Fredrikstad vs Valerenga Prediction

Eliteserien Eliteserien · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
AI call Valerenga or draw
31%
27%
41%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Fredrikstad vs Valerenga prediction: Sportiko gives Fredrikstad a 31% chance of winning, Valerenga 41% and the draw 27%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 25'
Mathias Grundetjern assist: Magnus Westergaard
HT 0–1
Sondre Sørløkk ⇄ J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
46' ⇄
S. Owusu ⇄ Jonathan Norbye
52' ⇄
▮ 53'
Magnus Westergaard Yellow Card
▮ 58'
Ivan Näsberg Yellow Card
⇄ 68'
⇄ Petter Strand
⇄ 69'
Lucas Haren ⇄ Ambina Fidèle Brice
L. Owusu ⇄ H. Skogvold
71' ⇄
J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez Yellow Card
77' ▮
D. Eid assist: J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
79' ⚽ 1–1
Rocco Robert Shein
83' ⇄
S. Laghzaoui ⇄ Eirik Granaas
83' ⇄
⇄ 86'
Mathias Grundetjern ⇄ Ole Christian Saeter
⇄ 86'
Carl Lange ⇄ Filip Thorvaldsen
Yellow Card
90+5' ▮
▮ 90+5'
Ole Christian Saeter Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Fredrikstad

Match Stats

Valerenga
51% Ball Possession 49%
1.58 Expected Goals (xG) 1.67
17 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 7
12 Shots insidebox 11
5 Shots outsidebox 6
7 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 2
13 Fouls 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
462 Total passes 448
372 Passes accurate 364
81% Passes % 81%
0.12 goals_prevented 0.12
Fredrikstad
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Samuel Leach Holm M 8.5 90' – – 2 61 (56%) 5
77 M. Børsheim G 7.7 90' – – – 26 (15%) –
16 D. Eid D 7.6 90' 1 – 4 58 (42%) 3
10 J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez F 7.6 45' – 1 – 13 (10%) –
12 U. Fredriksen D 7.2 90' – – 1 54 (49%) –
24 L. Owusu M 6.9 71' – – – 45 (43%) 2
28 S. Owusu D 6.7 52' – – – 34 (32%) –
20 O. Øhlenschlæger M 6.6 90' – – – 27 (21%) 1
21 Rocco Robert Shein M 6.6 83' – – 2 37 (30%) 2
17 Sigurd Kvile D 6.6 14' – – – – –
19 Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem D 6.5 90' – – – 33 (27%) 1
23 H. Skogvold F 6.3 19' – – – 8 (3%) –
9 S. Laghzaoui F 6.3 83' – – – 21 (15%) 1
18 Jonathan Norbye D 6.3 38' – – 1 24 (19%) –
13 Sondre Sørløkk D 6.3 45' – – – 18 (9%) –
15 Eirik Granaas M 6.2 14' – – – 3 (1%) –
Valerenga
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Oscar Hedvall G 7.3 90' – – – 30 (17%) –
4 Aaron Kiil Olsen D 7.3 90' – – – 59 (55%) 3
37 Ivan Näsberg D 7.3 90' – – – 41 (39%) 1
8 Henrik Bjørdal F 7.3 90' – – – 36 (35%) 1
3 Hakon Sjatil D 7.2 90' – – – 48 (40%) 3
2 Kolbeinn Finnsson D 7.0 90' – – 1 58 (50%) 2
29 Ambina Fidèle Brice M 7.0 21' – – – 19 (13%) 1
17 Mathias Grundetjern F 7.0 86' 1 – 3 26 (16%) 2
28 Magnus Westergaard M 6.9 90' – 1 3 31 (25%) 1
26 Filip Thorvaldsen F 6.7 11' – – – 3 (2%) –
11 Elias Sørensen M 6.6 68' – – 1 14 (9%) 1
90 Ole Christian Saeter F 6.3 11' – – – 2 (1%) –
77 Lucas Haren M 6.2 69' – – 2 27 (15%) –
10 Carl Lange M 6.0 86' – – – 40 (35%) –
24 Petter Strand M 6.0 22' – – – 14 (12%) –
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean
Valerenga or draw
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Fredrikstad
DWDLW
Valerenga
DWLDL
Last 3 meetings Fredrikstad · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Fredrikstad will host Valerenga in an intriguing Eliteserien clash on April 12, 2026. Historically, Valerenga has been stronger, holding a favorable head-to-head record, but Fredrikstad's home advantage could level the playing field. Fredrikstad's recent form shows a mix of results, but they have been solid defensively, conceding an average of just 1 goal per match at home. Valerenga, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency but boasts a potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. Expect a tactical battle, with Fredrikstad looking to exploit set-pieces against a Valerenga side that may prioritize ball possession.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fredrikstad

No scorer data.

Valerenga
L. Haren 8 gls
C. Lange 6 gls

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Head to Head: Fredrikstad vs Valerenga

1 Fredrikstad Wins
2 Draws
0 Valerenga Wins
Date Home Score Away
20 Sep 2026 Valerenga 1 - 1 Fredrikstad
05 Jul 2025 Valerenga 1 - 1 Fredrikstad
09 Apr 2025 Fredrikstad 2 - 0 Valerenga

Fredrikstad — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Valerenga D 1 - 1
16 Sep A Stjørdals-Blink W 0 - 1
13 Sep H Sarpsborg 08 FF D 1 - 1
04 Sep H Bodo/Glimt L 1 - 2
30 Aug A Lillestrom W 1 - 4

Valerenga — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Fredrikstad D 1 - 1
17 Sep A Skeid W 1 - 4
12 Sep A Lillestrom L 2 - 0
06 Sep A Sarpsborg 08 FF D 2 - 2
30 Aug H Molde L 3 - 4

Eliteserien Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Viking
21 16 2 3 +34 50
2
Bodo/Glimt
21 16 2 3 +34 50
3
Tromso
21 11 5 5 +11 38
4
Molde
21 11 3 7 +12 36
5
Rosenborg
21 10 3 8 +9 33
6
Lillestrom
21 10 2 9 -1 32
7
Brann
21 9 2 10 +7 29
8
Fredrikstad
21 8 4 9 -7 28
9
Sarpsborg 08 FF
21 6 7 8 -5 25
10
KFUM Oslo
21 7 4 10 -10 25
11
Sandefjord
21 6 5 10 -6 23
12
Valerenga
21 6 5 10 -9 23
13
Ham-Kam
21 6 5 10 -15 23
14
Aalesund
21 4 9 8 -13 21
15
Kristiansund BK
21 5 4 12 -19 19
16
Start
21 4 4 13 -22 16

Fredrikstad

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Andreas Hagen
77 Borsheim
13 Sorlokk
28 Owusu
12 Fredriksen
16 Eid
19 Ghebreyohannes
21 Shein
24 Owusu
6 Leach
20 Ohlenschlaeger
9 Laghzaoui

Starting XI

# Player Pos
77 M. Borsheim G
19 F. Ghebreyohannes D
16 D. Eid D
12 U. Fredriksen D
28 S. Owusu D
13 S. Sorlokk D
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger M
6 S. Leach M
24 L. Owusu M
21 R. R. Shein M
9 S. Laghzaoui F

Substitutes

1 O. Ovretveit G
10 J. Nunez F
17 S. Kvile D
23 H. Skogvold F
14 M. Nilsson M
5 S. Rafn D
7 B. Faraas M
18 J. Norbye D
15 E. Granaas M

Valerenga

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Geir Bakke
1 Hedvall
2 Finnsson
37 Nasberg
4 Olsen
3 Sjatil
11 Sorensen
10 Lange
28 Westergaard
77 Haren
17 Grundetjern
8 Bjordal

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 O. Hedvall G
3 H. Sjatil D
4 A. Olsen D
37 I. Nasberg D
2 K. Finnsson D
77 L. Haren M
28 M. Westergaard M
10 C. Lange M
11 E. Sorensen M
8 H. Bjordal F
17 M. Grundetjern F

Substitutes

21 M. Sjoeng G
6 V. Hedenstad D
29 F. Ambina M
9 G. Rajkovic F
24 P. Strand M
5 K. Tshiembe D
15 O. T. Holm M
90 O. Saeter F
26 F. Thorvaldsen F

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