Gillingham vs Luton Prediction

League Cup League Cup · Round of 128
FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult Luton win or draw
22%
28%
51%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Gillingham vs Luton prediction: Sportiko gives Gillingham a 22% chance of winning, Luton 51% and the draw 28%. Last updated 8 Aug 2026, 15:59.

Premium picks

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  • Under 3.5 Goals 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 43'
Nahki Wells assist: Jayden Luker
HT 0–1
⇄ 48'
Jayden Luker ⇄ Kasey Palmer
Yellow Card
50' ▮
⚽ 0–2 59'
Ronan Hale ⇄ Sullivan Booth
67' ⇄
⇄ Harry Waldock
67' ⇄
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden ⇄ Will Goodwin
67' ⇄
Kadeem Harris ⇄ Sheldon Kendall
67' ⇄
Logan Dobbs ⇄ Conor McManus
68' ⇄
⇄ 68'
Jake Richards ⇄ Shayden Morris
⇄ 69'
Liam Walsh ⇄ Sverre Hakami Sandal
⇄ 69'
Isaiah Jones ⇄ Harrison Ashby
⇄ 69'
⇄ Gideon Kodua
⚽ 0–3 78'
Gideon Kodua
▮ 88'
Shayden Morris Yellow Card
FT 0–3
Gillingham

Match Stats

Luton
33% Ball Possession 67%
Expected Goals (xG)
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Goal 11
2 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 1
2 Shots insidebox 15
4 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Corner Kicks 9
1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
8 Goalkeeper Saves 2
239 Total passes 476
139 Passes accurate 382
58% Passes % 80%
goals_prevented
Gillingham
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Will Goodwin F 6.9 26' – – 1 3 (2%) –
14 Robbie McKenzie M 6.7 93' – – – 26 (14%) –
7 Kadeem Harris M 6.7 67' – – 1 6 (5%) 2
24 Harry Waldock M 6.7 26' – – 1 7 (4%) 2
18 Sheldon Kendall F 6.7 26' – – – 2 (2%) –
3 Conor McManus D 6.6 25' – – – 9 (5%) 2
16 James Brophy M 6.5 93' – – 1 22 (12%) 1
40 Owen Mason G 6.3 93' – – – 39 (11%) –
15 Zane Albarus F 6.3 67' – – – 15 (10%) 2
30 Sullivan Booth F 6.3 26' – – – 2 (2%) –
22 Nick Freeman M 6.2 93' – – – 14 (11%) 3
10 Ronan Hale F 6.2 67' – – – 7 (3%) 1
5 Andy Smith D 6.0 93' – – – 21 (13%) 1
26 Logan Dobbs D 5.9 68' – – – 21 (14%) –
19 Omar Beckles D 5.9 93' – – – 37 (25%) –
11 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden F 5.7 67' – – – 8 (6%) –
Luton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 George Johnston D 8.0 93' – – – 80 (69%) –
24 Josh Keeley G 7.7 93' – – – 39 (30%) –
8 Liam Walsh M 7.6 69' – – – 71 (61%) 1
21 Nahki Wells F 7.3 93' 1 – 4 13 (11%) 1
2 Hakeem Odofin D 7.2 93' – – – 55 (47%) 1
3 Kal Naismith D 7.2 93' – – – 75 (53%) 1
18 Jordan Clark M 7.2 93' – – 2 40 (31%) –
30 Gideon Kodua F 7.2 24' 1 – 1 6 (5%) 1
31 Benedict Benagr M 7.0 69' 1 – 3 17 (12%) 1
25 Isaiah Jones D 6.9 69' – – – 22 (19%) 2
33 Harrison Ashby D 6.7 24' – – 1 5 (4%) –
4 Sverre Hakami Sandal M 6.7 24' – – – 8 (6%) 2
19 Jayden Luker M 6.6 48' – 1 1 16 (14%) –
7 Jake Richards M 6.5 68' – – 1 10 (8%) 1
45 Kasey Palmer M 6.2 45' – – 1 12 (9%) 1
14 Shayden Morris F 6.2 25' – – 1 7 (3%) –
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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Luton win or draw
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Gillingham
LWWWD
Luton
WLLDW

Match summary

In the League Cup match on August 8, 2026, Gillingham will face Luton. Gillingham, typically a solid performer at home, will rely on their defensive organization to counter Luton's attacking prowess. Luton has shown strong form in recent matches, focusing on high pressing and quick transitions, which could exploit gaps in Gillingham's defense. Key players to watch include Gillingham's midfield playmaker, who orchestrates their attacks, and Luton’s leading scorer, whose finishing has been clinical. This match promises to be closely contested, with both teams aiming for a strong start in the knockout stage.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Gillingham vs Luton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Gillingham — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Cambridge United L 1 - 4
19 Sep H Bristol Rovers W 3 - 0
12 Sep H Tranmere W 2 - 0
05 Sep A Rochdale W 1 - 4
01 Sep A Chesterfield D 1 - 1

Luton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
22 Sep H Ipswich Town U21 W 6 - 0
19 Sep H Bradford L 0 - 1
10 Sep A Stevenage L 2 - 1
05 Sep H Leyton Orient D 1 - 1
02 Sep H Stockport County W 2 - 0

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Gillingham

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
40 Mason
19 Beckles
5 Smith
26 Dobbs
7 Harris
22 Freeman
14 McKenzie
16 Brophy
10 Hale
15 Albarus
11 Palmer-Houlden

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 Owen Mason G
26 Logan Dobbs D
5 Andy Smith D
19 Omar Beckles D
16 James Brophy M
14 Robbie McKenzie M
22 Nick Freeman M
7 Kadeem Harris M
15 Zane Albarus F
10 Ronan Hale F
11 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden F

Substitutes

24 Harry Waldock M
18 Sheldon Kendall F
9 Will Goodwin F
30 Sullivan Booth F
3 Conor McManus D
13 Taite Holtam G
29 Harry Webster D
27 Michael Luxton D
28 Damien Theodore M

Luton

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Jack Wilshere
24 Keeley
3 Naismith
6 Johnston
2 Odofin
25 Jones
8 Walsh
31 Benagr
7 Richards
18 Clark
19 Luker
21 Wells

Starting XI

# Player Pos
24 Josh Keeley G
25 Isaiah Jones D
2 Hakeem Odofin D
6 George Johnston D
3 Kal Naismith D
8 Liam Walsh M
19 Jayden Luker M
18 Jordan Clark M
7 Jake Richards M
31 Benedict Benagr M
21 Nahki Wells F

Substitutes

45 Kasey Palmer M
14 Shayden Morris F
33 Harrison Ashby D
4 Sverre Hakami Sandal M
30 Gideon Kodua F
1 James Shea G
5 Mads Andersen D
12 Joe Johnson D
44 Devante Cole F

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