CF Montreal vs Inter Miami Prediction

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 17

Post on X

Inter Miami

Away

AI call Difficult Inter Miami win or draw

23%

55%

Home Win Draw Away Win

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami prediction: Sportiko gives CF Montreal a 23% chance of winning, Inter Miami 55% and the draw 23%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 01:43.

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Under 3.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

▮ 23'

Ian Fray Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 59'

Sergio Reguilón ⇄ Noah Allen

Daniel Rios

62' ⇄

Samuel Piette ⇄ Daniel Pereira

62' ⇄

Matthew Longstaff ⇄ Fabian Herbers

80' ⇄

⇄ 80'

Germán Berterame ⇄ Preston Plambeck

⚽ 0–1 81'

Luis Suárez Penalty

▮ 84'

Telasco Segovia Yellow Card

Victor Loturi ⇄ Olger Escobar

90+6' ⇄

⇄ 90+9'

Yannick Bright ⇄ David Ruíz

Efraín Morales ⇄ Brandan Craig

90+12' ⇄

FT 0–1

CF Montreal

Match Stats

Inter Miami

42% Ball Possession 58%

2.04 Expected Goals (xG) 1.72

8 Total Shots 20

3 Shots on Goal 2

5 Shots off Goal 9

0 Blocked Shots 9

7 Shots insidebox 11

1 Shots outsidebox 9

4 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 1

6 Fouls 13

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

378 Total passes 522

316 Passes accurate 458

84% Passes % 88%

1.05 goals_prevented 1.05

CF Montreal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Luca Petrasso D	7.3	99'	–	–	–	50 (42%)	1
9 Prince Owusu F	7.2	99'	–	–	1	21 (14%)	1
18 Hennadii Synchuk F	7.0	99'	–	–	4	18 (15%)	2
4 Brayan Vera D	6.9	99'	–	–	–	43 (34%)	–
6 Samuel Piette M	6.9	61'	–	–	–	28 (26%)	1
24 Efraín Morales D	6.9	99'	–	–	1	47 (40%)	3
7 Daniel Pereira M	6.9	38'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	–
8 Matthew Longstaff M	6.7	80'	–	–	1	33 (28%)	–
22 Victor Loturi M	6.6	96'	–	–	–	51 (43%)	1
1 Sebastian Breza G	6.6	99'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	–
23 Noah Streit M	6.5	37'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
27 Dawid Bugaj D	6.3	99'	–	–	–	19 (16%)	2
21 Fabian Herbers F	6.3	19'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
14 Daniel Rios F	6.0	62'	–	–	1	13 (10%)	–
29 Olger Escobar F	—	3'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1

Inter Miami

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
34 Rocco Ríos Novo G	8.6	99'	–	–	–	32 (23%)	1
16 Micael D	7.5	99'	–	–	–	57 (56%)	3
8 Telasco Segovia M	7.3	99'	–	–	3	63 (59%)	1
9 Luis Suárez F	7.3	99'	1	–	2	45 (35%)	2
5 Casemiro M	7.2	99'	–	–	2	64 (57%)	1
17 Ian Fray D	6.9	99'	–	–	–	55 (48%)	2
3 Sergio Reguilón D	6.9	59'	–	–	–	42 (38%)	1
42 Yannick Bright M	6.9	98'	–	–	1	52 (44%)	2
19 Germán Berterame F	6.6	80'	–	–	2	16 (13%)	–
32 Noah Allen D	6.6	40'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	1
4 Facundo Mura D	6.3	99'	–	–	–	53 (48%)	1
59 Preston Plambeck M	6.3	19'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
24 Mateo Silvetti M	6.2	99'	–	–	1	28 (24%)	–
41 David Ruíz M	—	1'	–	–	–	2	–

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Inter Miami win or draw

Most likely score

0:2 · 16.4%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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CF Montreal

LWLLL

Inter Miami

DWDDD

Last 1 meetings CF Montreal · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming MLS match, CF Montreal will face Inter Miami. Montreal has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season, while Miami struggles defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game on average. Both teams rely on key attacking players, with Montreal's midfield creating significant chances, while Miami's attack has been inconsistent. The match could hinge on Montreal's ability to exploit Miami's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect a competitive game as both teams vie for crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

23%

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

55%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Inter Miami goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	15	16	11	6	2
1	3	9	9	6	3	1
2	1	2	2	2	1
3
4
5

↑ CF Montreal goals · most likely 0–2 (16.4%)

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Players in form

CF Montreal

P. Owusu 13 gls

Inter Miami

L. Messi 20 gls

L. Suárez 12 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

23%

Home Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

23%

Home Win

23%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

91% Away (No Draw) 9% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 7% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	14.9%	16.4%	11.2%	5.7%
1	3.0%	9.4%	8.5%	5.8%	3.0%
2	1.1%	2.2%	2.2%	1.5%	0.8%
3	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CF Montreal	Draw	Inter Miami
CF Montreal	4.0%	2.5%	2.0%
Draw	3.3%	14.1%	23.1%
Inter Miami	0.4%	2.3%	48.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

59%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: CF Montreal vs Inter Miami

0 CF Montreal Wins

0 Draws

1 Inter Miami Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Inter Miami	7 - 1	CF Montreal

CF Montreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Columbus Crew	L	0 - 2
16 Sep	H Vancouver Whitecaps	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	L	1 - 0
09 Sep	H Charlotte	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Philadelphia Union	L	2 - 0

Inter Miami — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H San Diego	D	2 - 2
17 Sep	H Cruz Azul	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Chicago Fire	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
11	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
12	Real Salt Lake	25	8	5	12	37	42	-5	29
13	Seattle Sounders	24	7	8	9	28	33	-5	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

Inter Miami

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Guillermo Hoyos Angel

34 Novo

3 Reguilón

16 Micael

17 Fray

4 Mura

24 Silvetti

8 Segovia

5 Casemiro

42 Bright

9 Suárez

19 Berterame

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
34	Rocco Ríos Novo	G
4	Facundo Mura	D
17	Ian Fray	D
16	Micael	D
3	Sergio Reguilón	D
42	Yannick Bright	M
5	Casemiro	M
8	Telasco Segovia	M
24	Mateo Silvetti	M
19	Germán Berterame	F
9	Luis Suárez	F

Substitutes

97	Dayne St. Clair	G
76	Ezequiel Abadia-Reda	D
70	Daniel Sumalla	D
32	Noah Allen	D
41	David Ruíz	M
59	Preston Plambeck	M
55	Ian Urkidi	M
52	Diego Rey	F
56	Daniel Pinter	F

CF Montreal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

1 Breza

13 Petrasso

4 Vera

24 Morales

27 Bugaj

22 Loturi

6 Piette

8 Longstaff

14 Rios

9 Owusu

18 Synchuk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sebastian Breza	G
27	Dawid Bugaj	D
24	Efraín Morales	D
4	Brayan Vera	D
13	Luca Petrasso	D
8	Matthew Longstaff	M
6	Samuel Piette	M
22	Victor Loturi	M
18	Hennadii Synchuk	F
9	Prince Owusu	F
14	Daniel Rios	F

Substitutes

41	Samsy Keita	G
5	Brandan Craig	D
2	Jalen Neal	D
26	Ivan Losenko	M
29	Olger Escobar	F
21	Fabian Herbers	F
23	Noah Streit	M
7	Daniel Pereira	M