QPR vs Middlesbrough Prediction
FT
AI call
Middlesbrough or draw
33%
28%
39%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
QPR vs Middlesbrough prediction: Sportiko gives QPR a 33% chance of winning, Middlesbrough 39% and the draw 28%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 15:59.
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Timeline
Ilias Chair
⇄ Koki Saito
14'
⇄
⚽
0–1
20'
Will Lankshear
assist: Callum Brittain
Richard Kone
⇄ Rumarn Burrell
39'
⇄
HT 0–1
⇄
55'
Riley McGree
⇄ T. Conway
⇄
55'
Will Lankshear
⇄ Myles Peart-Harris
▮
58'
Adilson Malanda
Yellow Card
Dennis Cirkin
⇄ Tariq Lamptey
67'
⇄
Kwame Poku
⇄ Nicolas Madsen
67'
⇄
Jake Clarke-Salter
⇄ Glen Kamara
67'
⇄
⇄
71'
Maximilian Arfsten
⇄ Alfie Jones
⇄
72'
Ashley Phillips
⇄ Luke Ayling
▮
76'
Callum Brittain
Yellow Card
⇄
84'
Sebastian Berhalter
⇄ Rokas Pukštas
Glen Kamara
Yellow Card
90+6'
▮
FT 0–1
QPR
Match Stats
Middlesbrough
52%
Ball Possession
48%
16
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
6
9
Shots off Goal
3
2
Blocked Shots
7
9
Shots insidebox
9
7
Shots outsidebox
7
12
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
3
Fouls
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
452
Total passes
437
379
Passes accurate
383
8
Free Kicks
3
QPR
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Pierce Charles G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (28%) | – |
| 20 Harvey Vale M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 31 (29%) | 3 |
| 11 Paul Smyth M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 22 (21%) | 4 |
| 3 Jimmy Dunne D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 65 (58%) | 1 |
| 19 Dennis Cirkin D | 6.8 | 67' | – | – | 1 | 27 (25%) | 1 |
| 10 Ilias Chair F | 6.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 6 Jake Clarke-Salter D | 6.7 | 67' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | 1 |
| 27 Amadou Salif Mbengue D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 27 (21%) | 1 |
| 5 Ronnie Edwards M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 71 (64%) | – |
| 16 Rumarn Burrell F | 6.4 | 51' | – | – | 2 | 10 (3%) | – |
| 14 Koki Saito F | 6.4 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 31 (24%) | 2 |
| 17 Kwame Poku M | 6.3 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 15 (13%) | – |
| 48 Tariq Lamptey D | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | 1 | 18 (15%) | 1 |
| 22 Richard Kone F | 6.2 | 39' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 24 Nicolas Madsen M | 6.1 | 23' | – | – | – | 19 (16%) | – |
| 18 Glen Kamara M | 6.0 | 23' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | – |
Middlesbrough
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Radek Vitek G | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (13%) | – |
| 2 Callum Brittain M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 31 (27%) | 1 |
| 10 Aidan Morris M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 62 (56%) | 6 |
| 7 Will Lankshear F | 7.5 | 55' | 1 | – | 4 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 8 Riley McGree M | 7.3 | 55' | – | – | 2 | 23 (22%) | 2 |
| 17 Maximilian Arfsten M | 7.2 | 71' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | – |
| 6 Sebastian Berhalter M | 7.2 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | 3 |
| 4 Ashley Phillips D | 7.0 | 72' | – | – | – | 53 (48%) | 2 |
| 30 Neto Borges D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 61 (56%) | – |
| 29 Adilson Malanda D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 81 (76%) | 3 |
| 5 Alfie Jones D | 6.8 | 19' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 14 Myles Peart-Harris M | 6.7 | 35' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 21 Rokas Pukštas M | 6.6 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 | 1 |
| 12 Luke Ayling D | 6.6 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 9 T. Conway F | 6.6 | 35' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | – |
| 22 Kyle Joseph M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 12 (7%) | – |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Our lean
Middlesbrough or draw
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QPR
DDDLW
Middlesbrough
DDWLW
Last 1 meetings
QPR · 0W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
33%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
39%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
QPR
No scorer data.
Middlesbrough
W. Lankshear
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: QPR vs Middlesbrough
0
QPR Wins
0
Draws
1
Middlesbrough Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar 2026 | QPR | 0 - 4 | Middlesbrough |
QPR — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Preston | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A West Brom | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | A Charlton | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Middlesbrough | L | 0 - 1 |
| 02 Sep | H Cardiff | W | 2 - 1 |
Middlesbrough — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Birmingham | D | 2 - 2 |
| 15 Sep | H Millwall | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | H Norwich | W | 4 - 3 |
| 08 Sep | A Crystal Palace | L | 3 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A QPR | W | 0 - 1 |
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Swansea
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 2 |
West Ham
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 |
Wolves
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |
West Brom
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
QPR
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Stoke City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Bristol City
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 |
Charlton
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 |
Birmingham
|
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |
Millwall
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |
Lincoln
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 |
| 13 |
Southampton
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Wrexham
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |
Bolton
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |
Blackburn
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |
Norwich
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Utd
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 |
Watford
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 22 |
Derby
|
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 23 |
Preston
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 |
Burnley
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
Middlesbrough
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: K. Hellberg
1
Vítek
30
Borges
29
Malanda
4
Phillips
17
Arfsten
10
Morris
6
Berhalter
2
Brittain
8
McGree
22
Joseph
7
Lankshear
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Vítek | G |
| 4 | A. Phillips | D |
| 29 | A. Malanda | D |
| 30 | Neto Borges | D |
| 2 | C. Brittain | M |
| 6 | S. Berhalter | M |
| 10 | A. Morris | M |
| 17 | M. Arfsten | M |
| 22 | K. Joseph | M |
| 8 | R. McGree | M |
| 7 | W. Lankshear | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | Leo Castledine | M |
| 9 | T. Conway | F |
| 11 | A. Cozier-Duberry | M |
| 5 | A. Jones | D |
| 14 | M. Peart-Harris | M |
| 21 | R. Pukštas | M |
| 13 | D. Strelec | F |
| 31 | S. Brynn | G |
| 12 | L. Ayling | D |
QPR
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Randin Rande
1
Charles
19
Cirkin
6
Clarke-Salter
3
Dunne
27
Mbengue
11
Smyth
5
Edwards
20
Vale
17
Poku
10
Chair
22
Kone
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Charles | G |
| 27 | A. Mbengue | D |
| 3 | J. Dunne | D |
| 6 | J. Clarke-Salter | D |
| 19 | D. Cirkin | D |
| 17 | K. Poku | M |
| 20 | H. Vale | M |
| 5 | R. Edwards | M |
| 11 | P. Smyth | M |
| 22 | R. Kone | F |
| 10 | I. Chair | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | K. Adamson | D |
| 16 | R. Burrell | F |
| 18 | G. Kamara | M |
| 48 | T. Lamptey | D |
| 15 | A. Lloyd | F |
| 24 | N. Madsen | M |
| 14 | K. Saito | F |
| 40 | J. Varane | M |
| 13 | C. Ward | G |