Corinthians vs Santos Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

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Corinthians

Home

0 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Santos

Away

AI call Difficult Corinthians win or draw

53%

29%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Corinthians vs Santos prediction: Sportiko gives Corinthians a 53% chance of winning, Santos 19% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 21:04.

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Timeline

▮ 10'

Álvaro Barreal Yellow Card

▮ 20'

Willian Arão Yellow Card

⇄ 24'

Gustavo Henrique Pereira ⇄ Christian Oliva

Gabriel Paulista Yellow Card

31' ▮

⚽ 0–1 33'

Christian Oliva

Rodrigo Garro Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

Raniele Yellow Card

45+4' ▮

▮ 45+4'

Lucas Veríssimo Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Allan ⇄ Pedro Raul

64' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Gabriel Bontempo ⇄ Rony

⇄ 73'

Álvaro Barreal ⇄ Davizinho

⇄ 73'

Gabriel Barbosa ⇄ Benjamín Rollheiser

Dieguinho ⇄ Gui Negão

77' ⇄

Raniele ⇄ Matheus Pereira

84' ⇄

FT 0–1

Corinthians

Match Stats

Santos

62% Ball Possession 38%

0.72 Expected Goals (xG) 1.01

16 Total Shots 7

1 Shots on Goal 4

9 Shots off Goal 1

6 Blocked Shots 2

7 Shots insidebox 2

9 Shots outsidebox 5

8 Corner Kicks 1

2 Offsides 4

9 Fouls 15

3 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

563 Total passes 367

492 Passes accurate 284

87% Passes % 77%

0.19 goals_prevented 0.19

Corinthians

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Raniele M	7.2	84'	–	–	1	65 (58%)	2
8 Rodrigo Garro M	7.2	93'	–	–	1	62 (49%)	2
10 M. Depay F	7.0	93'	–	–	1	28 (22%)	–
1 Hugo Souza G	7.0	93'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	–
29 Allan M	7.0	64'	–	–	1	65 (58%)	1
2 Matheuzinho D	6.9	93'	–	–	1	53 (45%)	1
3 Gabriel Paulista D	6.9	93'	–	–	–	62 (58%)	–
18 Pedro Raul F	6.9	29'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	1
61 Dieguinho M	6.7	77'	–	–	1	26 (24%)	1
37 Kaio César M	6.6	93'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	1
23 Matheus Pereira M	6.6	9'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
13 Gustavo Henrique D	6.5	93'	–	–	1	73 (67%)	–
56 Gui Negão F	6.5	16'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
21 Matheus Bidu D	6.3	93'	–	–	3	62 (53%)	–

Santos

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Neymar M	7.2	93'	–	–	1	47 (31%)	1
28 Christian Oliva M	7.2	69'	1	–	1	15 (11%)	2
77 Gabriel Brazão G	7.0	93'	–	–	–	31 (19%)	–
15 Willian Arão M	6.9	93'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	2
8 Gabriel Bontempo M	6.7	66'	–	–	–	21 (16%)	2
4 Lucas Veríssimo D	6.6	93'	–	–	–	41 (35%)	2
31 Gonzalo Escobar D	6.6	93'	–	–	–	34 (26%)	1
32 Benjamín Rollheiser F	6.6	20'	–	–	–	13 (13%)	1
27 Davizinho F	6.6	20'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
18 Igor Vinícius D	6.3	93'	–	–	–	33 (27%)	1
14 Luan Peres D	6.3	93'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	–
22 Álvaro Barreal M	6.3	73'	–	–	1	27 (20%)	1
11 Rony F	6.3	27'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
9 Gabriel Barbosa F	6.3	73'	–	–	2	22 (17%)	–
48 Gustavo Henrique Pereira M	6.2	24'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–

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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Corinthians win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 16.5%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Corinthians

LLLDL

Santos

WWWWD

Last 3 meetings Corinthians · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

19%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Santos goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	6	3	1
1	16	13	4	1
2	13	8	3	1
3	6	4	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ Corinthians goals · most likely 1–0 (16.5%)

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Players in form

Corinthians

No scorer data.

Santos

Gabriel Barbosa 11 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

29%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.8%	6.4%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
1	16.5%	13.0%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.1%	8.4%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
3	6.4%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
4	2.3%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Corinthians	Draw	Santos
Corinthians	32.4%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	22.1%	20.9%	5.7%
Santos	2.2%	4.2%	9.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Corinthians vs Santos

1 Corinthians Wins

1 Draws

1 Santos Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Santos	1 - 1	Corinthians
15 Oct 2025	Santos	3 - 1	Corinthians
18 May 2025	Corinthians	1 - 0	Santos

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Corinthians — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Fluminense	L	1 - 3
17 Sep	H Estudiantes L.P.	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 1
10 Sep	A Estudiantes L.P.	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Chapecoense-sc	L	1 - 2

Santos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Remo	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Cruzeiro	W	2 - 1
09 Sep	H Atletico-MG	W	2 - 0
06 Sep	A Internacional	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Palmeiras	D	0 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Santos

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cuca

77 Brazão

31 Escobar

14 Peres

4 Veríssimo

18 Vinícius

15 Arão

48 Gustavinho

22 Barreal

10 Neymar

8 Bontempo

9 Barbosa

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
77	Gabriel Brazão	G
18	Igor Vinícius	D
4	Lucas Veríssimo	D
14	Luan Peres	D
31	Gonzalo Escobar	D
48	Gustavinho	M
15	Willian Arão	M
8	Gabriel Bontempo	M
10	Neymar	M
22	Álvaro Barreal	M
9	Gabriel Barbosa	F

Substitutes

28	Christian Oliva	M
11	Rony	F
1	Diogenes	G
26	João Paulo Ananias	D
38	Rafael Gonzaga	D
32	Benjamín Rollheiser	F
27	Davizinho	F
81	Samuel Mendes	M
30	Miguelito	M
17	Gustavo Caballero	F
16	Thaciano	M
21	Moisés	F

Corinthians

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Fernando Diniz

1 Souza

21 Bidu

13 Henrique

3 Paulista

2 Matheuzinho

14 Raniele

29 Allan

61 Dieguinho

8 Garro

37 César

10 Depay

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Hugo Souza	G
2	Matheuzinho	D
3	Gabriel Paulista	D
13	Gustavo Henrique	D
21	Matheus Bidu	D
29	Allan	M
14	Raniele	M
37	Kaio César	M
8	Rodrigo Garro	M
61	Dieguinho	M
10	Memphis Depay	F

Substitutes

18	Pedro Raul	F
51	Kauê	G
20	Pedro Milans	D
46	Hugo	D
4	João Pedro Tchoca	D
26	Fabrizio Angileri	D
55	Iago Machado	D
35	Charles	M
23	Matheus Pereira	M
80	Alex Santana	M
56	Gui Negão	F
64	Luiz Fernando	F