Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
AI call
Macarthur or draw
46%
26%
28%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix prediction: Sportiko gives Macarthur a 46% chance of winning, Wellington Phoenix 28% and the draw 26%. Last updated 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
6'
⚽
1–0
Dean Bosnjak
22'
⚽
2–0
Luke Brattan
34'
⚽
3–0
HT 3–0
⇄
46'
⇄
46'
▮
47'
Yellow Card
Dean Bosnjak
Yellow Card
51'
▮
▮
63'
Yellow Card
Luke Vickery
⇄ Bernardo
71'
⇄
⇄
71'
⇄ Sarpreet Singh
⇄
71'
Tim Payne
Mitchell Duke
⇄ Harrison Sawyer
78'
⇄
Dean Bosnjak
78'
⇄
Bernardo
80'
⚽
4–0
Callum Talbot
82'
⇄
Damien Da Silva
⇄ Tomislav Uskok
83'
⇄
Yellow Card
89'
▮
⇄
90'
FT 4–0
Macarthur
Match Stats
Wellington Phoenix
55%
Ball Possession
45%
2.50
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
26
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
5
13
Blocked Shots
4
18
Shots insidebox
5
8
Shots outsidebox
7
8
Corner Kicks
6
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
402
Total passes
340
338
Passes accurate
281
84%
Passes %
83%
goals_prevented
Macarthur
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Luke Brattan M | 10.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 70 (66%) | 2 |
| 24 Dean Bosnjak M | 8.7 | 78' | 1 | – | 3 | 23 (23%) | – |
| 1 Alex Robinson G | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (11%) | – |
| 32 Will McKay D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 2 |
| 5 Matthew Jurman D | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (25%) | 3 |
| 11 Bernardo F | 7.7 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 17 Oliver Randazzo M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (38%) | 3 |
| 25 Callum Talbot D | 7.5 | 82' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | – |
| 3 Damien Da Silva D | 7.0 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
| 19 Harry Politidis D | 7.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 6 Tomislav Uskok D | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 10 Anthony Caceres M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (53%) | 1 |
| 28 Harrison Sawyer F | 6.9 | 12' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 8 Luke Vickery M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | 3 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 35 Henrique Oliveira F | 6.7 | 12' | – | 1 | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 15 Mitchell Duke F | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 26 (16%) | – |
Wellington Phoenix
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Isaac Hughes D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (37%) | 2 |
| 28 Bill Tuiloma D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (37%) | 3 |
| 20 Ramy Najjarine F | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 9 Sarpreet Singh M | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 1 Joshua Oluwayemi G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 25 Kazuki Nagasawa M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | 1 |
| 7 Ifeanyi Eze F | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | – |
| 18 Lukas Kelly-Heald D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 32 (25%) | 3 |
| 5 Fin Conchie M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | 2 |
| 8 Paulo Retre M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (39%) | 5 |
| 3 Corban Piper F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 18 (10%) | – |
| 29 Luke Brooke-Smith F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 14 (13%) | – |
| 27 Matthew Sheridan D | 6.3 | 19' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 16 Sander Erik Kartum M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 6 Tim Payne D | 5.9 | 71' | – | – | – | 22 (19%) | – |
| 12 Dan Edwards D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (51%)
At a glance
Our lean
Macarthur or draw
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Macarthur
WWWLW
Wellington Phoenix
LWLDW
Last 1 meetings
Macarthur · 1W 0D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming A-League clash, Macarthur hosts Wellington Phoenix at Campbelltown Stadium. Macarthur has shown strong home form, boasting a record of 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 home matches, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 3 goals during this span. Conversely, Wellington Phoenix has struggled on the road, with only 1 win in their last 5 away fixtures, and a tendency to concede late goals. The matchup will likely hinge on Macarthur's ability to control the midfield and exploit Wellington’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly set pieces, where they have been weak. Expect a closely contested match, but Macarthur's home advantage may give them the edge.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix
1
Macarthur Wins
0
Draws
0
Wellington Phoenix Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Wellington Phoenix | 0 - 1 | Macarthur |
Macarthur — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul | A Uni Azzurri | W | 0 - 3 |
| 24 Apr | H Wellington Phoenix | W | 4 - 0 |
| 19 Apr | A Adelaide United | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Apr | A Perth Glory | L | 3 - 1 |
| 02 Apr | H Newcastle Jets | W | 3 - 2 |
Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | A Macarthur | L | 4 - 0 |
| 18 Apr | H Western Sydney Wanderers | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Apr | A Melbourne City | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Apr | A Melbourne Victory | D | 0 - 0 |
| 21 Mar | A Brisbane Roar | W | 1 - 2 |
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Adelaide United
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Central Coast Mariners
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Newcastle Jets
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Perth Glory
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Brisbane Roar
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Sydney
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Wellington Phoenix
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Melbourne Victory
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Melbourne City
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Macarthur
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Auckland
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Wellington Phoenix
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Giancarlo Italiano
1
Oluwayemi
18
Kelly-Heald
15
Hughes
28
Tuiloma
6
Payne
25
Nagasawa
8
Retre
5
Conchie
16
Kartum
3
Piper
7
Eze
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Oluwayemi | G |
| 6 | T. Payne | D |
| 28 | B. Tuiloma | D |
| 15 | I. Hughes | D |
| 18 | L. Kelly-Heald | D |
| 16 | S. Kartum | M |
| 5 | F. Conchie | M |
| 8 | P. Retre | M |
| 25 | K. Nagasawa | M |
| 7 | I. Eze | F |
| 3 | C. Piper | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | A. Kelly-Heald | - |
| 9 | S. Singh | M |
| 29 | L. Brooke-Smith | F |
| 11 | C. Armiento | F |
| 20 | R. Najjarine | F |
| 12 | D. Edwards | D |
| 27 | M. Sheridan | D |
Macarthur
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mile Sterjovski
1
Robinson
25
Talbot
5
Jurman
3
Silva
32
McKay
26
Brattan
17
Randazzo
24
Bosnjak
10
Caceres
8
Vickery
15
Duke
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Robinson | G |
| 32 | W. McKay | D |
| 3 | D. Da Silva | D |
| 5 | M. Jurman | D |
| 25 | C. Talbot | D |
| 17 | O. Randazzo | M |
| 26 | L. Brattan | M |
| 8 | L. Vickery | M |
| 10 | A. Caceres | M |
| 24 | D. Bosnjak | M |
| 15 | M. Duke | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | F. Kurto | G |
| 22 | L. Rose | M |
| 28 | H. Sawyer | F |
| 11 | B. Oliveira | F |
| 19 | H. Politidis | D |
| 6 | T. Uskok | D |
| 35 | H. Oliveira | - |