Metz vs Rodez Prediction
AI call
Metz or draw
45%
28%
27%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Metz vs Rodez prediction: Sportiko gives Metz a 45% chance of winning, Rodez 27% and the draw 28%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 13:55.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
Pape Moussa Fall
assist: Florian Miguel
8'
⚽
1–0
Jean Ruiz
Yellow Card
24'
▮
⚽
1–1
35'
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou
assist: Kenny Nagera
Jessy Deminguet
assist: Teji Savanier
39'
⚽
2–1
Pape Moussa Fall
42'
⚽
3–1
Jean Ruiz
⇄ Urie-Michel Mboula
45'
⇄
Florian Miguel
⇄ Maxime Colin
45'
⇄
HT 3–1
Pape Moussa Fall
assist: Jessy Deminguet
58'
⚽
4–1
Giorgi Abuashvili
Yellow Card
62'
▮
Jessy Deminguet
⇄ Nampalys Mendy
66'
⇄
⇄
68'
Damjan Pavlović
⇄ M. Saka
⇄
68'
Octave Joly
⇄ Antonin Cartillier
Giorgi Abuashvili
⇄ Hamza Kadamani
74'
⇄
⇄
74'
Mathis Touho
⇄ Nachon Nsingi
Teji Savanier
⇄ A. Agne Ba
78'
⇄
⇄
78'
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou
⇄ Ryan Ponti
⇄
78'
Kenny Nagera
⇄ Kelian Nsona
FT 4–1
Metz
Match Stats
Rodez
57%
Ball Possession
43%
19
Total Shots
19
8
Shots on Goal
6
6
Shots off Goal
10
5
Blocked Shots
3
15
Shots insidebox
15
4
Shots outsidebox
4
7
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
456
Total passes
324
404
Passes accurate
273
10
Free Kicks
11
Metz
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Pape Moussa Fall F | 9.2 | 90' | 3 | – | 4 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 8 Jessy Deminguet M | 9.0 | 66' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 36 (34%) | 1 |
| 1 Jonathan Fischer G | 8.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | – |
| 10 Teji Savanier M | 7.7 | 78' | – | 1 | 2 | 48 (44%) | 5 |
| 18 Believe Munongo M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (29%) | 3 |
| 42 Cristian Castro D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 52 (48%) | – |
| 21 Jahyann Pandore M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 2 |
| 4 Urie-Michel Mboula D | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 27 (26%) | – |
| 2 Maxime Colin D | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 3 |
| 70 Bouna Sarr D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 60 (53%) | – |
| 88 A. Agne Ba F | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 3 Florian Miguel D | 6.5 | 46' | – | 1 | 2 | 27 (20%) | – |
| 38 Hamza Kadamani M | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 1 (1%) | 2 |
| 5 Jean Ruiz D | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 25 (22%) | – |
| 9 Giorgi Abuashvili M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 26 (21%) | 1 |
| 6 Nampalys Mendy M | 6.3 | 24' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
Rodez
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Kenny Nagera F | 7.6 | 78' | – | 1 | 4 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 11 Mathis Touho F | 6.8 | 74' | – | – | 4 | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 16 Lucas Margueron G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (17%) | – |
| 13 Corentin Issanchou Roubiou D | 6.6 | 78' | 1 | – | 2 | 18 (11%) | 1 |
| 24 Loni Laurent D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 4 |
| 15 Evan’s Jean-Lambert D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 21 Kelian Nsona F | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | 2 | – | – |
| 3 Raphaël Lipinski D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (46%) | 4 |
| 9 Nachon Nsingi F | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 4 Mathis Magnin D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 2 |
| 6 Jordan Mendes Correia M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (30%) | – |
| 8 Damjan Pavlović M | 6.0 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 27 (21%) | – |
| 22 Octave Joly M | 5.9 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 29 Antonin Cartillier M | 5.8 | 22' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 10 M. Saka M | 5.8 | 22' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 20 Ryan Ponti D | 5.6 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
Premium
Unlock the AI's full read on Metz vs Rodez
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Value Edge — model vs market
- Pick types you choose
Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Our lean
Metz or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
Metz
DLWDD
Rodez
LLLDW
Match summary
In the upcoming Ligue 2 clash, Metz will host Rodez on September 5, 2026. Metz has shown solid form at home, emphasizing a strong defensive setup, conceding only 0.8 goals per match in their last five home games. Conversely, Rodez has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.6 goals per match in their recent away fixtures. This matchup will likely hinge on Metz's ability to capitalize on their chances while Rodez will need to improve their finishing to secure points. Expect a competitive encounter, with Metz aiming to leverage their recent home performances.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
45%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
27%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Metz
P. Fall
5 gls
J. Deminguet
2 gls
Rodez
I. Baldé
5 gls
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Metz vs Rodez
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Metz — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Saint Etienne | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A RED Star FC 93 | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Rodez | W | 4 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Annecy | D | 1 - 1 |
| 22 Aug | H Laval | D | 1 - 1 |
Rodez — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Nancy | L | 3 - 4 |
| 11 Sep | H Grenoble | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Metz | L | 4 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H PAU | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | A Nantes | W | 2 - 5 |
Ligue 2 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Saint Etienne
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 16 |
| 2 |
RED Star FC 93
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 3 |
Reims
|
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 |
Montpellier
|
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |
Metz
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 |
Nancy
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |
Annecy
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |
Sochaux
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 |
Dijon
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 |
PAU
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |
Guingamp
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |
Dunkerque
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Grenoble
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
Rodez
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Nantes
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |
Clermont Foot
|
7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 17 |
Boulogne
|
7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |
Laval
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 5 |
Rodez
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: D. Santini
16
Margueron
15
Jean-Lambert
3
Lipinski
4
Magnin
24
Quenabio
13
Roubiou
22
Joly
8
Pavlović
6
Mendes
11
Touho
7
Nagera
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | L. Margueron | G |
| 13 | C. Roubiou | D |
| 24 | L. Quenabio | D |
| 4 | M. Magnin | D |
| 3 | R. Lipinski | D |
| 15 | E. Jean-Lambert | D |
| 6 | J. Mendes | M |
| 8 | D. Pavlović | M |
| 22 | O. Joly | M |
| 7 | K. Nagera | F |
| 11 | M. Touho | F |
Substitutes
| 27 | M. Essimi Ateba | F |
| 30 | E. Crombez | G |
| 29 | Antonin Cartillier | M |
| 28 | S. Luyambula Biwa | D |
| 9 | N. Nsingi | F |
| 21 | K. Nsona | F |
| 20 | R. Ponti | D |
| 17 | L. Vungele Vangi | D |
| 10 | M. Saka | M |
Metz
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: L. Holtz
1
Fischer
3
Miguel
5
Ruiz
42
Devenish
70
Sarr
18
Munongo
8
Deminguet
21
Pandore
10
Savanier
9
Abuashvili
11
Fall
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Fischer | G |
| 70 | B. Sarr | D |
| 42 | C. Devenish | D |
| 5 | J. Ruiz | D |
| 3 | F. Miguel | D |
| 8 | J. Deminguet | M |
| 18 | B. Munongo | M |
| 9 | G. Abuashvili | M |
| 10 | T. Savanier | M |
| 21 | J. Pandore | M |
| 11 | P. Fall | F |
Substitutes
| 98 | I. Mohamed | D |
| 6 | N. Mendy | M |
| 61 | P. Sy | G |
| 88 | A. Agne Ba | F |
| 2 | M. Colin | D |
| 38 | H. Kadamani | M |
| 22 | N. Mbala | F |
| 33 | Abdourahmane Mbodj | F |
| 4 | U. Mboula | D |