Metz vs Nantes Prediction
Metz vs Nantes prediction: Sportiko gives Metz a 35% chance of winning, Nantes 30% and the draw 35%. Last updated 25 Jul 2026, 05:45.
Match Report
Metz and Nantes played out a goalless draw in Ligue 1 Matchday 28, a result that flattered the hosts considerably given the balance of play throughout the afternoon. Nantes dominated possession with 66% of the ball and fashioned 19 total attempts to Metz's six, with an expected goals figure of 2.28 against just 0.46 for the home side.
The match was not without drama. A red card on 39 minutes added an early disciplinary edge to proceedings, while further yellow cards at 63 and 72 minutes reflected an increasingly fractious contest. A VAR intervention in stoppage time cancelled what would have been a late goal, denying Nantes a winner they had arguably earned on the balance of chances.
Despite the stalemate, our pre-match AI model had rated a Metz win as the most likely outcome at 35%, a call that proved correct in the sense that Metz avoided defeat against a side that created far more. The point may prove valuable for Metz, even if Nantes will feel aggrieved to leave empty-handed.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Metz
Match Stats
Metz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin M | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (66%) | – |
| 38 Sadibou Sané D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 88 (77%) | 5 |
| 39 Koffi Kouao D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (44%) | 4 |
| 4 Urie-Michel Mboula D | 7.3 | 63' | – | – | – | 66 (63%) | 3 |
| 20 Jessy Deminguet M | 7.3 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 49 (43%) | 5 |
| 61 Pape Sy G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | – |
| 70 Bouna Sarr M | 7.0 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 34 Nathan Mbala F | 7.0 | 27' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | 1 |
| 2 Maxime Colin D | 6.9 | 63' | – | – | – | 48 (43%) | – |
| 10 Gauthier Hein M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 62 (55%) | – |
| 7 Georgiy Tsitaishvili M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 47 (37%) | 1 |
| 30 Habib Diallo F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 9 Giorgi Abuashvili F | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 33 Believe Munongo M | 6.5 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | 2 |
| 19 Lucas Michal F | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | 2 | 1 (1%) | – |
Nantes
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Anthony Lopes G | 8.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (29%) | – |
| 24 Frédéric Guilbert D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (16%) | 4 |
| 3 Nicolas Cozza D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (12%) | 3 |
| 21 Mohamed Kaba M | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 6 Chidozie Awaziem D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (37%) | 2 |
| 27 Deiver Machado D | 6.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 2 Ali Youssef D | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (9%) | – |
| 13 Francis Coquelin M | 6.6 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 27 (23%) | 2 |
| 18 Fabien Centonze M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 8 Johann Lepenant M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 19 (13%) | – |
| 10 Matthis Abline M | 6.2 | 73' | – | – | – | 14 (7%) | 1 |
| 37 Ignatius Ganago F | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 11 Bahereba Guirassy F | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 28 Ibrahima Sissoko M | 6.2 | 13' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 78 Tylel Tati D | 5.6 | 39' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | – |
| 98 Kelvin Amian D | — | 1' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Metz vs Nantes
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov 2025 | Nantes | 0 - 2 | Metz |
| 03 Mar 2024 | Nantes | 0 - 2 | Metz |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Metz | 3 - 1 | Nantes |
Metz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Saint Etienne | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A RED Star FC 93 | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Rodez | W | 4 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Annecy | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Laval | D | 1 - 1 |
Nantes — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Boulogne | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Sochaux | L | 1 - 0 |
| 07 Sep | H Nancy | W | 1 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A Guingamp | D | 3 - 3 |
| 22 Aug | H Rodez | L | 2 - 5 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Nantes
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: Vahid Halilhodzic
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lopes | G |
| 24 | F. Guilbert | D |
| 6 | C. Awaziem | D |
| 78 | T. Tati | D |
| 3 | N. Cozza | D |
| 13 | F. Coquelin | M |
| 18 | F. Centonze | M |
| 21 | M. Kaba | M |
| 8 | J. Lepenant | M |
| 10 | M. Abline | M |
| 37 | I. Ganago | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | P. Carlgren | G |
| 19 | Y. El Arabi | F |
| 20 | R. Cabella | M |
| 27 | D. Machado | D |
| 31 | Mostafa Mohamed | F |
| 2 | Ali Youssef | D |
| 98 | K. Amian | D |
| 28 | I. Sissoko | M |
| 11 | B. Guirassy | F |
Metz
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Benoit Tavenot
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | P. Sy | G |
| 39 | K. Kouao | D |
| 38 | S. Sane | D |
| 4 | U. Mboula | D |
| 2 | M. Colin | D |
| 5 | J. Gbamin | M |
| 20 | J. Deminguet | M |
| 70 | B. Sarr | M |
| 10 | G. Hein | M |
| 7 | G. Tsitaishvili | M |
| 30 | H. Diallo | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | J. Fischer | G |
| 11 | G. Kvilitaia | F |
| 97 | F. Ballo-Toure | D |
| 15 | T. Yegbe | D |
| 33 | B. Munongo | M |
| 9 | G. Abuashvili | F |
| 19 | L. Michal | F |
| 34 | N. Mbala | F |
| 3 | M. Diop | D |