Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

First League · Regular Season - 6

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Lokomotiv Sofia

Home

0 : 2

HT 0 - 1

CSKA Sofia

Away

Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia

AI call Difficult CSKA Sofia win or draw

15%

22%

62%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives Lokomotiv Sofia a 15% chance of winning, CSKA Sofia 62% and the draw 22%. Last updated 16 Sep 2026, 17:55.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Draw/Away & Over 1.5 71%
Away 2H Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 38'

HT 0–1

⇄ 46'

59' ⇄

⇄ 64'

Yellow Card

67' ▮

⇄ 72'

Barry Cotter

74' ⇄

Yellow Card

77' ▮

⇄ 82'

⇄ Jean-Philippe Gbamin

⚽ 0–2 84'

90' ⇄

FT 0–2

Lokomotiv Sofia

Match Stats

CSKA Sofia

47% Ball Possession 53%

12 Total Shots 17

4 Shots on Goal 8

8 Shots off Goal 9

0 Blocked Shots 0

3 Corner Kicks 4

2 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult CSKA Sofia win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.5%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Lokomotiv Sofia

WLDLD

CSKA Sofia

DWWWD

Last 1 meetings Lokomotiv Sofia · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

CSKA Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	8	10	7	4	2
1	3	11	10	7	4	2
2	2	5	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Lokomotiv Sofia goals · most likely 1–1 (10.5%)

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

22%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

22%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	8.1%	10.1%	7.4%	4.0%
1	3.1%	10.5%	10.1%	7.4%	4.0%
2	2.1%	4.7%	5.1%	3.7%	2.0%
3	0.7%	1.6%	1.7%	1.2%	0.7%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv Sofia	Draw	CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia	9.0%	4.1%	3.6%
Draw	5.7%	13.0%	20.8%
CSKA Sofia	1.0%	3.3%	39.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Away Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

0 Lokomotiv Sofia Wins

0 Draws

1 CSKA Sofia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	CSKA Sofia	2 - 0	Lokomotiv Sofia

Lokomotiv Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Spartak Varna	W	0 - 1
16 Sep	H CSKA Sofia	L	0 - 2
11 Sep	A Cherno More Varna	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Ludogorets	L	1 - 2
31 Aug	A Dunav Ruse	D	2 - 2

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Lokomotiv Sofia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H Arda Kardzhali	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Levski Sofia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	A Spartak Varna	D	1 - 1

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Daniel Morales

21 Lapoukhov

17 Martino

4 Almeida

14 Ivanov

37 Cotter

38 Pereira

7 Ebong

6 Jordão

99 Eto'o

28 Pittas

9 Godoy

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
21	F. Lapoukhov	G
37	B. Cotter	D
14	T. Ivanov	D
4	Dinis Almeida	D
17	Á. Martino	D
99	J. Eto'o	M
6	Bruno Jordão	M
7	M. Ebong	M
38	Léo Pereira	F
9	S. Godoy	F
28	I. Pittas	F

Substitutes

25	D. Evtimov	G
5	J. Gbamin	M
67	C. Itu	M
30	P. Panayotov	M
2	Pastor	D
32	Facundo Santiago Rodríguez	D
8	S. Sensi	M
94	I. Solet Bomawoko	M
19	A. Yordanov	M
10	J. Zwarts	F
11	M. Brahimi	F

Lokomotiv Sofia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: L. Penev

99 Velichkov

6 Eirô

3 Kostov

91 Bidounga

14 Lyaskov

20 Kostadinov

31 Stanoev

77 Caruzo

16 Medfai

7 Delev

29 Aralica

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	M. Velichkov	G
14	A. Lyaskov	D
91	R. Bidounga	D
3	K. Kostov	D
6	Eirô	D
31	K. Stanoev	M
20	D. Kostadinov	M
7	S. Delev	F
16	M. Medfai	M
77	Caue Caruzo	F
29	A. Aralica	F

Substitutes

8	I. Yordanov	M
21	K. Chachev	M
22	R. Daskalov	D
5	E. Dost	M
24	A. Lyubenov	G
26	K. Miloshev	M
9	G. Minchev	F
42	N. Neychev	M
17	M. Papazov	F
71	N. Penev	F
11	A. Taoui	F