Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction
Atalanta vs Genoa prediction: Sportiko gives Atalanta a 48% chance of winning, Genoa 26% and the draw 26%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Atalanta and Genoa played out a goalless draw in Matchday 35 of Serie A, a result that flattered the hosts given how the game unfolded. Genoa dominated throughout, controlling 60% of possession and registering 21 shots to Atalanta's seven, with an expected goals figure of 1.96 against just 0.52 for the home side. Despite that statistical superiority, Genoa could not convert their chances, with only seven of those efforts finding the target.
The match was largely uneventful in terms of clear turning points, though both sides made multiple substitutions in the second half in search of a breakthrough. Gianluca Scamacca came on for Atalanta in the 57th minute, while Genoa introduced Jeff Ekhator and later Vitinha as they pushed for a winner. Yellow cards for Alexsandro Amorim, Éderson, and Nikola Krstović added some edge to proceedings without significantly altering the flow.
Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated an Atalanta win as the most likely outcome at 48%, a call that proved wide of the mark as neither side managed to find the net.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Atalanta
Match Stats
Atalanta
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Nicola Zalewski M | 8.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (31%) | 2 |
| 13 Éderson M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 44 (37%) | 2 |
| 19 Berat Djimsiti D | 7.3 | 57' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | 1 |
| 17 Charles De Ketelaere F | 7.2 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 45 (35%) | 2 |
| 29 Marco Carnesecchi G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (22%) | – |
| 42 Giorgio Scalvini D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (54%) | 1 |
| 69 Honest Ahanor D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 47 (41%) | 3 |
| 77 Davide Zappacosta M | 7.0 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 41 (34%) | 1 |
| 4 Isak Hien D | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 2 |
| 8 Mario Pašalić M | 6.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.9 | 76' | – | – | – | 46 (35%) | 1 |
| 18 Giacomo Raspadori F | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | 2 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 6 Yunus Musah M | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | – | 11 (10%) | – |
| 10 Lazar Samardžić M | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 9 Gianluca Scamacca F | 6.3 | 57' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | – |
| 90 Nikola Krstović F | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 23 (14%) | 1 |
Genoa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Justin Bijlow G | 8.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 54 (37%) | – |
| 5 Leo Østigård D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (26%) | 3 |
| 22 Johan Vásquez D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (32%) | 3 |
| 32 Morten Frendrup M | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 3 |
| 27 Alessandro Marcandalli D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (20%) | 3 |
| 3 Aarón Martín D | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 73 Patrizio Masini M | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 21 Jeff Ekhator F | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | – | 18 (13%) | – |
| 4 Alexsandro Amorim M | 6.7 | 69' | – | – | – | 19 (11%) | – |
| 20 Stefano Sabelli M | 6.7 | 86' | – | – | – | 27 (17%) | 1 |
| 10 Junior Messias F | 6.6 | 21' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 17 Ruslan Malinovskyi M | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | – |
| 9 Vitinha F | 6.6 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 9 (3%) | 3 |
| 77 Mikael Ellertsson M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | – |
| 18 Caleb Ekuban F | 6.2 | 34' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | 1 |
| 29 Lorenzo Colombo F | 6.0 | 56' | – | – | 3 | 12 (9%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Atalanta vs Genoa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Genoa | 0 - 1 | Atalanta |
| 17 May 2025 | Genoa | 2 - 3 | Atalanta |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Atalanta | 5 - 1 | Genoa |
Atalanta — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Cagliari | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A AS Roma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | H Bologna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | A Hapoel Tel Aviv | W | 0 - 1 |
Genoa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Parma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Sudtirol | W | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Frosinone | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Como | L | 1 - 4 |
| 30 Aug | A Lazio | L | 1 - 0 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Genoa
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Daniele De Rossi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | J. Bijlow | G |
| 27 | A. Marcandalli | D |
| 5 | L. Ostigard | D |
| 22 | J. Vasquez | D |
| 77 | M. E. Ellertsson | M |
| 4 | Amorim | M |
| 32 | M. Frendrup | M |
| 20 | S. Sabelli | M |
| 9 | Vitinha | F |
| 21 | J. Ekhator | F |
| 29 | L. Colombo | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | N. Leali | G |
| 39 | D. Sommariva | G |
| 70 | M. Cornet | F |
| 17 | R. Malinovskyi | M |
| 18 | C. Ekuban | F |
| 3 | A. Martin | D |
| 10 | Junior Messias | F |
| 73 | P. Masini | M |
| 14 | J. Onana | M |
| 34 | S. Otoa | D |
| 13 | N. Zatterstrom | D |
| 99 | W. L. Ouedraogo | D |
Atalanta
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | M. Carnesecchi | G |
| 42 | G. Scalvini | D |
| 19 | B. Djimsiti | D |
| 69 | H. Ahanor | D |
| 77 | D. Zappacosta | M |
| 15 | M. De Roon | M |
| 13 | Ederson | M |
| 59 | N. Zalewski | M |
| 17 | C. De Ketelaere | F |
| 9 | G. Scamacca | F |
| 90 | N. Krstovic | F |
Substitutes
| 57 | M. Sportiello | G |
| 31 | F. Rossi | G |
| 23 | S. Kolasinac | D |
| 16 | R. Bellanova | D |
| 18 | G. Raspadori | F |
| 6 | Y. Musah | M |
| 7 | K. Sulemana | F |
| 8 | M. Pasalic | M |
| 5 | M. Bakker | D |
| 4 | I. Hien | D |
| 3 | O. Kossounou | D |
| 10 | L. Samardzic | M |