Maritimo vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 23

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Moreirense

Away

AI call Maritimo or draw

38%

30%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Maritimo vs Moreirense prediction: Sportiko gives Maritimo a 38% chance of winning, Moreirense 32% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Maritimo

DLLLD

Moreirense

DWLLW

Last 3 meetings Maritimo · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Maritimo will face Moreirense. Maritimo has struggled this season, currently sitting in the relegation zone with a record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, while Moreirense is slightly better off, positioned mid-table with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with Maritimo conceding 35 goals, and Moreirense not far behind at 32. The match will be crucial for Maritimo to secure points in their battle against relegation, while Moreirense will look to solidify their mid-table standing. The outcome could hinge on Maritimo's ability to convert chances, as they have the lowest goals scored in the league with just 20.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Moreirense goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	6	2	1
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	7	9	5	2	1
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Maritimo goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

32%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

38%

Away Win

32%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Home Scores More 32% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	7.5%	5.7%	2.4%	0.7%
1	8.5%	14.2%	7.8%	3.2%	1.0%
2	6.9%	8.6%	5.3%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.2%	3.9%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Maritimo	Draw	Moreirense
Maritimo	23.0%	4.5%	1.9%
Draw	14.3%	18.5%	12.4%
Moreirense	2.1%	4.5%	18.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Maritimo vs Moreirense

1 Maritimo Wins

1 Draws

1 Moreirense Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Sep 2026	Moreirense	3 - 1	Maritimo
06 Mar 2022	Moreirense	0 - 1	Maritimo
01 Oct 2021	Maritimo	0 - 0	Moreirense

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Maritimo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A GIL Vicente	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	A Moreirense	L	3 - 1
05 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 3
29 Aug	A Arouca	L	2 - 1
22 Aug	H Academico Viseu	D	2 - 2

Moreirense — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitória SC	D	1 - 1
14 Sep	H Maritimo	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 4
04 Sep	A FC Porto	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Casa Pia	W	0 - 1

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.