Tondela vs Santa Clara Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 24

Post on X

Santa Clara

Away

Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela

AI call Difficult Tondela win or draw

53%

34%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Tondela vs Santa Clara prediction: Sportiko gives Tondela a 53% chance of winning, Santa Clara 14% and the draw 34%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Tondela win or draw

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Tondela

WWWLL

Santa Clara

DWWDW

Last 3 meetings Tondela · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Tondela hosts Santa Clara in a crucial Primeira Liga matchup on March 1, 2026. Tondela's home record has been inconsistent, with a win rate of 40% at home this season, while Santa Clara has struggled on the road, securing only 30% of their points away. Key players to watch include Tondela's leading scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, against Santa Clara's solid goalkeeper, who boasts a 75% save rate. The outcome may hinge on Tondela's ability to convert home advantage into goals and whether Santa Clara can capitalize on counter-attacks. This match could significantly impact both teams' standings as they vie for mid-table security.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

45%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

14%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Santa Clara goals →

	0	1	2
0	23	9	2
1	25	10	2
2	13	5	1
3	5	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Tondela goals · most likely 1–0 (24.6%)

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Head to Head: Tondela vs Santa Clara

2 Tondela Wins

1 Draws

0 Santa Clara Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Sep 2025	Santa Clara	1 - 2	Tondela
16 Jan 2022	Santa Clara	2 - 2	Tondela
08 Aug 2021	Tondela	3 - 0	Santa Clara

See all 9 meetings — Premium

Tondela — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Imortal Albufeira	W	1 - 5
12 Sep	A Portimonense	W	0 - 2
05 Sep	H FC Porto B	W	3 - 0
28 Aug	A União de Leiria	L	2 - 0
21 Aug	H Academica	L	0 - 2

Santa Clara — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SC Braga	D	0 - 0
13 Sep	A Arouca	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	H Rio Ave	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A Alverca	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Famalicao	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	+48	88
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	+65	82
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	+49	80
4	SC Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	+28	59
5	Famalicao	34	15	11	8	42	29	+13	56
6	GIL Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	+9	50
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42
9	Vitória SC	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34
15	Estrela	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.