Kilmarnock vs Dundee Prediction

Premiership · Regular Season - 18

12 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Dundee

Away

AI call Difficult Kilmarnock win or draw

51%

28%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Kilmarnock vs Dundee prediction: Sportiko gives Kilmarnock a 51% chance of winning, Dundee 21% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Dundee

WLDLW

Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Kilmarnock faces Dundee in a crucial Premiership clash. Kilmarnock has struggled in recent matches, currently positioned in the lower half of the table, with a defensive record that has seen them concede 1.5 goals per match on average. Dundee, on the other hand, has shown improved form, particularly in their attacking play, scoring an average of 1.3 goals per game this season. Key players for both sides will be pivotal, as Kilmarnock seeks to shore up their defense against Dundee's attacking threats. The outcome could have significant implications for both teams' standings as they approach the winter break.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

21%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Dundee goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	6	4	1
1	11	14	6	2
2	10	10	4	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Kilmarnock goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

Dundee

J. Westley 3 gls

B. Fink 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

28%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

28%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

54%

2.5

46%

76%

3.5

24%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	6.0%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
1	11.3%	13.5%	5.6%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.2%	9.5%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%
3	5.4%	5.0%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.2%	2.0%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee
Kilmarnock	31.9%	4.0%	1.2%
Draw	18.2%	18.2%	8.5%
Dundee	2.3%	4.0%	11.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs Dundee

0 Kilmarnock Wins

2 Draws

1 Dundee Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Dundee
30 Dec 2025	Dundee	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
23 Aug 2025	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Dundee — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Motherwell	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Heart Of Midlothian	L	2 - 1
02 Sep	H ST Johnstone	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Hibernian	L	1 - 2
22 Aug	A Dundee Utd	W	0 - 2

Premiership Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	7	6	0	1	14	4	+10	18
2	Rangers	7	5	1	1	8	4	+4	16
3	Heart Of Midlothian	7	4	1	2	14	8	+6	13
4	Dundee	7	3	1	3	9	7	+2	10
5	ST Mirren	7	3	1	3	8	9	-1	10
6	ST Johnstone	7	2	2	3	9	10	-1	8
7	Aberdeen	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	8
8	Dundee Utd	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
9	Motherwell	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
10	Hibernian	7	2	1	4	8	11	-3	7
11	Falkirk	7	1	3	3	6	9	-3	6
12	Kilmarnock	7	1	2	4	6	15	-9	5

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.