SC Braga vs Estrela Prediction
FT
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
AI call
SC Braga to win or draw
71%
20%
9%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
SC Braga vs Estrela prediction: Sportiko gives SC Braga a 71% chance of winning, Estrela 9% and the draw 20%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Timeline
⚽
0–1
5'
Stefan Leković
Gabriel Martínez
15'
⚽
1–1
João Moutinho
Yellow Card
37'
▮
HT 1–1
Gabriel Martínez
⇄ Leonardo Lelo
46'
⇄
▮
55'
Renan Ribeiro
Yellow Card
▮
61'
Luan Patrick
Yellow Card
Ricardo Horta
⇄ Jean-Baptiste Gorby
68'
⇄
⇄
68'
Eddy Doué
⇄ Leandro Antonetti
⇄
68'
Ianis Stoica
⇄ Jovane Cabral
⇄
68'
Sydney van Hooijdonk
⇄ Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho
⇄
78'
Paulo Moreira
⇄ Kevin Höög Jansson
Lukáš Horníček
80'
⇄
Luís Pinto
⇄ Antonio Gil
80'
⇄
Paulo Oliveira
85'
⇄
▮
87'
Stefan Leković
Yellow Card
▮
87'
Abraham Marcus
Yellow Card
Pau Víctor
Penalty
90'
⚽
2–1
⚽
2–2
90'
Stefan Leković
assist: Jovane Cabral
⇄
90+1'
Abraham Marcus
⇄ Jorge Meireles
▮
90+7'
Stefan Leković
Yellow Card
▮
90+7'
Stefan Leković
Red Card
FT 2–2
SC Braga
Match Stats
Estrela
74%
Ball Possession
26%
2.41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
14
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Goal
4
6
Shots off Goal
2
4
Blocked Shots
0
7
Shots insidebox
4
7
Shots outsidebox
2
7
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
692
Total passes
246
628
Passes accurate
183
91%
Passes %
74%
-0.05
goals_prevented
-0.05
SC Braga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 João Moutinho M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 113 (106%) | 2 |
| 78 Joao Carvalho G | 7.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 18 Pau Víctor F | 7.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 61 (54%) | 2 |
| 17 Gabriel Moscardo D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 64 (59%) | 2 |
| 77 Gabriel Martínez M | 6.9 | 45' | 1 | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | 3 |
| 5 Leonardo Lelo D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 32 (28%) | 1 |
| 39 Fran Navarro F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 16 (14%) | – |
| 29 Jean-Baptiste Gorby M | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | – | 17 (17%) | 1 |
| 90 Luís Pinto M | 6.7 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 75 (67%) | 1 |
| 15 Paulo Oliveira D | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 49 (49%) | 1 |
| 21 Ricardo Horta F | 6.5 | 68' | – | – | 2 | 71 (59%) | – |
| 1 Lukáš Horníček G | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 12 (12%) | – |
| 2 Victor Gómez M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 59 (52%) | – |
| 53 Jonatás Noro D | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 14 Gustaf Lagerbielke D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 89 (86%) | 1 |
| 92 Antonio Gil M | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
Estrela
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Stefan Leković D | 8.0 | 90' | 2 | – | 2 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 39 Eddy Doué M | 7.3 | 68' | – | – | – | 22 (17%) | 6 |
| 11 Jovane Cabral F | 7.2 | 22' | – | 1 | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 24 Bruno Langa M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 10 Ianis Stoica F | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 10 (7%) | 2 |
| 40 Renan Ribeiro G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (12%) | – |
| 99 Abraham Marcus F | 6.7 | 89' | – | – | 1 | 11 (8%) | 2 |
| 8 Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho M | 6.7 | 22' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 17 Jefferson Encada M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (26%) | 3 |
| 7 Leandro Antonetti F | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 19 Paulo Moreira M | 6.6 | 77' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | 1 |
| 20 Sydney van Hooijdonk F | 6.5 | 68' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 6 Kevin Höög Jansson M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 5 (2%) | – |
| 83 Otavio D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (21%) | 2 |
| 30 Luan Patrick D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | – |
| 18 Jorge Meireles F | — | 1' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
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Confidence
Medium (54%)
At a glance
Our lean
SC Braga to win or draw
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SC Braga
DWLWW
Estrela
LDWDW
Last 3 meetings
SC Braga · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash on May 17, 2026, SC Braga hosts Estrela. Braga has consistently performed well at home, boasting a strong win rate of around 70% this season, largely due to their potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game. Estrela, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with a mere 30% win rate and a defense that has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match away from home. Given Braga's offensive prowess and Estrela's defensive vulnerabilities, the home side is favored to secure a convincing victory.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
SC Braga
Pau Victor
3 gls
Estrela
A. Marcus
4 gls
L. Antonetti
4 gls
I. Stoica
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: SC Braga vs Estrela
1
SC Braga Wins
1
Draws
1
Estrela Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | Estrela | 2 - 1 | SC Braga |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Estrela | 3 - 3 | SC Braga |
| 19 Jan 2025 | Estrela | 0 - 1 | SC Braga |
SC Braga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Santa Clara | D | 0 - 0 |
| 14 Sep | H Estoril | W | 1 - 0 |
| 10 Sep | A Estrela | L | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Alverca | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | H Vitória SC | W | 1 - 0 |
Estrela — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Academico Viseu | L | 0 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A Rio Ave | D | 3 - 3 |
| 10 Sep | H SC Braga | W | 2 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Famalicao | D | 2 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | A Nacional | W | 2 - 3 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
SC Braga
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Carlos Vicens
1
Hornicek
17
Moscardo
15
Oliveira
14
Lagerbielke
77
Martinez
8
Moutinho
90
Luisinho
2
Gomez
21
Horta
39
Navarro
18
Victor
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Hornicek | G |
| 14 | G. Lagerbielke | D |
| 15 | P. Oliveira | D |
| 17 | Gabriel Moscardo | D |
| 2 | V. Gomez | M |
| 90 | Luisinho | M |
| 8 | J. Moutinho | M |
| 77 | G. Martinez | M |
| 21 | R. Horta | F |
| 18 | P. Victor | F |
| 39 | F. Navarro | F |
Substitutes
| 78 | J. Carvalho | G |
| 5 | L. Lelo | D |
| 53 | J. Noro | - |
| 41 | Y. da Rocha | M |
| 80 | Vasconcelos | M |
| 92 | A. Gil | M |
| 9 | A. El Ouazzani | F |
| 29 | Gorby | M |
| 96 | A. Sousa | - |
Estrela
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Cristiano Bacci
40
Ribeiro
83
Otavio
4
Lekovic
30
Patrick
24
Langa
19
Moreira
39
Doue
17
Encada
10
Stoica
20
Hooijdonk
99
Marcus
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | R. Ribeiro | G |
| 30 | Luan Patrick | D |
| 4 | S. Lekovic | D |
| 83 | Otavio | D |
| 17 | J. Encada | M |
| 39 | G. Doue | M |
| 19 | P. Moreira | M |
| 24 | B. Langa | M |
| 99 | A. Marcus | F |
| 20 | S. van Hooijdonk | F |
| 10 | I. Stoica | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | D. Pinto | G |
| 7 | L. Antonetti | F |
| 28 | T. Moustier | M |
| 11 | Jovane | F |
| 14 | Bernardo Schappo | D |
| 6 | K. Jansson | M |
| 18 | J. Meireles | F |
| 21 | M. Scholze | D |
| 8 | Robinho | M |