Puebla vs Monterrey Predicción

Liga MX · Apertura - 13

22 Oct 2026, 01:00

Post on X

Monterrey

Away

Llamada IA Monterrey o empate

27%

33%

40%

Victoria local Empate Victoria visitante

Predicción Puebla vs Monterrey: Sportiko le da a Puebla un 27% de probabilidad de ganar, a Monterrey un 40% y al empate un 33%. Última actualización: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Puebla

DLWLW

Monterrey

WDLDL

Last 2 meetings Puebla · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Puebla faces Monterrey, both teams with varying tactical approaches. Puebla's recent form shows a solid defensive structure, allowing an average of 1.2 goals per match, but they struggle to convert chances, with a conversion rate of just 10%. Conversely, Monterrey boasts a potent attack, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per match, fueled by their strong midfield play. The match may hinge on whether Puebla can withstand Monterrey's offensive pressure and if they can capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities. Overall, this matchup promises tactical intrigue as both teams vie for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

27%

10%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

40%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monterrey goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	13	8	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	5	6	4	1
3	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Puebla goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Puebla

E. Mustre 3 gls

Monterrey

L. Ocampos 5 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Draw

33%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

40%

Draw

33%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Away Scores More 33% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.0%	12.6%	8.4%	3.3%	1.0%
1	9.7%	15.1%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
2	5.3%	6.2%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%
3	1.6%	1.9%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Puebla	Draw	Monterrey
Puebla	15.6%	4.1%	1.6%
Draw	11.5%	22.8%	15.7%
Monterrey	1.2%	4.1%	23.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Puebla vs Monterrey

0 Puebla Wins

0 Draws

2 Monterrey Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Apr 2026	Monterrey	2 - 1	Puebla
30 Aug 2025	Puebla	2 - 4	Monterrey

Puebla — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Toluca	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Necaxa	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Club America	L	2 - 0
23 Aug	H Santos Laguna	W	3 - 2

Monterrey — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Tigres UANL	D	0 - 0
07 Sep	A Toluca	L	2 - 0
03 Sep	A Club America	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	H Atletico San Luis	L	1 - 3

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.