Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje prediction: Sportiko gives Bayer Leverkusen a 81% chance of winning, Celje 7% and the draw 12%. Last updated 16 Sep 2026, 20:53.
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Match Report
Bayer Leverkusen opened their UEFA Europa League league stage campaign with a comfortable 2–0 victory over Slovenian side Celje, with the hosts dominant throughout. An early own goal from Svit Sešlar on 15 minutes gave Leverkusen the lead they deserved, and they carried that advantage into half-time while controlling possession and generating the clearer chances.
The second half saw a flurry of substitutions from both sides around the hour mark, but Leverkusen remained in firm control. Defender Facundo Medina put the result beyond doubt on 74 minutes with a well-taken finish, effectively ending any hope of a Celje comeback. The stats underlined Leverkusen's superiority, with the hosts registering 17 total shots and eight on target compared to just five and three respectively for the visitors, while also holding a significant expected goals advantage of 1.93 to 0.90.
It was a polished opening European performance from the German side, who managed the game efficiently without ever being troubled. The result aligned with our pre-match AI model, which had rated a Leverkusen win as the most likely outcome at 81%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Bayer Leverkusen
Match Stats
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 M. Flekken G | 8.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 20 (13%) | – |
| 2 Facundo Medina D | 7.9 | 93' | 1 | – | 2 | 63 (54%) | 3 |
| 12 Edmond Tapsoba D | 7.9 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 82 (77%) | 2 |
| 24 Aleix García M | 7.9 | 93' | – | 1 | 3 | 87 (77%) | 2 |
| 5 Loïc Badé D | 7.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 100 (97%) | 1 |
| 17 Lucas Vázquez D | 7.7 | 60' | – | – | – | 43 (40%) | – |
| 14 Patrik Schick F | 6.9 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 15 (11%) | – |
| 4 Jarell Quansah D | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 19 Moussa Diaby M | 6.6 | 80' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 2 |
| 29 Eliesse Ben Seghir F | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 8 Robert Andrich M | 6.5 | 93' | – | – | – | 72 (62%) | – |
| 35 Christian Kofane F | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 10 Malik Tillman M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | – | 32 (23%) | – |
| 9 Afonso Moreira F | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | 1 |
| 6 Ezequiel Fernández M | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 11 M. Terrier M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 22 (20%) | 1 |
Celje
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Zan Luk Leban G | 8.7 | 93' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | – |
| 19 Mark Zabukovnik M | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 70 (67%) | 3 |
| 6 Artemijus Tutyškinas D | 7.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 54 (50%) | 1 |
| 2 Pijus Širvys D | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 49 (44%) | 3 |
| 11 Milot Avdyli D | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 59 (54%) | 4 |
| 14 Luka Tičić M | 6.6 | 80' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | 1 |
| 47 Armandas Kučys F | 6.5 | 61' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 91 Yaya Dukuly M | 6.5 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 14 (10%) | – |
| 13 Papa Daniel M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 25 Veton Tusha F | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 77 Matic Ivanšek F | 6.3 | 32' | – | – | – | 7 (4%) | – |
| 7 Benjamin Verbič M | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 44 Łukasz Bejger D | 6.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 53 (48%) | – |
| 10 Svit Sešlar M | 6.2 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 55 (47%) | 2 |
| 9 Blaž Kramer F | 6.2 | 32' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs Celje
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H RB Leipzig | W | 2 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Celje | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A FC Augsburg | D | 2 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | H Union Berlin | W | 4 - 0 |
| 29 Aug | A SV Elversberg | L | 3 - 2 |
Celje — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Mura | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Bayer Leverkusen | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | A Bravo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Koper | L | 0 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | A Aluminij | W | 0 - 2 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Juventus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 |
Crystal Palace
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |
Sparta Praha
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |
Beşiktaş
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 5 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 |
Benfica
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 |
OFI
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Bournemouth
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Lyon
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Torreense
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 |
Omonia Nicosia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Sturm Graz
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |
Rennes
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Real Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Anderlecht
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Lillestrom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Celta Vigo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Levski Sofia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Celtic
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 |
AC Milan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 31 |
Celje
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 |
Marseille
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 33 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 34 |
Plzen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 35 |
Lech Poznan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Carles Martínez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Flekken | G |
| 17 | Lucas Vázquez | D |
| 5 | Loïc Badé | D |
| 12 | Edmond Tapsoba | D |
| 2 | Facundo Medina | D |
| 8 | Robert Andrich | M |
| 24 | Aleix García | M |
| 11 | Martin Terrier | M |
| 10 | Malik Tillman | M |
| 19 | Moussa Diaby | M |
| 14 | Patrik Schick | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Jarell Quansah | D |
| 6 | Ezequiel Fernández | M |
| 9 | Afonso Moreira | F |
| 35 | Christian Kofane | F |
| 28 | Janis Blaswich | G |
| 36 | Niklas Lomb | G |
| 3 | Miguel Gutiérrez | D |
| 29 | Eliesse Ben Seghir | F |
Celje
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Vitor Campelos
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Žan-Luk Leban | G |
| 2 | Pijus Širvys | D |
| 44 | Łukasz Bejger | D |
| 6 | Artemijus Tutyškinas | D |
| 11 | Milot Avdyli | D |
| 14 | Luka Tičić | M |
| 19 | Mark Zabukovnik | M |
| 91 | Yaya Dukuly | M |
| 10 | Svit Sešlar | M |
| 7 | Benjamin Verbič | M |
| 47 | Armandas Kučys | F |
Substitutes
| 77 | Matic Ivanšek | F |
| 9 | Blaž Kramer | F |
| 25 | Veton Tusha | F |
| 12 | Luka Kolar | G |
| 23 | Žiga Frelih | G |
| 20 | Alpha Diounkou | D |
| 33 | Leonardo Koutris | D |
| 4 | Darko Hrka | M |
| 8 | Mario Kvesić | M |
| 13 | Papa Daniel | M |
| 31 | Dejan Suhovrsnik | F |