Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 5

22 Nov 2026, 02:00

Post on X

Macarthur

Away

AI call Wellington Phoenix or draw

47%

28%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur prediction: Sportiko gives Wellington Phoenix a 47% chance of winning, Macarthur 25% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Wellington Phoenix

LWLDW

Macarthur

WWWLW

Last 2 meetings Wellington Phoenix · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Wellington Phoenix will face Macarthur FC. Wellington has shown a solid home performance this season, typically averaging over 1.5 goals per match, while Macarthur's away form has been inconsistent, with only 1 win in their last 5 away games. Key players to watch include Wellington's leading scorer, who has netted 7 goals this season, and Macarthur's playmaker, who has contributed 5 assists. The match will be pivotal for both teams as they aim for playoff positions, making it a crucial encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

47%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Macarthur goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	4	2
1	9	14	7	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Wellington Phoenix goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

47%

Draw

28%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	6.0%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.3%	13.5%	6.6%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.6%	9.5%	5.2%	1.9%	0.5%
3	4.6%	5.0%	2.8%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.0%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
Wellington Phoenix	28.9%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	16.9%	17.5%	9.9%
Macarthur	2.4%	4.3%	14.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur

0 Wellington Phoenix Wins

0 Draws

2 Macarthur Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Apr 2026	Macarthur	4 - 0	Wellington Phoenix
22 Nov 2025	Wellington Phoenix	0 - 1	Macarthur

Wellington Phoenix — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Apr	A Macarthur	L	4 - 0
18 Apr	H Western Sydney Wanderers	W	2 - 1
12 Apr	A Melbourne City	L	1 - 0
05 Apr	A Melbourne Victory	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A Brisbane Roar	W	1 - 2

Macarthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Uni Azzurri	W	0 - 3
24 Apr	H Wellington Phoenix	W	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Adelaide United	W	0 - 1
12 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	3 - 1
02 Apr	H Newcastle Jets	W	3 - 2

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.