Parma vs Pisa Prediction
Parma vs Pisa prediction: Sportiko gives Parma a 63% chance of winning, Pisa 11% and the draw 26%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Parma edged out Pisa 1–0 in a tight Serie A encounter that remained goalless at the break. The first half was relatively uneventful beyond a pair of yellow cards, with Simone Canestrelli booked in the 18th minute and Isak Vural cautioned just before half-time, the latter subsequently withdrawn at the interval.
The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides as each team sought to shift the momentum, and it was one of Parma's changes that proved decisive. Nesta Elphege broke the deadlock in the 82nd minute with a late goal that settled the contest and handed the hosts all three points. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Parma win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that proved accurate.
The statistics reflected how closely contested the match was throughout, with Pisa actually edging the expected goals figure 1.71 to 1.64 and the sides finishing level on possession. Parma's greater efficiency in front of goal ultimately made the difference, with Abdoulaye Ndiaye picking up a late yellow card for Pisa as frustration set in.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Parma
Match Stats
Parma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nesta Elphege F | 7.7 | 24' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 37 Mariano Troilo D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (44%) | 2 |
| 39 Alessandro Circati D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (44%) | 4 |
| 22 Oliver Sørensen M | 7.3 | 12' | – | 1 | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (31%) | 1 |
| 31 Zion Suzuki G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (14%) | – |
| 14 Emanuele Valeri M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 26 (20%) | – |
| 10 Adrián Bernabé M | 6.9 | 78' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | – |
| 16 Mandela Keita M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia M | 6.7 | 78' | – | – | – | 62 (57%) | – |
| 8 Nahuel Estévez M | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 15 Enrico Delprato M | 6.6 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | 1 |
| 7 Gabriel Strefezza F | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 9 Mateo Pellegrino F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | – |
| 24 Christian Ordoñez M | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 11 Pontus Almqvist F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
Pisa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Isak Vural M | 7.3 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | 2 |
| 3 Samuele Angori M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 32 Stefano Moreo F | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 21 (14%) | 1 |
| 2 Rosen Bozhinov D | 7.0 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 53 (50%) | 2 |
| 1 Adrian Šemper G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | 2 | 41 (37%) | – |
| 15 Idrissa Touré M | 6.9 | 25' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | – |
| 20 Michel Aebischer M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 69 (64%) | 1 |
| 99 Lorran M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 4 Antonio Caracciolo D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (46%) | 1 |
| 5 Simone Canestrelli D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | 1 |
| 7 Mehdi Léris M | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 15 (10%) | – |
| 9 Henrik Wendel Meister F | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 36 Gabriele Piccinini M | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | 2 |
| 81 Filip Stojilković F | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 11 Juan Cuadrado M | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Parma vs Pisa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec 2025 | Pisa | 0 - 1 | Parma |
Parma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Genoa | W | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Como | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Monza | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Sep | H Cremonese | L | 0 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
Pisa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Mantova | D | 2 - 2 |
| 15 Sep | A Fiorentina | L | 3 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | H Virtus Entella | L | 1 - 4 |
| 06 Sep | A Juve Stabia | W | 0 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | H Catanzaro | W | 2 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Parma
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Carlos Cuesta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Z. Suzuki | G |
| 39 | A. Circati | D |
| 37 | M. Troilo | D |
| 3 | A. Ndiaye | D |
| 15 | E. Delprato | M |
| 10 | A. Bernabe | M |
| 41 | H. Nicolussi Caviglia | M |
| 16 | M. Keita | M |
| 14 | E. Valeri | M |
| 9 | M. Pellegrino | F |
| 7 | G. Strefezza | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | E. Corvi | G |
| 66 | F. Rinaldi | G |
| 8 | N. Estevez | M |
| 11 | P. Almqvist | F |
| 21 | G. Oristanio | M |
| 17 | J. Ondrejka | F |
| 24 | C. Ordonez | M |
| 23 | N. Elphege | F |
| 5 | L. Valenti | D |
| 22 | O. Sorensen | M |
| 29 | F. Carboni | D |
| 27 | S. Britschgi | D |
Pisa
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Oscar Hiljemark
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Semper | G |
| 5 | S. Canestrelli | D |
| 4 | A. Caracciolo | D |
| 2 | R. Bozhinov | D |
| 7 | M. Leris | M |
| 21 | I. Vural | M |
| 14 | E. Akinsanmiro | M |
| 20 | M. Aebischer | M |
| 3 | S. Angori | M |
| 81 | F. Stojilkovic | F |
| 32 | S. Moreo | F |
Substitutes
| 12 | Nicolas Andrade | G |
| 22 | S. Scuffet | G |
| 39 | R. Albiol | D |
| 11 | J. Cuadrado | M |
| 33 | A. Calabresi | D |
| 15 | I. Toure | M |
| 26 | F. Coppola | D |
| 8 | M. Hojholt | M |
| 19 | S. Iling Junior | F |
| 9 | H. Meister | F |
| 99 | Lorran | M |
| 23 | C. Stengs | M |
| 36 | G. Piccinini | M |
| 35 | F. Loyola | D |