Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 31

Post on X

Chelsea

Away

Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside

AI call Everton or draw

37%

30%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Everton vs Chelsea prediction: Sportiko gives Everton a 37% chance of winning, Chelsea 33% and the draw 30%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Everton or draw

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Everton

WWDDD

Chelsea

LDWLW

Last 3 meetings Everton · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash on March 21, 2026, Everton hosts Chelsea at Goodison Park. Everton's home form has been generally solid, but they struggle against top-tier teams, with a recent record of 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Chelsea, on the other hand, has been in fine form, leveraging their attacking prowess, notably with an average of 2 goals per game in their last 5 outings. Defensively, Chelsea has shown resilience, conceding only 1 goal per match on average during the same stretch. The match could hinge on Everton's ability to break through Chelsea's defense, while Chelsea looks to capitalize on counter-attacks. Expect a tactical battle with Chelsea favored to take the points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Chelsea goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	12	6	2	1
1	13	13	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	3	3	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Everton goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Everton

No scorer data.

Chelsea

João Pedro 15 gls

E. Fernández 10 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Everton vs Chelsea

0 Everton Wins

1 Draws

2 Chelsea Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Dec 2025	Chelsea	2 - 0	Everton
26 Apr 2025	Chelsea	1 - 0	Everton
22 Dec 2024	Everton	0 - 0	Chelsea

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Everton — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Ipswich	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	H Wolves	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	A Tottenham	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Manchester United	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Bournemouth	D	1 - 1

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	26	7	5	71	27	+44	85
2	Manchester City	38	23	9	6	77	35	+42	78
3	Manchester United	38	20	11	7	69	50	+19	71
4	Aston Villa	38	19	8	11	56	49	+7	65
5	Liverpool	38	17	9	12	63	53	+10	60
6	Bournemouth	38	13	18	7	58	54	+4	57
7	Sunderland	38	14	12	12	42	48	-6	54
8	Brighton	38	14	11	13	52	46	+6	53
9	Brentford	38	14	11	13	55	52	+3	53
10	Chelsea	38	14	10	14	58	52	+6	52
11	Fulham	38	15	7	16	47	51	-4	52
12	Newcastle	38	14	7	17	53	55	-2	49
13	Everton	38	13	10	15	47	50	-3	49
14	Leeds	38	11	14	13	49	56	-7	47
15	Crystal Palace	38	11	12	15	41	51	-10	45
16	Nottingham Forest	38	11	11	16	48	51	-3	44
17	Tottenham	38	10	11	17	48	57	-9	41
18	West Ham	38	10	9	19	46	65	-19	39
19	Burnley	38	4	10	24	38	75	-37	22
20	Wolves	38	3	11	24	27	68	-41	20

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.