Austin vs San Diego Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 27

27 Sep 2026, 00:30

Post on X

Austin

Home

00:30

27 Sep 2026

San Diego

Away

AI call Austin or draw

40%

26%

34%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Austin vs San Diego prediction: Sportiko gives Austin a 40% chance of winning, San Diego 34% and the draw 26%. Last updated 22 Sep 2026, 19:35.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Austin

DWDDW

San Diego

DLLLW

Last 1 meetings Austin · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

40%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

34%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

San Diego goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	5	5	2	1
1	6	12	8	4	2
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5		1	1

↑ Austin goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

34%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

40%

Away Win

34%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 17% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

40% Home Scores More 34% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	5.0%	4.9%	2.5%	0.9%
1	5.6%	12.0%	8.1%	4.1%	1.6%
2	5.8%	8.8%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.2%	4.9%	3.7%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

27%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Austin	Draw	San Diego
Austin	26.9%	5.8%	3.1%
Draw	12.0%	15.0%	13.3%
San Diego	1.9%	3.8%	18.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Austin vs San Diego

0 Austin Wins

0 Draws

1 San Diego Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 May 2026	San Diego	4 - 0	Austin

Austin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A FC Dallas	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Vancouver Whitecaps	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Colorado Rapids	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H San Jose Earthquakes	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Portland Timbers	W	1 - 2

San Diego — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Inter Miami	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H Philadelphia Union	L	0 - 5
10 Sep	H San Jose Earthquakes	L	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Orlando City SC	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	H Los Angeles Galaxy	W	3 - 1

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.