Mirassol vs Vitoria Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Post on X

Mirassol

Home

2 : 2

HT 0 - 2

Vitoria

Away

AI call Mirassol or draw

49%

28%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Mirassol vs Vitoria prediction: Sportiko gives Mirassol a 49% chance of winning, Vitoria 23% and the draw 28%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 21:08.

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Over 1.5 Goals 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 75%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 3'

Renê Sousa assist: Lucas Arcanjo

⚽ 0–2 12'

Renê Sousa assist: Erick

▮ 18'

Emanuel Brítez Yellow Card

Alesson Yellow Card

29' ▮

Gustavo Silva ⇄ Edson Carioca

42' ⇄

▮ 45'

Caique Gonçalves Yellow Card

HT 0–2

Wallisson Luiz Yellow Card

57' ▮

🖵 61'

Zé Vitor Goal cancelled

Wallisson Luiz ⇄ Shaylon

63' ⇄

Alesson ⇄ Fernandinho

63' ⇄

Willian Machado Yellow Card

64' ▮

Bruno Santos

68' ⚽ 1–2

Eduardo ⇄ André Luis

69' ⇄

Willian Machado ⇄ Lucas Oliveira

69' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Erick ⇄ Marinho

⇄ 70'

Diego Tarzia ⇄ Tomás Pochettino

⇄ 77'

Caique Gonçalves ⇄ Edenilson

⇄ 81'

Renê Sousa ⇄ Renato Kayzer

▮ 89'

Marinho Yellow Card

Edson Carioca assist: Shaylon

90' ⚽ 2–2

Edson Carioca Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

▮ 90+2'

Mateusinho Yellow Card

▮ 90+10'

Edenilson Yellow Card

Fernandinho Yellow Card

90+10' ▮

FT 2–2

Mirassol

Match Stats

Vitoria

75% Ball Possession 25%

27 Total Shots 8

6 Shots on Goal 6

10 Shots off Goal 1

11 Blocked Shots 1

9 Shots insidebox 3

18 Shots outsidebox 5

12 Corner Kicks 5

1 Offsides 2

14 Fouls 17

5 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

591 Total passes 187

537 Passes accurate 132

16 Free Kicks 14

Mirassol

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
95 Edson Carioca F	8.2	48'	1	–	3	28 (23%)	2
30 Bruno Santos F	7.8	90'	1	–	4	21 (18%)	2
6 Reinaldo D	7.5	90'	–	–	5	53 (49%)	–
7 Shaylon M	7.4	27'	–	1	2	36 (36%)	–
32 Igor Formiga D	7.3	90'	–	–	3	70 (63%)	4
10 Chico M	7.2	90'	–	–	3	111 (103%)	–
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	65 (60%)	–
23 Alex Muralha G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	–
2 Lucas Oliveira D	6.6	21'	–	–	1	29 (29%)	–
9 André Luis F	6.5	21'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1
17 Fernandinho F	6.4	27'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	1
77 Alesson M	6.3	63'	–	–	3	23 (20%)	1
19 Gustavo Silva M	6.2	42'	–	–	1	19 (18%)	3
3 Willian Machado D	6.2	69'	–	–	–	37 (34%)	2
80 Wallisson Luiz M	6.1	63'	–	–	–	51 (42%)	5
33 Eduardo M	6.1	69'	–	–	1	18 (16%)	–

Vitoria

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
91 Renê Sousa F	8.6	81'	2	–	4	9 (7%)	1
33 Erick M	7.1	70'	–	1	1	18 (13%)	–
1 Lucas Arcanjo G	7.0	90'	–	1	–	25 (11%)	–
7 Marinho F	6.8	20'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	1
25 Cacá D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	1
88 Zé Vitor M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	26 (18%)	3
12 Diego Tarzia M	6.5	70'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	–
79 Renato Kayzer F	6.4	9'	–	–	–	–	–
95 Caique Gonçalves M	6.4	77'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	1
83 Jamerson D	6.3	90'	–	–	2	21 (16%)	7
36 Luan Cândido D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	2
8 Tomás Pochettino M	6.0	20'	–	–	–	1	1
2 Emanuel Brítez D	6.0	90'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	1
26 Edenilson M	5.8	13'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
98 Mateusinho D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	22 (14%)	4

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Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

Our lean

Mirassol or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Mirassol

WDWLD

Vitoria

LDWLL

Last 3 meetings Mirassol · 0W 1D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitoria goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Mirassol goals · most likely 1–1 (13.4%)

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Players in form

Mirassol

No scorer data.

Vitoria

Rene 9 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

28%

Away Win

23%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	5.7%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%
1	9.8%	13.4%	6.2%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.3%	9.6%	5.0%	1.7%	0.5%
3	5.0%	5.2%	2.7%	0.9%	0.3%
4	2.1%	2.1%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mirassol	Draw	Vitoria
Mirassol	33.3%	5.0%	1.8%
Draw	15.5%	17.3%	10.0%
Vitoria	1.8%	3.5%	11.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mirassol vs Vitoria

0 Mirassol Wins

1 Draws

2 Vitoria Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Vitoria	1 - 0	Mirassol
29 Nov 2025	Vitoria	2 - 0	Mirassol
26 Jul 2025	Mirassol	1 - 1	Vitoria

Mirassol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Botafogo	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Vitoria	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Coritiba	W	1 - 2
02 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Palmeiras	D	1 - 1

Vitoria — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Cruzeiro	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Mirassol	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	H Gremio	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Vasco DA Gama	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Atletico-MG	L	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Vitoria

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

1 Arcanjo

83 Jamerson

36 Cândido

25 Cacá

2 Brítez

98 Mateusinho

12 Tarzia

88 Vitor

95 Caíque

33 Erick

91 Rene

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Lucas Arcanjo	G
98	Mateusinho	D
2	E. Brítez	D
25	Cacá	D
36	Luan Cândido	D
83	Jamerson	D
33	Erick	M
95	Caíque	M
88	Zé Vitor	M
12	D. Tarzia	M
91	Rene	F

Substitutes

69	Wanderson Estrela Oliveira	D
79	Renato Kayzer	F
10	Matheuzinho	M
8	T. Pochettino	M
20	Lucas Silva	F
7	Marinho	F
26	Edenilson	M
71	Yuri Sena	G
3	Darlan Silva Dutra	D
16	Rúben Ismael	M
9	Alex Bruno	F
70	Fabiano	D

Mirassol

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Rafael Guanaes

23 Muralha

6 Reinaldo

3 Machado

44 Gabriel

32 Formiga

80 Wallisson

77 Alesson

33 Eduardo

10 Chico

19 Silva

30 Santos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Alex Muralha	G
32	Igor Formiga	D
44	Gabriel	D
3	Willian Machado	D
6	Reinaldo	D
80	Wallisson	M
19	Gustavo Silva	M
10	Chico	M
33	Eduardo	M
77	Alesson	M
30	Bruno Santos	F

Substitutes

96	Carlos Eduardo	F
7	Shaylon	M
20	Daniel Borges	D
2	Lucas Oliveira	D
5	Japa	M
90	Thomazella	G
12	Victor Luís	D
18	Elias	D
17	Fernandinho	F
95	Edson	F
25	Neto Moura	M
9	André Luís	F