Macarthur vs Perth Glory Prediction

A-League · Regular Season - 1

17 Oct 2026, 06:00

Post on X

Perth Glory

Away

AI call Difficult Perth Glory win or draw

12%

24%

64%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Macarthur vs Perth Glory prediction: Sportiko gives Macarthur a 12% chance of winning, Perth Glory 64% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Macarthur

WWWLW

Perth Glory

DWDWD

Last 3 meetings Macarthur · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming A-League clash, Macarthur will face Perth Glory. Macarthur has shown a solid attacking form, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Perth Glory's defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Both teams sit mid-table, indicating a competitive matchup, but Macarthur's ability to capitalize on set pieces could be pivotal. Key players to watch include Macarthur's leading scorer, who has netted five goals so far, and Perth’s playmaker, who has contributed significantly to their offensive plays. This encounter could be crucial for both teams' aspirations to climb the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

12%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

64%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Perth Glory goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	13	13	9	4	2
1	4	11	10	6	3	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Macarthur goals · most likely 0–2 (13.5%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

24%

Home Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

64%

Draw

24%

Home Win

12%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

84% Away (No Draw) 16% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

39% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

64% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 12% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	12.9%	13.5%	8.5%	4.1%
1	4.0%	11.4%	9.6%	6.1%	2.9%
2	1.9%	3.6%	3.4%	2.2%	1.0%
3	0.4%	0.8%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
Macarthur	6.6%	3.3%	2.3%
Draw	5.2%	15.6%	21.4%
Perth Glory	0.7%	3.2%	41.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Macarthur vs Perth Glory

0 Macarthur Wins

1 Draws

2 Perth Glory Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Perth Glory	3 - 1	Macarthur
06 Feb 2026	Macarthur	2 - 2	Perth Glory
30 Nov 2025	Macarthur	0 - 2	Perth Glory

Macarthur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
22 Jul	A Uni Azzurri	W	0 - 3
24 Apr	H Wellington Phoenix	W	4 - 0
19 Apr	A Adelaide United	W	0 - 1
12 Apr	A Perth Glory	L	3 - 1
02 Apr	H Newcastle Jets	W	3 - 2

Perth Glory — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
21 Jul	A Lions	D	1 - 1
25 Apr	H Brisbane Roar	W	2 - 1
18 Apr	A Sydney	D	0 - 0
12 Apr	H Macarthur	W	3 - 1
04 Apr	A Central Coast Mariners	D	0 - 0

A-League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Central Coast Mariners	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Newcastle Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Perth Glory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brisbane Roar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Sydney	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Wellington Phoenix	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Melbourne Victory	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Melbourne City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Western Sydney Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Macarthur	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Auckland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.