Nice vs Lens Prediction
Nice vs Lens prediction: Sportiko gives Nice a 17% chance of winning, Lens 60% and the draw 23%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Nice and Lens played out a competitive Ligue 1 draw at the Allianz Riviera, with the decisive action arriving in the second half after a cagey, card-filled opening 45 minutes that ended goalless. Allan Saint-Maximin broke the deadlock on the hour mark to put Nice ahead, and the hosts appeared on course for three points.
Lens, who had dominated possession and generated the better chances throughout — finishing with 16 total shots and an expected goals figure of 1.53 compared to Nice's 1.07 — found their equaliser through Ali Abdi in the 84th minute. The leveller came just moments after Saud Abdulhamid was shown a red card for Lens, adding further drama to a frantic closing spell. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lens win as the most likely outcome at 60%, and the visitors' statistical dominance reflected that assessment even if they ultimately had to settle for a point.
The match was notable for its disciplinary record, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides before half-time and into the second period, alongside Abdulhamid's late dismissal. The point leaves both clubs with work to do in the Ligue 1 standings.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Nice
Match Stats
Nice
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Ali Abdi D | 7.7 | 19' | 1 | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 28 Abdulay Juma Bah D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (38%) | 3 |
| 10 Sofiane Diop M | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 39 (35%) | 1 |
| 6 Hicham Boudaoui M | 7.0 | 89' | – | – | – | 42 (36%) | – |
| 80 Yehvann Diouf G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (16%) | – |
| 33 Antoine Mendy D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 4 |
| 26 Melvin Bard D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (24%) | 1 |
| 37 Kojo Peprah Oppong D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (41%) | 3 |
| 99 Salis Abdul Samed M | 6.6 | 19' | – | – | – | 14 (14%) | – |
| 21 Isak Jansson F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 20 Tom Louchet D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | 4 |
| 32 Kaïl Boudache M | 6.3 | 71' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 8 Morgan Sanson M | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 28 (21%) | – |
| 25 Mohamed-Ali Cho F | 6.2 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 14 (13%) | – |
| 24 Charles Vanhoutte M | — | 1' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 90 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F | — | 1' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | – |
Lens
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Malang Sarr D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (56%) | 5 |
| 9 Allan Saint-Maximin F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 45 (37%) | 1 |
| 25 Ismaelo Ganiou D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (51%) | 3 |
| 6 Samson Baidoo D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 67 (63%) | 3 |
| 8 Mamadou Sangare M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 59 (52%) | 4 |
| 40 Robin Risser G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (20%) | – |
| 23 Saud Abdulhamid M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | – | 25 (25%) | 2 |
| 28 Adrien Thomasson M | 6.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 28 (20%) | 5 |
| 14 Matthieu Udol M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 4 |
| 2 Ruben Aguilar D | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 11 Odsonne Édouard F | 6.5 | 77' | – | – | 2 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 19 Abdallah Sima F | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
| 10 Florian Thauvin F | 6.3 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 43 (32%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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No scorer data.
F. Thauvin
3 gls
F. Ivanović
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nice vs Lens
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Lens | 2 - 0 | Nice |
| 08 Feb 2025 | Nice | 2 - 0 | Lens |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Lens | 0 - 0 | Nice |
Nice — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lille | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Le Mans | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Paris FC | L | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Aug | H Lorient | D | 0 - 0 |
Lens — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Monaco | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Le Mans | D | 2 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Slavia Praha | W | 2 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | H Lorient | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Strasbourg | L | 2 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Nice
Formation: 5-4-1
Coach: Claude Puel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 80 | Y. Diouf | G |
| 20 | T. Louchet | D |
| 33 | A. Mendy | D |
| 28 | J. Bah | D |
| 37 | K. Peprah | D |
| 26 | M. Bard | D |
| 32 | K. Boudache | M |
| 6 | H. Boudaoui | M |
| 8 | M. Sanson | M |
| 10 | S. Diop | M |
| 25 | M. Cho | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | M. Dupe | G |
| 4 | Dante | D |
| 2 | A. Abdi | D |
| 22 | T. Ndombele | M |
| 24 | C. Vanhoutte | M |
| 21 | I. Jansson | F |
| 90 | Kevin | F |
| 99 | S. Abdul Samed | M |
| 23 | G. Bernardeau | M |
Lens
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: P. Sage
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | R. Risser | G |
| 25 | I. Ganiou | D |
| 6 | S. Baidoo | D |
| 20 | M. Sarr | D |
| 23 | S. Abdulhamid | M |
| 8 | M. Sangare | M |
| 28 | A. Thomasson | M |
| 14 | M. Udol | M |
| 10 | F. Thauvin | F |
| 9 | A. Saint-Maximin | F |
| 11 | O. Edouard | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | M. Gorgelin | G |
| 22 | W. Said | F |
| 7 | F. Sotoca | F |
| 2 | R. Aguilar | D |
| 21 | A. Haidara | M |
| 19 | A. Sima | F |
| 5 | A. Bulatovic | M |
| 18 | F. Sylla | M |
| 38 | R. Fofana | F |