved half-time lead, and the match took a decisive turn late on when both Roger Brugué and Johan Mojica were shown red cards in the 85th minute following VAR reviews. Kervin Arriaga capitalised on Mallorca's numerical disadvantage almost immediately, adding a second goal two minutes later to seal the points.

Mallorca's afternoon was further complicated by a yellow card for Nacho Pérez in the first half and another for goalkeeper Mathew Ryan in the 78th minute. Levante's efficiency in front of goal — converting three shots on target into two goals — ultimately told the story of a disciplined and clinical home performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jeremy Toljan ⇄ Nacho Pérez

23' ⇄

Nacho Pérez Yellow Card

30' ▮

Carlos Espí

32' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

David López ⇄ Javier Olaizola

⇄ 61'

Pablo Torre ⇄ Jan Virgili

Iker Losada ⇄ Roger Brugué

65' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Zito Luvumbo ⇄ Takuma Asano

⇄ 69'

Martin Valjent ⇄ Miguel Calatayud

Mathew Ryan Yellow Card

78' ▮

⇄ 79'

Manu Morlanes ⇄ Abdón Prats

Roger Brugué Red Card

85' ▮

▮ 85'

Johan Mojica Red Card

Roger Brugué Card upgrade

85' 🖵

🖵 85'

Johan Mojica Card upgrade

Kervin Arriaga assist: Jon Ander Olasagasti

87' ⚽ 2–0

Jon Ander Olasagasti ⇄ Ugo Raghouber

90+2' ⇄

Iván Romero ⇄ Kareem Tunde

90+2' ⇄

Carlos Espí ⇄ Etta Eyong

90+2' ⇄

FT 2–0

Levante

Match Stats

Mallorca

29% Ball Possession 71%

2.44 Expected Goals (xG) 0.34

15 Total Shots 8

3 Shots on Goal 3

10 Shots off Goal 5

2 Blocked Shots 0

12 Shots insidebox 4

3 Shots outsidebox 4

4 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 1

11 Fouls 15

2 Yellow Cards 1

1 Red Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

214 Total passes 554

149 Passes accurate 483

70% Passes % 87%

-0.11 goals_prevented -0.11

Levante

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Mathew Ryan G	9.3	90'	–	–	–	29 (18%)	–
16 Kervin Arriaga M	8.3	90'	1	–	2	16 (11%)	6
19 Carlos Espí F	7.5	89'	1	–	5	9 (6%)	1
2 Matias Moreno D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	1
10 Pablo Martínez M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	13 (8%)	1
4 Adrián de la Fuente D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	29 (24%)	–
8 Jon Ander Olasagasti F	7.0	89'	–	1	1	12 (7%)	1
18 Iker Losada M	7.0	65'	–	–	–	11 (5%)	2
23 Manuel Sánchez D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	26 (23%)	4
14 Ugo Raghouber M	6.9	8'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	1
29 Nacho Pérez D	6.9	67'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	1
22 Jeremy Toljan D	6.7	23'	–	–	–	10 (5%)	–
9 Iván Romero M	6.7	89'	–	–	1	16 (11%)	1
26 Kareem Tunde F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
7 Roger Brugué M	6.3	20'	–	–	2	1 (1%)	1
21 Etta Eyong F	6.2	8'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	–

Mallorca

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Samú Costa M	7.2	90'	–	–	2	55 (50%)	3
34 Javier Olaizola D	7.2	45'	–	–	–	46 (41%)	1
1 Leo Román G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	49 (46%)	–
10 Sergi Darder M	7.0	90'	–	–	1	69 (62%)	–
7 Vedat Muriqi F	6.9	90'	–	–	1	18 (13%)	–
15 Zito Luvumbo F	6.7	69'	–	–	2	4 (3%)	–
11 Takuma Asano F	6.7	21'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	4
23 Pablo Maffeo D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	41 (35%)	2
24 Martin Valjent D	6.6	69'	–	–	–	54 (50%)	2
27 David López D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	49 (44%)	2
8 Manu Morlanes M	6.3	79'	–	–	–	53 (46%)	1
20 Pablo Torre M	6.3	61'	–	–	1	34 (31%)	1
44 Miguel Calatayud D	6.3	21'	–	–	–	19 (17%)	2
17 Jan Virgili F	6.2	29'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
9 Abdón Prats F	6.2	11'	–	–	–	1	–
22 Johan Mojica D	5.9	85'	–	–	1	45 (32%)	–

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

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Levante

WWLWW

Mallorca

WWWLL

Last 3 meetings Levante · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Levante will host Mallorca in a crucial La Liga encounter on May 17, 2026. Both teams are fighting for survival, with Levante currently sitting just above the relegation zone and Mallorca looking to secure their top-flight status. Levante has demonstrated a solid home record, winning 60% of their matches at Estadi Ciutat de València this season, while Mallorca has struggled on the road, managing only 25% of their away games as victories. Key players to watch include Levante's leading scorer, whose finishing ability could exploit Mallorca's defensive vulnerabilities. This matchup could be pivotal for both teams' ambitions as the season approaches its conclusion.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Mallorca goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	9	4	1
1	14	12	5	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Levante goals · most likely 1–0 (14.4%)

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Head to Head: Levante vs Mallorca

1 Levante Wins

1 Draws

1 Mallorca Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Oct 2025	Mallorca	1 - 1	Levante
08 Jan 2022	Levante	2 - 0	Mallorca
02 Oct 2021	Mallorca	1 - 0	Levante

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Levante — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Albacete	W	2 - 1
26 Jul	H Al-Qadisiyah FC	W	1 - 0
23 May	A Real Betis	L	2 - 1
17 May	H Mallorca	W	2 - 0
12 May	A Celta Vigo	W	2 - 3

Mallorca — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Paris Saint Germain	W	3 - 0
25 Jul	H Al-Fateh	W	3 - 0
23 May	H Oviedo	W	3 - 0
17 May	A Levante	L	2 - 0
13 May	A Getafe	L	3 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Athletic Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Levante

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Luis Castro

13 Ryan

23 Sanchez

2 Moreno

4 Dela

22 Toljan

9 Romero

16 Arriaga

10 Martinez

18 Losada

8 Olasagasti

19 Espi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	M. Ryan	G
22	J. Toljan	D
4	Dela	D
2	M. Moreno	D
23	M. Sanchez	D
18	I. Losada	M
10	P. Martinez	M
16	K. Arriaga	M
9	I. Romero	M
19	C. Espi	F
8	J. A. Olasagasti	F

Substitutes

1	P. Cunat	G
20	O. Rey	M
7	R. Brugue	M
14	U. Raghouber	M
55	T. Abed	F
27	P. Cortes	F
11	J. Morales	F
6	D. Varela Pampin	D
3	A. Matturro	D
26	K. Tunde	F
21	K. Etta Eyong	F
29	N. Perez	D

Mallorca

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: Martin Demichelis

1 Roman

22 Mojica

27 Lopez

24 Valjent

23 Maffeo

8 Morlanes

10 Darder

12 Costa

20 Torre

15 Luvumbo

7 Muriqi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	L. Roman	G
23	P. Maffeo	D
24	M. Valjent	D
27	D. Lopez	D
22	J. Mojica	D
12	Samu Costa	M
10	S. Darder	M
8	M. Morlanes	M
20	P. Torre	M
7	V. Muriqi	F
15	Z. Luvumbo	F

Substitutes

25	Pichu Cuellar	G
9	A. Prats	F
11	T. Asano	F
21	A. Raillo	D
6	A. Sanchez	M
19	J. Llabres	F
3	T. Lato	D
2	M. Morey Bauza	D
17	J. Virgili	F
44	M. Calatayud	D
34	J. Olaizola	D
29	L. Orejuela	D