PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 26

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AZ Alkmaar

Away

Johan Cruijff ArenA, Amsterdam

AI call PSV Eindhoven to win or draw

70%

19%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: Sportiko gives PSV Eindhoven a 70% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar 11% and the draw 19%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:30.

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Our lean

PSV Eindhoven to win or draw

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PSV Eindhoven

LWDWW

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Last 3 meetings PSV Eindhoven · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, PSV Eindhoven hosts AZ Alkmaar, with both teams vying for crucial points in their campaigns. PSV currently sits among the top contenders, boasting a strong home record, winning 80% of their matches at Philips Stadion this season. AZ Alkmaar, while competitive, has struggled on the road, managing only 40% of their away fixtures as victories. Key players to watch include PSV's leading scorer, who has netted 15 goals this season, and AZ's creative midfielder, providing crucial assists. This match could significantly impact the title race, making it a pivotal encounter for both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AZ Alkmaar goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	5	4	1
1	12	9	3	1
2	13	10	4	1
3	10	7	3	1
4	5	4	1
5	2	2	1

↑ PSV Eindhoven goals · most likely 2–0 (13.1%)

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Players in form

PSV Eindhoven

R. Pepi 16 gls

I. Saibari 15 gls

G. Til 14 gls

AZ Alkmaar

T. Parrott 16 gls

S. Mijnans 11 gls

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Head to Head: PSV Eindhoven vs AZ Alkmaar

1 PSV Eindhoven Wins

1 Draws

1 AZ Alkmaar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Aug 2026	PSV Eindhoven	0 - 4	AZ Alkmaar
09 Nov 2025	AZ Alkmaar	1 - 5	PSV Eindhoven
11 Jan 2025	PSV Eindhoven	2 - 2	AZ Alkmaar

See all 10 meetings — Premium

PSV Eindhoven — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Twente	L	3 - 2
13 Sep	H Sparta Rotterdam	W	4 - 1
10 Sep	H Shakhtar Donetsk	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Ajax	W	1 - 3
30 Aug	A Utrecht	W	1 - 6

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101	45	+56	84
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70	44	+26	65
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77	53	+24	59
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59	40	+19	58
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62	41	+21	56
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55	42	+13	53
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58	51	+7	52
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57	53	+4	51
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49	45	+4	48
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40	62	-22	43
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49	63	-14	39
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54	53	+1	38
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43	56	-13	38
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49	55	-6	37
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44	71	-27	37
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35	55	-20	32
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35	58	-23	29
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35	85	-50	19

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.