Cheltenham vs Grimsby Prediction
FT
AI call
Grimsby or draw
30%
27%
43%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Cheltenham vs Grimsby prediction: Sportiko gives Cheltenham a 30% chance of winning, Grimsby 43% and the draw 27%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 15:54.
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Timeline
Charlie McCann
assist: Jake Evans
12'
⚽
1–0
Jonathan Tomkinson
Yellow Card
28'
▮
Andreas Weimann
Penalty
41'
⚽
2–0
⇄
45'
Charles Vernam
⇄ Andy Cook
⇄
45'
Cian Doyle
⇄ Mark Shelton
HT 2–0
⚽
2–1
47'
Mark Shelton
assist: Harvey Rodgers
Jake Evans
⇄ Freddie Willcox
64'
⇄
Andreas Weimann
⇄ Jake Bickerstaff
64'
⇄
⇄
69'
S. Finch
⇄ Finlay Cartwright
⇄
69'
Iwan Morgan
⇄ Ryley Reynolds
Jordan Shipley
⇄ George Nurse
72'
⇄
▮
79'
Kieran Green
Yellow Card
⚽
2–2
82'
Kieran Green
assist: Jayden Sweeney
Shaun McWilliams
⇄ Kirsten Otchere
86'
⇄
Joseph Tomlinson
⇄ J. Wilson
86'
⇄
FT 2–2
Cheltenham
Match Stats
Grimsby
42%
Ball Possession
58%
8
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots off Goal
4
0
Blocked Shots
3
4
Shots insidebox
9
4
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
1
8
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
341
Total passes
475
239
Passes accurate
368
9
Free Kicks
8
Cheltenham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Charlie McCann M | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (17%) | 2 |
| 18 Andreas Weimann F | 7.2 | 64' | 1 | – | 1 | 15 (13%) | 1 |
| 19 Jake Evans M | 6.9 | 64' | – | 1 | 1 | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 11 Jake Bickerstaff F | 6.8 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 4 Joseph Tomlinson D | 6.6 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | 2 |
| 17 Shaun McWilliams M | 6.5 | 86' | – | – | – | 43 (31%) | 2 |
| 7 Ben Stevenson M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 28 (19%) | 1 |
| 9 Kirsten Otchere F | 6.4 | 4' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 6 J. Wilson D | 6.3 | 4' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 5 Robbie Cundy D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (29%) | – |
| 21 George Nurse D | 6.2 | 18' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 25 Pierce Sweeney D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (27%) | – |
| 33 Freddie Willcox M | 6.1 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 4 (1%) | – |
| 23 Wyll Stanway G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (20%) | – |
| 26 Jordan Shipley M | 5.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 30 (19%) | 2 |
| 3 Jonathan Tomkinson D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (23%) | 3 |
Grimsby
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mark Shelton M | 7.0 | 44' | 1 | – | 2 | 32 (27%) | – |
| 17 Cameron McJannett D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (50%) | – |
| 15 Géza Dávid Turi M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (42%) | 1 |
| 2 Maldini Kacurri D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (55%) | 1 |
| 5 Harvey Rodgers D | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 34 (28%) | 1 |
| 4 Kieran Green M | 6.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 29 (20%) | – |
| 3 Jayden Sweeney D | 6.4 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 39 (33%) | 1 |
| 10 S. Finch M | 6.4 | 69' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | 1 |
| 28 Finlay Cartwright M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 9 Iwan Morgan F | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 17 (10%) | – |
| 42 David Harrington G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (34%) | – |
| 30 Charles Vernam M | 6.1 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 24 (17%) | 2 |
| 39 Andy Cook F | 6.1 | 44' | – | – | 3 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 11 Ryley Reynolds M | 6.0 | 21' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 8 Cian Doyle M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
Grimsby or draw
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Cheltenham
DDWDW
Grimsby
LWWDD
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
30%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
43%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Cheltenham
C. McCann
6 gls
J. Evans
3 gls
A. Weimann
3 gls
Grimsby
K. Green
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Cheltenham vs Grimsby
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Cheltenham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | H Exeter City | D | 2 - 2 |
| 19 Sep | A Colchester | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Crawley Town | W | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | H Grimsby | D | 2 - 2 |
| 01 Sep | H York | W | 3 - 2 |
Grimsby — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | A Notts County | L | 2 - 1 |
| 19 Sep | H Crawley Town | W | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Bristol Rovers | W | 2 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Cheltenham | D | 2 - 2 |
| 01 Sep | A Accrington ST | D | 2 - 2 |
League Two Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barnet
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 |
| 2 |
Walsall
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 13 |
| 3 |
Grimsby
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Gillingham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |
Cheltenham
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Bristol Rovers
|
7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |
York
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 11 |
| 8 |
Chesterfield
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |
Crewe
|
7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 |
Tranmere
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Fleetwood Town
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 |
Salford City
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 |
Swindon Town
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |
Rotherham
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 |
Colchester
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 |
Oldham
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 |
Rochdale
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |
Shrewsbury
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Newport County
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
| 20 |
Exeter City
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 21 |
Accrington ST
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 |
| 22 |
Northampton
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 |
Port Vale
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 |
| 24 |
Crawley Town
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Grimsby
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: D. Artell
42
Harrington
3
Sweeney
17
McJannet
2
Kacurri
5
Rodgers
15
Turi
30
Vernam
8
Doyle
4
Green
10
Finch
9
Morgan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 42 | D. Harrington | G |
| 5 | H. Rodgers | D |
| 2 | M. Kacurri | D |
| 17 | C. McJannet | D |
| 3 | J. Sweeney | D |
| 15 | G. Turi | M |
| 10 | S. Finch | M |
| 4 | K. Green | M |
| 8 | Cian Doyle | M |
| 30 | C. Vernam | M |
| 9 | Iwan Morgan | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | S. Auton | G |
| 39 | A. Cook | F |
| 12 | J. Foulkes | D |
| 7 | J. Walker | F |
| 29 | M. Shelton | M |
| 11 | Ryley Reynolds | M |
| 28 | F. Cartwright | M |
Cheltenham
Formation: 4-1-4-1
Coach: S. Cotterill
23
Stanway
4
Tomlinson
25
Sweeney
5
Cundy
3
Tomkinson
7
Stevenson
26
Shipley
8
McCann
17
McWilliams
19
Evans
18
Weimann
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | W. Stanway | G |
| 3 | J. Tomkinson | D |
| 5 | R. Cundy | D |
| 25 | P. Sweeney | D |
| 4 | J. Tomlinson | D |
| 7 | B. Stevenson | M |
| 19 | J. Evans | M |
| 17 | S. McWilliams | M |
| 8 | C. McCann | M |
| 26 | J. Shipley | M |
| 18 | A. Weimann | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | J. Day | G |
| 11 | J. Bickerstaff | F |
| 35 | M. Barber | D |
| 9 | K. Otchere | F |
| 21 | G. Nurse | D |
| 33 | F. Willcox | M |
| 6 | J. Wilson | D |