Molde vs Valerenga Prediction
FT
Aker Stadion, Molde
AI call
Molde or draw
43%
24%
33%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Molde vs Valerenga prediction: Sportiko gives Molde a 43% chance of winning, Valerenga 33% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
assist: Eirik Hestad
21'
⚽
1–0
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Yellow Card
38'
▮
⚽
1–1
45'
Lucas Haren
assist: Mathias Grundetjern
HT 1–1
⇄
46'
Elias Sørensen
⇄ Petter Strand
▮
48'
Hakon Sjatil
Yellow Card
Emil Breivik
assist: Samukelo Kabini
51'
⚽
2–1
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
assist: Sondre Milian Granaas
55'
⚽
3–1
Eirik Hestad
57'
⚽
4–1
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
⇄ Jalal Abdullai
63'
⇄
Mats Møller Dæhli
⇄ Jacob Christensen
63'
⇄
⇄
69'
Mathias Grundetjern
⇄ Gabriel Rajkovic
⇄
69'
Hakon Sjatil
⇄ Odin Thiago Holm
Eirik Hestad
⇄ Viktor Bender
80'
⇄
Sondre Milian Granaas
assist: Jalal Abdullai
86'
⚽
5–1
⇄
88'
Lucas Haren
⇄ Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Sondre Milian Granaas
⇄ Trent Kone Doherty
89'
⇄
Emil Breivik
⇄ Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
89'
⇄
⇄
89'
Ivan Näsberg
⇄ Kevin Tshiembe
FT 5–1
Molde
Match Stats
Valerenga
58%
Ball Possession
42%
3.59
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
18
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
7
9
Shots off Goal
1
2
Blocked Shots
2
15
Shots insidebox
7
3
Shots outsidebox
3
2
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
559
Total passes
411
494
Passes accurate
331
88%
Passes %
81%
-1.74
goals_prevented
-1.74
Molde
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Emil Breivik M | 8.9 | 89' | 1 | – | 3 | 27 (25%) | – |
| 33 Birk Risa D | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 95 (89%) | – |
| 5 Eirik Hestad M | 8.2 | 80' | 1 | 1 | 5 | 37 (30%) | 2 |
| 4 Sivert Sira Hansen D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 89 (79%) | 5 |
| 8 Fredrik Gulbrandsen F | 8.0 | 63' | 2 | – | 3 | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 22 Albert Posiadała G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (20%) | – |
| 26 Samukelo Kabini D | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 50 (45%) | 3 |
| 23 Sondre Milian Granaas M | 7.6 | 89' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 (35%) | 1 |
| 17 Mats Møller Dæhli M | 7.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 55 (52%) | 2 |
| 9 Jalal Abdullai F | 7.0 | 27' | – | 1 | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 14 Jacob Christensen M | 7.0 | 27' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
| 28 Viktor Bender M | 6.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 2 |
| 18 Halldor Stenevik D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 45 (38%) | 2 |
| 15 Vebjørn Hoff M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (43%) | – |
| 21 Oskar Spiten-Nysæter F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 24 Trent Kone Doherty F | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
Valerenga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Petter Strand M | 7.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 4 |
| 17 Mathias Grundetjern F | 7.2 | 69' | – | 1 | 1 | 16 (12%) | – |
| 8 Henrik Bjørdal F | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (27%) | 2 |
| 77 Lucas Haren M | 6.9 | 88' | 1 | – | 1 | 23 (14%) | 1 |
| 10 Carl Lange M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 50 (38%) | 4 |
| 9 Gabriel Rajkovic F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 15 Odin Thiago Holm M | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 4 Aaron Kiil Olsen D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (52%) | 3 |
| 28 Magnus Westergaard M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 30 (25%) | 3 |
| 11 Elias Sørensen M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 13 (8%) | 2 |
| 1 Oscar Hedvall G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (36%) | – |
| 3 Hakon Sjatil D | 5.7 | 69' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | 2 |
| 37 Ivan Näsberg D | 5.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | – |
| 2 Kolbeinn Finnsson D | 4.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | – |
| 5 Kevin Tshiembe D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 6 Vegar Eggen Hedenstad D | — | 2' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (61%)
At a glance
Our lean
Molde or draw
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Molde
LWWWW
Valerenga
DWLDL
Last 3 meetings
Molde · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
In this Eliteserien clash, Molde hosts Valerenga, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings. Molde has shown strong home form, winning 75% of their last six home matches, while Valerenga has struggled on the road, securing only 1 win in their last five away games. Key players to watch include Molde's top scorer, who has netted 12 goals this season, and Valerenga's playmaker, known for his assists. Historically, Molde holds a slight edge with a 60% win rate in their last ten encounters. Expect a competitive match, but Molde's home advantage may prove decisive.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Molde
E. Hestad
8 gls
E. Breivik
7 gls
K. Lonebu
7 gls
Trent Toure Kone Doherty
6 gls
Valerenga
L. Haren
8 gls
C. Lange
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Molde vs Valerenga
3
Molde Wins
0
Draws
0
Valerenga Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Valerenga | 3 - 4 | Molde |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Molde | 4 - 1 | Valerenga |
| 22 Jun 2025 | Valerenga | 2 - 3 | Molde |
Molde — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Aalesund | L | 1 - 2 |
| 16 Sep | A Trygg/Lade | W | 0 - 5 |
| 13 Sep | A Ham-Kam | W | 1 - 5 |
| 06 Sep | H KFUM Oslo | W | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | A Valerenga | W | 3 - 4 |
Valerenga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Fredrikstad | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Sep | A Skeid | W | 1 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | A Lillestrom | L | 2 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Sarpsborg 08 FF | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Molde | L | 3 - 4 |
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Viking
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | +34 | 50 |
| 2 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53 | 19 | +34 | 50 |
| 3 |
Tromso
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 38 |
| 4 |
Molde
|
21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 32 | +12 | 36 |
| 5 |
Rosenborg
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 30 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |
Lillestrom
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 32 |
| 7 |
Brann
|
21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |
Fredrikstad
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
|
21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 |
KFUM Oslo
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 |
Sandefjord
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
| 12 |
Valerenga
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 |
Ham-Kam
|
21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 23 |
| 14 |
Aalesund
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 21 |
| 15 |
Kristiansund BK
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 |
Start
|
21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 16 |
Valerenga
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Geir Bakke
1
Hedvall
2
Finnsson
37
Nasberg
4
Olsen
3
Sjatil
11
Sorensen
10
Lange
28
Westergaard
77
Haren
17
Grundetjern
8
Bjordal
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | O. Hedvall | G |
| 3 | H. Sjatil | D |
| 4 | A. Olsen | D |
| 37 | I. Nasberg | D |
| 2 | K. Finnsson | D |
| 77 | L. Haren | M |
| 28 | M. Westergaard | M |
| 10 | C. Lange | M |
| 11 | E. Sorensen | M |
| 8 | H. Bjordal | F |
| 17 | M. Grundetjern | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | M. Sjoeng | G |
| 6 | V. Hedenstad | D |
| 9 | G. Rajkovic | F |
| 24 | P. Strand | M |
| 55 | S. Jarl | D |
| 5 | K. Tshiembe | D |
| 15 | O. T. Holm | M |
Molde
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Martin Falk
22
Posiadala
26
Kabini
33
Risa
4
Hansen
18
Stenevik
17
Daehli
15
Hoff
23
Granaas
10
Breivik
5
Hestad
8
Gulbrandsen
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | A. Posiadala | G |
| 18 | H. Stenevik | D |
| 4 | S. Hansen | D |
| 33 | B. Risa | D |
| 26 | S. Kabini | D |
| 15 | V. Hoff | M |
| 17 | M. Daehli | M |
| 5 | E. Hestad | M |
| 10 | E. Breivik | M |
| 23 | S. Granaas | M |
| 8 | F. Gulbrandsen | F |
Substitutes
| 32 | M. Myklebust | G |
| 25 | M. Linnes | D |
| 19 | E. Haugan | D |
| 9 | J. Abdullai | F |
| 31 | B. Isufi | M |
| 28 | V. Bender | M |
| 14 | J. Christensen | M |
| 24 | T. Kone-Doherty | F |
| 21 | O. Spiten-Nysaeter | F |