Metz vs Laval Prediction

Ligue 2 Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 3
FT
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AI call Difficult Metz win or draw
52%
27%
21%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Metz vs Laval prediction: Sportiko gives Metz a 52% chance of winning, Laval 21% and the draw 27%. Last updated 22 Aug 2026, 13:56.

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Timeline

▮ 17'
Yellow Card
▮ 31'
Julien Maggiotti Yellow Card
Idris Mohamed Yellow Card
33' ▮
HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 49'
Julien Maggiotti Penalty
▮ 51'
Jules Gaudin Yellow Card
⇄ 68'
Sacha Mellier ⇄ Alessio Beaudouin
⇄ 68'
Julien Maggiotti
Nathan Mbala ⇄ Nampalys Mendy
73' ⇄
Believe Munongo ⇄ Teji Savanier
73' ⇄
Pape Moussa Fall assist: Teji Savanier
78' ⚽ 1–1
⇄ 79'
⇄ Noa Mupemba
⇄ 79'
Mathis Houdayer ⇄ Aboubakary Kanté
Idris Mohamed Yellow Card
83' ▮
Idris Mohamed Red Card
83' ▮
Giorgi Abuashvili ⇄ Urie-Michel Mboula
86' ⇄
Jahyann Pandore ⇄ Hamza Kadamani
86' ⇄
⇄ 86'
Cyril Mandouki ⇄ Yanis Court
Pape Moussa Fall ⇄ Ibou Sane
88' ⇄
FT 1–1
Metz

Match Stats

Laval
47% Ball Possession 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
227 Total passes 261
199 Passes accurate 217
88% Passes % 83%
goals_prevented
Metz
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Florian Miguel D 7.5 54' – – – 23 (18%) –
9 Giorgi Abuashvili F 7.3 54' – – 2 16 (15%) –
8 Jessy Deminguet M 7.2 54' – – – 31 (26%) –
18 Believe Munongo M 6.9 54' – – – 20 (17%) 2
11 Pape Moussa Fall F 6.9 54' – – 2 5 (4%) –
70 Bouna Sarr D 6.7 54' – – 2 21 (19%) –
42 Cristian Castro D 6.5 54' – – – 26 (24%) 1
21 Jahyann Pandore M 6.5 54' – – 1 22 (21%) –
1 Jonathan Fischer G 6.3 54' – – – 27 (22%) –
22 Nathan Mbala F 6.0 54' – – 2 10 (9%) –
98 Idris Mohamed D 5.9 54' – – – 26 (24%) –
Laval
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
30 Mamadou Samassa G 8.3 54' – – – 18 (16%) –
3 William Bianda D 7.2 54' – – – 40 (36%) –
5 Julien Maggiotti M 7.2 54' 1 – 2 30 (24%) 2
31 Mathis Houdayer F 7.0 54' – – – 11 (6%) 3
23 Esteban Mouton D 6.9 54' – – 2 30 (27%) 5
22 Jules Gaudin D 6.7 54' – – 1 27 (15%) 2
11 Trévis Dago F 6.6 54' – – – 6 (6%) 1
33 Sacha Mellier M 6.6 54' – – – 25 (20%) 1
6 Sam Sanna M 6.5 54' – – 1 26 (24%) 1
14 Cyril Mandouki M 6.3 54' – – – 20 (17%) 2
18 Aboubacar Lô D 6.3 54' – – – 28 (26%) –
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Confidence Medium (52%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Metz win or draw
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Metz
DLWDD
Laval
DLLLD

Match summary

Metz will face Laval in an important Ligue 2 clash. Historically, Metz has a strong home record, which could play a role in their performance. As of the latest data, Metz averages 1.6 goals per match at home, while Laval struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals away. Both teams will be keen to secure points early in the season, making this encounter crucial for their aspirations. Key players to watch include Metz's top scorer, who has consistently found the back of the net, and Laval's playmaker, responsible for their creative play.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
52%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
21%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Metz
P. Fall 5 gls
J. Deminguet 2 gls
Laval
E. Clavreul 2 gls

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Head to Head: Metz vs Laval

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Metz — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Saint Etienne D 2 - 2
14 Sep A RED Star FC 93 L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Rodez W 4 - 1
29 Aug A Annecy D 1 - 1
22 Aug H Laval D 1 - 1

Laval — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Sochaux D 1 - 1
11 Sep A Dijon L 3 - 2
04 Sep H RED Star FC 93 L 1 - 2
28 Aug H Grenoble L 0 - 3
22 Aug A Metz D 1 - 1

Ligue 2 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Saint Etienne
7 5 1 1 +11 16
2
RED Star FC 93
7 4 2 1 +2 14
3
Reims
7 3 4 0 +6 13
4
Montpellier
7 3 3 1 +1 12
5
Metz
7 2 4 1 +3 10
6
Nancy
7 3 1 3 +1 10
7
Annecy
7 3 1 3 0 10
8
Sochaux
7 2 4 1 -1 10
9
Dijon
7 2 3 2 0 9
10
PAU
7 2 2 3 0 8
11
Guingamp
7 2 2 3 -2 8
12
Dunkerque
7 2 2 3 -2 8
13
Grenoble
7 2 2 3 -3 8
14
Rodez
7 2 1 4 -2 7
15
Nantes
7 2 1 4 -4 7
16
Clermont Foot
7 0 6 1 -2 6
17
Boulogne
7 0 5 2 -2 5
18
Laval
7 1 2 4 -6 5

Laval

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: David Vignes
30 Samassa
22 Gaudin
3 Bianda
18 Lô
23 Mouton
14 Mandouki
33 Mellier
6 Sanna
5 Maggiotti
31 Houdayer
11 Dago

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 Mamadou Samassa G
23 Esteban Mouton D
18 Aboubacar Lô D
3 William Bianda D
22 Jules Gaudin D
6 Sam Sanna M
33 Sacha Mellier M
14 Cyril Mandouki M
5 Julien Maggiotti M
11 Trévis Dago F
31 Mathis Houdayer F

Substitutes

1 Maxime Hautbois G
35 Joseph Layousse Samb D
32 Yanis Court M
29 Mamadou Sidibé M
21 Alessio Beaudouin D
7 Chafik Gourichy M
19 Noa Mupemba F
28 Aboubakary Kanté F

Metz

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: L. Holtz
1 Fischer
3 Miguel
98 Mohamed
42 Castro
70 Sarr
21 Pandore
18 Munongo
8 Deminguet
22 Mbala
11 Fall
9 Abuashvili

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Jonathan Fischer G
70 Bouna Sarr D
42 Cristian Castro D
98 Idris Mohamed D
3 Florian Miguel D
8 Jessy Deminguet M
18 Believe Munongo M
21 Jahyann Pandore M
9 Giorgi Abuashvili F
11 Pape Moussa Fall F
22 Nathan Mbala F

Substitutes

61 Pape Sy G
39 Bryan Song D
4 Urie-Michel Mboula D
19 Morgan Bokele Mputu F
6 Nampalys Mendy M
10 Teji Savanier M
38 Hamza Kadamani M
7 Ibou Sane F
20 Habibou Diallo F

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