Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United Prediction
McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle
AI call
Difficult Newcastle Jets win or draw
62%
20%
18%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle Jets a 62% chance of winning, Adelaide United 18% and the draw 20%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Will Dobson
⇄ Zach Clough
37'
⇄
HT 0–0
▮
48'
Ryan White
Yellow Card
Ben Gibson
⇄ Lachlan Rose
53'
⇄
⇄
63'
Luka Jovanovic
⇄ Anselmo
⇄
63'
Yaya Dukuly
⇄ Brody Burkitt
Xavier Bertoncello
⇄ Kota Mizunuma
68'
⇄
⇄ Eli Adams
68'
⇄
⚽
0–1
73'
assist: Anselmo
🖵
79'
Ethan Alagich
Goal cancelled
Daniel Wilmering
90'
⚽
1–1
Mark Natta
⇄ Lucas Scicluna
90+1'
⇄
▮
90+2'
Ethan Alagich
Yellow Card
⇄
90+6'
Jonny Yull
⇄ Juan Muñiz
Kosta Grozos
Yellow Card
90+7'
▮
▮
90+8'
Ryan Kitto
Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Newcastle Jets
Match Stats
Adelaide United
55%
Ball Possession
45%
1.71
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
14
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
5
2
Shots off Goal
7
6
Blocked Shots
2
9
Shots insidebox
9
5
Shots outsidebox
5
6
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
3
14
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
3
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6
517
Total passes
417
431
Passes accurate
340
83%
Passes %
82%
goals_prevented
Newcastle Jets
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Daniel Wilmering D | 8.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | 3 |
| 14 Max Burgess M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 61 (48%) | 5 |
| 1 James Delianov G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (37%) | – |
| 17 Kosta Grozos D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 75 (68%) | 1 |
| 10 Zach Clough M | 6.9 | 53' | – | – | 1 | 38 (32%) | 1 |
| 22 Joel Bertolissio D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (37%) | 2 |
| 13 Clayton Taylor M | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | – | 19 (10%) | 4 |
| 8 Lachlan Bayliss M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (40%) | 1 |
| 43 Xavier Bertoncello M | 6.6 | 68' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | 2 |
| 7 Eli Adams M | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 18 Kota Mizunuma M | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 13 (10%) | 2 |
| 11 Ben Gibson F | 6.5 | 53' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 28 Will Dobson M | 6.5 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 11 (7%) | 1 |
| 33 Mark Natta D | 6.3 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 85 (78%) | – |
| 9 Lachlan Rose F | 6.3 | 37' | – | – | 1 | 9 (6%) | – |
| 41 Lucas Scicluna M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
Adelaide United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 Ryan White M | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 30 (20%) | 3 |
| 22 Joshua Smits G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | – |
| 3 Bart Vriends D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (43%) | 3 |
| 55 Ethan Alagich M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (30%) | 2 |
| 9 Luka Jovanovic F | 7.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | 2 |
| 23 Luke Duzel M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (40%) | 4 |
| 14 Jay Barnett D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (49%) | 3 |
| 12 Jonny Yull F | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 32 (26%) | 2 |
| 4 Panagiotis Kikianis D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 61 (49%) | 1 |
| 87 Anselmo M | 6.7 | 27' | – | 1 | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 7 Ryan Kitto D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (21%) | 2 |
| 35 Brody Burkitt F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 19 Yaya Dukuly F | 6.2 | 63' | – | – | 3 | 18 (16%) | – |
| 10 Juan Muñiz M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (56%)
At a glance
Our lean
Difficult Newcastle Jets win or draw
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Newcastle Jets
LWDDL
Adelaide United
LWLDD
Last 1 meetings
Newcastle Jets · 1W 0D 0L
Match summary
In the upcoming A-League clash on April 11, 2026, Newcastle Jets host Adelaide United at McDonald Jones Stadium. Historically, this matchup has favored home teams, with Newcastle winning 62% of their home fixtures against Adelaide. The Jets have shown strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Adelaide has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match. Key players to watch include Newcastle's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and Adelaide's playmaker, who has contributed 8 assists. With Newcastle's solid home record and Adelaide's defensive vulnerabilities, the Jets are poised to capitalize on their home advantage.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United
1
Newcastle Jets Wins
0
Draws
0
Adelaide United Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb 2026 | Adelaide United | 2 - 3 | Newcastle Jets |
Newcastle Jets — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul | A Preston Lions | L | 3 - 2 |
| 25 Apr | H Central Coast Mariners | W | 4 - 0 |
| 17 Apr | A Melbourne Victory | D | 2 - 2 |
| 11 Apr | H Adelaide United | D | 1 - 1 |
| 02 Apr | A Macarthur | L | 3 - 2 |
Adelaide United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May | A Auckland | L | 1 - 0 |
| 26 Apr | A Melbourne City | W | 1 - 2 |
| 19 Apr | H Macarthur | L | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Apr | A Newcastle Jets | D | 1 - 1 |
| 03 Apr | H Auckland | D | 1 - 1 |
A-League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Adelaide United
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Central Coast Mariners
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Newcastle Jets
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Perth Glory
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 |
Brisbane Roar
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |
Sydney
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |
Wellington Phoenix
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 |
Melbourne Victory
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 |
Melbourne City
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 |
Western Sydney Wanderers
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 |
Macarthur
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 |
Auckland
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Newcastle Jets
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Mark Milligan
1
Delianov
23
Wilmering
33
Natta
17
Grozos
22
Bertolissio
8
Bayliss
14
Burgess
13
Taylor
28
Dobson
43
Bertoncello
11
Gibson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Delianov | G |
| 22 | J. Bertolissio | D |
| 17 | K. Grozos | D |
| 33 | M. Natta | D |
| 23 | D. Wilmering | D |
| 14 | M. Burgess | M |
| 8 | L. Bayliss | M |
| 43 | X. Bertoncello | M |
| 28 | W. Dobson | M |
| 13 | C. Taylor | M |
| 11 | B. Gibson | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | A. Nassiep | G |
| 18 | K. Mizunuma | M |
| 7 | E. Adams | M |
| 9 | L. Rose | F |
| 41 | L. Scicluna | M |
| 10 | Z. Clough | M |
| 42 | M. Cooper | D |
Adelaide United
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Airton Andrioli
22
Smits
7
Kitto
4
Kikianis
3
Vriends
14
Barnett
55
Alagich
23
Duzel
44
White
12
Yull
9
Jovanovic
19
Dukuly
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | J. Smits | G |
| 14 | J. Barnett | D |
| 3 | B. Vriends | D |
| 4 | P. Kikianis | D |
| 7 | R. Kitto | D |
| 44 | R. White | - |
| 23 | L. Duzel | M |
| 55 | E. Alagich | M |
| 19 | Y. Dukuly | F |
| 9 | L. Jovanovic | F |
| 12 | J. Yull | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | M. Vartuli | G |
| 10 | J. Muniz | M |
| 87 | Anselmo | M |
| 42 | A. Ayoubi | M |
| 62 | F. Talladira | M |
| 52 | S. Phillis | D |
| 35 | B. Burkitt | F |