Kilmarnock vs Dundee Prediction
FT
AI call
Kilmarnock or draw
40%
27%
33%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Kilmarnock vs Dundee prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 40% chance of winning, Dundee 33% and the draw 27%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
▮
8'
Brad Halliday
Yellow Card
Joe Hugill
14'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
24'
Simon Murray
assist: Tony Yogane
🖵
28'
Simon Murray
Goal cancelled
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
33'
⚽
2–1
Robbie Deas
Yellow Card
38'
▮
HT 2–1
⇄
46'
Brad Halliday
⇄ Imari Samuels
▮
55'
Ethan Hamilton
Yellow Card
⇄
58'
Yan Dhanda
⇄ Scott Wright
⇄
58'
Cameron Congreve
⇄ Joe Westley
⇄
59'
Simon Murray
⇄
70'
Tony Yogane
⇄ Charlie Reilly
Michael Schjønning-Larsen
⇄ Dominic Thompson
72'
⇄
Aaron Tshibola
Yellow Card
75'
▮
Bruce Anderson
⇄ Rory McKenzie
77'
⇄
⚽
2–2
81'
Scott Wright
assist: Imari Samuels
Aaron Tshibola
⇄ Bradley Lyons
86'
⇄
Tom Lowery
⇄ David Watson
86'
⇄
George Stanger
Yellow Card
90+1'
▮
Jamie Brandon
Yellow Card
90+4'
▮
🖵
90+11'
Scott Wright
Penalty confirmed
FT 2–2
Kilmarnock
Match Stats
Dundee
51%
Ball Possession
49%
1.63
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
13
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Goal
6
4
Shots off Goal
2
6
Blocked Shots
0
9
Shots insidebox
4
4
Shots outsidebox
4
4
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
1
24
Fouls
7
4
Yellow Cards
2
Red Cards
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
380
Total passes
372
293
Passes accurate
285
77%
Passes %
77%
-0.24
goals_prevented
-0.24
Kilmarnock
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen D | 7.7 | 72' | 1 | – | 1 | 35 (27%) | 1 |
| 13 Kelle Roos G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (17%) | – |
| 44 Joe Hugill F | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 18 Tom Lowery M | 6.9 | 86' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | 2 |
| 36 Aaron Tshibola M | 6.7 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 61 (53%) | – |
| 8 Bradley Lyons M | 6.7 | 17' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 7 Rory McKenzie M | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 5 | 2 |
| 6 Robbie Deas D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (49%) | 3 |
| 12 David Watson M | 6.6 | 17' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 2 Jamie Brandon D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (30%) | 7 |
| 52 Findlay Curtis M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 12 (9%) | 2 |
| 3 Dominic Thompson D | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 9 (7%) | – |
| 19 Bruce Anderson F | 6.2 | 77' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 11 Greg Kiltie M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | – |
| 14 George Stanger D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (35%) | – |
Dundee
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Scott Wright F | 8.3 | 32' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 15 Simon Murray F | 7.5 | 59' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 12 Imari Samuels D | 7.3 | 45' | – | 1 | – | 23 (17%) | 2 |
| 22 Luke Graham D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 1 |
| 48 Ethan Hamilton M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 30 (26%) | 5 |
| 17 Tony Yogane M | 6.9 | 70' | – | 1 | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 5 Billy Koumetio D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (40%) | – |
| 24 Joel Cotterill M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 1 |
| 11 Ashley Hay F | 6.7 | 31' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 7 Drey Wright D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (42%) | – |
| 21 Yan Dhanda M | 6.5 | 58' | – | – | 1 | 18 (11%) | 1 |
| 18 Charlie Reilly F | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 1 Jon McCracken G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (25%) | – |
| 20 Cameron Congreve M | 6.2 | 58' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | 1 |
| 19 Joe Westley F | 6.0 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | – |
| 16 Brad Halliday D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Medium (59%)
At a glance
Our lean
Kilmarnock or draw
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Kilmarnock
DWDDL
Dundee
WLDLW
Last 3 meetings
Kilmarnock · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Premiership clash on April 11, Kilmarnock will host Dundee at Rugby Park. Kilmarnock's home form has been solid, with a win rate of 50% in their last five home matches, while Dundee struggles on the road, managing only 20% of their away games as wins. Kilmarnock’s defense has shown strength, conceding just 1.2 goals per match at home, compared to Dundee's 1.8 goals conceded on average away. The match could hinge on Kilmarnock's ability to convert chances, as they average 1.5 goals per home game. A tight contest is expected, but Kilmarnock may hold the advantage.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Kilmarnock
No scorer data.
Dundee
J. Westley
3 gls
B. Fink
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Kilmarnock vs Dundee
1
Kilmarnock Wins
1
Draws
1
Dundee Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | Dundee | 2 - 1 | Kilmarnock |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Kilmarnock | 0 - 0 | Dundee |
| 10 May 2025 | Kilmarnock | 3 - 2 | Dundee |
Kilmarnock — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Heart Of Midlothian | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A Hibernian | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H Aberdeen | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Aberdeen | D | 0 - 0 |
| 02 Sep | H ST Mirren | L | 0 - 1 |
Dundee — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Motherwell | W | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Heart Of Midlothian | L | 2 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | H ST Johnstone | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Hibernian | L | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Dundee Utd | W | 0 - 2 |
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Celtic
|
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Dundee
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 5 |
ST Mirren
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
ST Johnstone
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Aberdeen
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 |
Dundee Utd
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Motherwell
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 |
Hibernian
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Falkirk
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 |
Kilmarnock
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
Kilmarnock
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Kris Doolan
13
Roos
21
Schjonning-Larsen
6
Deas
14
Stanger
2
Brandon
52
Curtis
36
Tshibola
18
Lowery
11
Kiltie
44
Hugill
19
Anderson
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | K. Roos | G |
| 2 | J. Brandon | D |
| 14 | G. Stanger | D |
| 6 | R. Deas | D |
| 21 | M. Schjonning-Larsen | D |
| 11 | G. Kiltie | M |
| 18 | T. Lowery | M |
| 36 | A. Tshibola | M |
| 52 | F. Curtis | M |
| 19 | B. Anderson | F |
| 44 | J. Hugill | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | M. Stryjek | G |
| 7 | R. McKenzie | M |
| 31 | L. Polworth | M |
| 8 | B. Lyons | M |
| 3 | D. Thompson | D |
| 16 | K. Magennis | M |
| 5 | L. Mayo | D |
| 20 | N. Clescenco | F |
| 12 | D. Watson | M |
Dundee
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Steven Pressley
1
McCracken
7
Wright
5
Koumetio
22
Graham
16
Halliday
48
Hamilton
17
Yogane
24
Cotterill
21
Dhanda
20
Congreve
15
Murray
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. McCracken | G |
| 16 | B. Halliday | D |
| 22 | L. Graham | D |
| 5 | B. Koumetio | D |
| 7 | D. Wright | D |
| 48 | E. Hamilton | M |
| 20 | C. Congreve | M |
| 21 | Y. Dhanda | M |
| 24 | J. Cotterill | M |
| 17 | T. Yogane | M |
| 15 | S. Murray | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | K. O'Hara | G |
| 25 | S. Wright | F |
| 12 | I. Samuels | D |
| 28 | C. Jones | M |
| 14 | L. Montsma | D |
| 18 | C. Reilly | F |
| 10 | F. Robertson | - |
| 19 | J. Westley | F |
| 11 | A. Hay | - |