Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF Prediction

Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 13

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Degerfors IF

Away

AI call Hammarby FF to win

87%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF prediction: Sportiko gives Hammarby FF a 87% chance of winning, Degerfors IF 2% and the draw 11%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Home to Score 2+ 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Hammarby FF

Match Stats

Degerfors IF

58% Ball Possession 42%

Expected Goals (xG)

0 Total Shots 2

0 Shots on Goal 0

0 Shots off Goal 1

0 Blocked Shots 1

0 Shots insidebox 1

0 Shots outsidebox 1

1 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 1

3 Fouls 3

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

125 Total passes 88

107 Passes accurate 72

86% Passes % 82%

goals_prevented

Hammarby FF

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Victor Lind M	6.9	19'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	2
1 Warner Hahn G	6.7	19'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
3 Frederik Winther D	6.7	19'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–
8 Markus Karlsson M	6.7	19'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	1
2 Hampus Skoglund D	6.6	19'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	2
7 Paulos Abraham F	6.6	19'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
6 Ibrahima Fofana D	6.6	19'	–	–	–	15 (15%)	1
20 Nahir Besara M	6.5	19'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	–
26 Montader Madjed M	6.5	19'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
11 Oscar Johansson Schellhas M	6.3	19'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	2
16 Noah Persson D	6.2	19'	–	–	–	14 (10%)	–

Degerfors IF

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Sebastian Ohlsson D	7.2	19'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	–
3 Nikolai Skuseth D	6.9	19'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
38 Matvei Igonen G	6.7	19'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
8 Bilal Hussein M	6.7	19'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	1
23 Robin Dzabic F	6.6	19'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	2
20 Elias Barsoum M	6.5	19'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
18 Samba Diatara D	6.3	19'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
17 Arman Taranis F	6.3	19'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
11 Dijan Vukojevic F	6.3	19'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	1
4 Kazper Karlsson M	6.2	19'	–	–	1	7 (7%)	2
13 Yiriyon Gideon D	6.2	19'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–

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Confidence High (87%)

At a glance

Our lean

Hammarby FF to win

Most likely score

2:0 · 19%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Hammarby FF

WWDLW

Degerfors IF

LLWLL

Last 3 meetings Hammarby FF · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this Allsvenskan clash, Hammarby FF will face Degerfors IF. Hammarby has consistently shown strong attacking form, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Degerfors has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Hammarby's midfield dominance, reflected in a 55% possession rate, will be crucial in controlling the game. Additionally, their home performance historically enhances their chances, making them favorites to secure the win against a vulnerable Degerfors side. Expect a high-paced match with Hammarby looking to capitalize on their offensive strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

87%

45%

Draw

11%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Degerfors IF goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	1
1	13	5	1
2	19	6	1
3	18	5	1
4	12	4	1
5	7	2

↑ Hammarby FF goals · most likely 2–0 (19.0%)

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Players in form

Hammarby FF

P. Abraham 14 gls

V. Lind 9 gls

Degerfors IF

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

87%

Draw

11%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

68%

3.5

32%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

87%

Draw

11%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

98% Home (No Draw) 2% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

67% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

87% Home Scores More 11% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

68%

3.5

32%

86%

4.5

14%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
1	13.3%	4.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.0%	5.7%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	17.5%	5.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	12.1%	3.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

34%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

30%

27%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hammarby FF	Draw	Degerfors IF
Hammarby FF	64.5%	1.0%	0.1%
Draw	22.3%	7.7%	1.0%
Degerfors IF	1.4%	1.1%	1.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

75%

3.5

25%

Home Exact Goals

19%

26%

24%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF

2 Hammarby FF Wins

1 Draws

0 Degerfors IF Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Degerfors IF	0 - 1	Hammarby FF
03 Nov 2025	Degerfors IF	1 - 1	Hammarby FF
26 May 2025	Hammarby FF	1 - 0	Degerfors IF

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Hammarby FF — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Degerfors IF	W	0 - 1
13 Sep	H IF Brommapojkarna	W	3 - 1
06 Sep	A Orgryte IS	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A AIK Stockholm	L	3 - 2
26 Aug	A Stockholm Internazionale	W	0 - 3

Degerfors IF — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Hammarby FF	L	0 - 1
14 Sep	A Sirius	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	H Halmstad	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A IF Elfsborg	L	2 - 0
23 Aug	A IF Brommapojkarna	L	2 - 0

Allsvenskan Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sirius	22	16	3	3	52	28	+24	51
2	Hammarby FF	22	13	4	5	49	20	+29	43
3	Djurgardens IF	22	13	2	7	47	21	+26	41
4	IF Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31	22	+9	37
5	BK Hacken	22	9	9	4	39	30	+9	36
6	Vasteras SK FK	22	10	5	7	34	35	-1	35
7	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37	33	+4	33
8	AIK Stockholm	22	9	6	7	31	34	-3	33
9	IFK Goteborg	22	9	5	8	31	41	-10	32
10	Gais	22	8	6	8	28	20	+8	30
11	IF Brommapojkarna	22	7	6	9	30	36	-6	27
12	Mjallby AIF	22	5	7	10	27	38	-11	22
13	Kalmar FF	22	5	4	13	21	36	-15	19
14	Degerfors IF	22	5	4	13	19	34	-15	19
15	Orgryte IS	22	3	6	13	25	49	-24	15
16	Halmstad	22	3	5	14	16	40	-24	14

Hammarby FF

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Kalle Karlsson

1 Hahn

16 Persson

3 Winther

6 Fofana

2 Skoglund

8 Karlsson

11 Schellhas

9 Lind

20 Besara

26 Madjed

7 Abraham

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Warner Hahn	G
2	Hampus Skoglund	D
6	Ibrahima Fofana	D
3	Frederik Winther	D
16	Noah Persson	D
11	Oscar Johansson Schellhas	M
8	Markus Karlsson	M
26	Montader Madjed	M
20	Nahir Besara	M
9	Victor Lind	M
7	Paulos Abraham	F

Substitutes

27	Felix Jakobsson	G
31	Oscar Steinke Brånby	D
24	Waylon Renecke	D
33	Björn Hedlöf	D
28	Frank Junior Adjei	M
5	Tesfaldet Tekie	M
30	Suwaibou Kebbeh	F
15	Oliver Jordan Hagen	F
29	Moise Kaboré	F

Degerfors IF

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Henok Goitom

38 Igonen

18 Diatara

3 Skuseth

16 Ohlsson

13 Gideon

20 Barsoum

4 Karlsson

8 Hussein

11 Vukojevic

23 Dzabic

17 Taranis

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
38	Matvei Igonen	G
13	Yiriyon Gideon	D
16	Sebastian Ohlsson	D
3	Nikolai Skuseth	D
18	Samba Diatara	D
8	Bilal Hussein	M
4	Kazper Karlsson	M
20	Elias Barsoum	M
17	Arman Taranis	F
23	Robin Dzabic	F
11	Dijan Vukojevic	F

Substitutes

1	Wille Jakobsson	G
15	Nasiru Moro	D
7	Sebastian Ohlsson	D
2	Mamadouba Diaby	D
12	Erik Lindell	D
21	Alexander Berisson	F
19	Alexander Lindgren	M
27	Ziyad Salifu	F
24	Olle Leonardsson	F