Coritiba vs Corinthians Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 24
FT
Post on X
AI call Corinthians or draw
26%
32%
42%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Coritiba vs Corinthians prediction: Sportiko gives Coritiba a 26% chance of winning, Corinthians 42% and the draw 32%. Last updated 24 Aug 2026, 00:33.

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  • Away to Score 73%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 70%
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Timeline

Pedro Rocha assist: João Pedro Chermont
40' ⚽ 1–0
Thiago Santos Yellow Card
42' ▮
▮ 42'
Breno Bidon Yellow Card
HT 1–0
⇄ 46'
Pedro Milans ⇄ Matheus Pereira
⇄ 46'
Pedro Raul ⇄ M. Depay
Pedro Rocha ⇄ Paulo Roberto
62' ⇄
Thiago Santos
62' ⇄
Yellow Card
67' ▮
▮ 67'
Matheus Pereira Yellow Card
⇄ 71'
Breno Bidon ⇄ Gui Negão
⇄ 72'
André Carrillo ⇄ Dieguinho
Joaquín Lavega ⇄ Fabinho
72' ⇄
Paulo Roberto assist: João Pedro Chermont
75' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 82'
Kaio César ⇄ Jesse Lingard
Josué ⇄ Fernando Sobral
84' ⇄
João Pedro Chermont ⇄ Lucas Taverna
84' ⇄
⚽ 2–1 90+3'
Raniele assist: Allan
FT 2–1
Coritiba

Match Stats

Corinthians
36% Ball Possession 64%
0.37 Expected Goals (xG) 0.55
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 7
6 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Corner Kicks 14
5 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
310 Total passes 541
249 Passes accurate 487
80% Passes % 90%
-1.39 goals_prevented -1.39
Coritiba
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
32 Pedro Rocha F 7.7 62' 1 – 2 11 (9%) –
44 João Pedro Chermont D 7.7 84' – 2 1 23 (16%) 2
19 Sebastian Gomez M 7.3 93' – – – 25 (24%) 5
55 Jacy Maranhão D 7.2 93' – – – 30 (27%) 4
18 Paulo Roberto M 7.2 31' 1 – 1 4 (3%) 2
1 Pedro Morisco G 7.0 93' – – – 30 (16%) –
23 Tiago Cóser D 7.0 93' – – – 25 (23%) 1
10 Josué M 6.9 84' – – 2 56 (49%) –
21 Thiago Santos M 6.9 62' – – 1 24 (22%) 1
28 Fabinho F 6.7 21' – – – 3 (3%) –
77 Breno Lopes M 6.6 93' – – – 23 (19%) –
7 Joaquín Lavega M 6.6 72' – – 3 19 (12%) 2
26 Bruno Melo D 6.6 93' – – – 29 (18%) 1
88 Fernando Sobral M 6.5 9' – – – 2 (2%) –
86 Lucas Taverna D 6.5 9' – – – 1 (1%) 1
50 Vitor Gonçalves Tissi M 6.2 31' – – – 5 (5%) –
Corinthians
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 André Carrillo M 7.2 72' – – – 38 (36%) –
29 Allan M 7.0 93' – – – 93 (87%) 2
23 Matheus Pereira M 6.9 48' – – – 41 (39%) 1
7 Breno Bidon M 6.7 71' – – – 26 (22%) 2
13 Gustavo Henrique D 6.6 93' – – 1 67 (60%) 1
37 Kaio César M 6.6 82' – – – 29 (25%) –
77 Jesse Lingard M 6.6 11' – – – 6 (6%) –
10 M. Depay F 6.3 48' – – 1 19 (17%) –
18 Pedro Raul F 6.3 45' – – – 7 (4%) –
14 Raniele M 6.3 93' 1 – 3 40 (38%) 1
20 Pedro Milans D 6.2 45' – – 1 13 (12%) 1
61 Dieguinho M 6.2 21' – – – 7 (6%) –
56 Gui Negão F 6.2 22' – – – 2 (2%) –
3 Gabriel Paulista D 6.0 93' – – 1 74 (61%) –
26 Fabrizio Angileri D 6.0 93' – – 1 41 (37%) 5
51 Kauê G 5.9 93' – – – 38 (35%) –
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Our lean
Corinthians or draw
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Coritiba
LDLWW
Corinthians
LLLDL
Last 3 meetings Coritiba · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
26%
10%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
42%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Coritiba
Pedro Rocha 8 gls
Breno Lopes 8 gls
Corinthians

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Coritiba vs Corinthians

1 Coritiba Wins
0 Draws
2 Corinthians Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Mar 2026 Corinthians 0 - 2 Coritiba
06 Dec 2023 Coritiba 0 - 2 Corinthians
13 Aug 2023 Corinthians 3 - 1 Coritiba
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Coritiba — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Vasco DA Gama L 5 - 0
12 Sep H Atletico Paranaense D 3 - 3
06 Sep H Mirassol L 1 - 2
31 Aug A Remo W 2 - 3
23 Aug H Corinthians W 2 - 1

Corinthians — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Fluminense L 1 - 3
17 Sep H Estudiantes L.P. L 0 - 1
13 Sep A Flamengo L 2 - 1
10 Sep A Estudiantes L.P. D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Chapecoense-sc L 1 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Palmeiras
28 16 9 3 +26 57
3
Atletico Paranaense
28 14 7 7 +11 49
4
Fluminense
28 13 9 6 +8 48
5
Bahia
28 12 10 6 +8 46
6
Cruzeiro
28 13 6 9 +2 45
7
Atletico-MG
27 11 7 9 +4 40
8
Santos
27 10 8 9 +1 38
9
Coritiba
28 10 8 10 -6 38
10
RB Bragantino
27 10 6 11 +2 36
11
Sao Paulo
27 10 6 11 +2 36
12
Botafogo
28 9 8 11 -4 35
13
Vitoria
28 9 6 13 -14 33
14
Corinthians
28 8 8 12 -3 32
15
Mirassol
28 8 8 12 -9 32
16
Vasco DA Gama
27 8 7 12 -7 31
17
Gremio
28 7 8 13 -8 29
18
Internacional
28 6 10 12 -6 28
19
Remo
28 5 8 15 -15 23
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
27 3 9 15 -24 18

Corinthians

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Fernando Diniz
51 Kauê
26 Angileri
13 Henrique
3 Paulista
20 Milans
19 Carrillo
29 Allan
14 Raniele
37 César
7 Bidon
18 Raul

Starting XI

# Player Pos
51 Kauê G
20 Pedro Milans D
3 Gabriel Paulista D
13 Gustavo Henrique D
26 Fabrizio Angileri D
37 Kaio César M
14 Raniele M
29 Allan M
19 André Carrillo M
18 Pedro Raul F
7 Breno Bidon F

Substitutes

40 Felipe Longo G
4 João Pedro Tchoca D
55 Iago Machado D
46 Hugo D
35 Charles M
61 Dieguinho M
54 Luiz Gustavo Bahia M
23 Matheus Pereira M
80 Alex Santana M
56 Gui Negão F
77 Jesse Lingard M
10 Memphis Depay F

Coritiba

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Seabra Fernando
1 Morisco
26 Melo
55 Maranhão
23 Cóser
44 Chermont
19 Gomez
21 Santos
77 Lopes
10 Josué
7 Lavega
32 Rocha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Pedro Morisco G
44 João Pedro Chermont D
23 Tiago Cóser D
55 Jacy Maranhão D
26 Bruno Melo D
21 Thiago Santos M
19 Sebastian Gomez M
7 Joaquín Lavega M
10 Josué M
77 Breno Lopes M
32 Pedro Rocha F

Substitutes

13 Keiller G
86 Lucas Taverna D
3 Maicon D
16 João Almeida D
6 Felipe Jonatan D
4 Rodrigo Moledo D
50 Vitor Gonçalves Tissi M
88 Fernando Sobral M
18 Paulo Roberto M
78 Renato Marques F
28 Fabinho F
99 Rodrigo Rodrigues F

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