Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 19

27 Feb 2027, 08:40

Post on X

Macarthur

Away

AAMI Park, Melbourne

AI call Difficult Melbourne Victory win or draw

56%

25%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur prediction: Sportiko gives Melbourne Victory a 56% chance of winning, Macarthur 19% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.6%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

58%

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Melbourne Victory

DWDWW

Macarthur

WWWLW

Last 2 meetings Melbourne Victory · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Melbourne Victory will face Macarthur in a critical A-League matchup. Melbourne Victory has shown inconsistent form, currently sitting mid-table, while Macarthur has been competitive but struggles with defensive stability. Key to the match will be Melbourne's ability to capitalize on set pieces, an area where they have found success, and Macarthur's challenge will be to maintain possession and create clear scoring opportunities. Both teams will aim to secure points to bolster their playoff aspirations. Expect a tactical battle where midfield control could dictate the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Macarthur goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	8	12	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	6	7	4	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Melbourne Victory goals · most likely 1–1 (11.6%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

25%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

56%

Draw

25%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

42%

2.5

58%

65%

3.5

35%

82%

4.5

18%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

12%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.2%	3.9%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
1	8.2%	11.6%	5.5%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.3%	10.1%	5.5%	2.0%	0.5%
3	6.1%	6.6%	3.6%	1.3%	0.4%
4	3.0%	3.3%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Melbourne Victory	Draw	Macarthur
Melbourne Victory	36.4%	4.0%	1.4%
Draw	18.3%	14.5%	7.4%
Macarthur	2.9%	4.1%	10.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur

1 Melbourne Victory Wins

1 Draws

0 Macarthur Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Mar 2026	Melbourne Victory	4 - 1	Macarthur
05 Dec 2025	Macarthur	0 - 0	Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Viettel	D	1 - 1
09 Sep	A Sydney	W	0 - 2
08 Aug	A Western Sydney Wanderers	D	1 - 1
26 Jul	A Kingborough Lions	W	0 - 4
25 Apr	A Western Sydney Wanderers	W	0 - 2

Macarthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Uni Azzurri	W	0 - 3
24 Apr	H Wellington Phoenix	W	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Adelaide United	W	0 - 1
12 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	3 - 1
02 Apr	H Newcastle Jets	W	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.