Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction
FT
AI call
Sporting CP to win
79%
15%
6%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Sporting CP vs Nacional prediction: Sportiko gives Sporting CP a 79% chance of winning, Nacional 6% and the draw 15%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 21:25.
Premium picks
Premium- Home 2H Over 0.5 76%
- Under 4.5 75%
- 1st Half Home or Away 73%
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Timeline
Maximiliano Araújo
Yellow Card
5'
▮
Sergi Altimira
Yellow Card
20'
▮
Luis Javier Suárez
Penalty
32'
⚽
1–0
⇄
45'
Léo Santos
⇄ Deivison Souza Brito
HT 1–0
▮
48'
Markus Jensen
Yellow Card
Flávio Gonçalves
assist: Luis Javier Suárez
49'
⚽
2–0
⇄
62'
Pablo
⇄ Allen Obando
⇄
62'
Markus Jensen
⇄ Chiheb Labidi
Geny Catamo
⇄ Luis Guilherme
67'
⇄
Rodrigo Zalazar
⇄ Nestory Irankunda
67'
⇄
Luis Javier Suárez
⇄ Fotis Ioannidis
67'
⇄
⇄
73'
Stavros Gavriel
⇄ Matchoi Djaló
Maximiliano Araújo
⇄ Giorgos Vagiannidis
78'
⇄
⇄
80'
Miguel Baeza
⇄ Daniel Júnior
Sergi Altimira
⇄ Silas Andersen
87'
⇄
FT 2–0
Sporting CP
Match Stats
Nacional
68%
Ball Possession
32%
18
Total Shots
3
8
Shots on Goal
2
9
Shots off Goal
0
1
Blocked Shots
1
9
Shots insidebox
0
9
Shots outsidebox
3
12
Corner Kicks
0
1
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
655
Total passes
318
584
Passes accurate
255
7
Free Kicks
9
Sporting CP
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Flávio Gonçalves M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 34 (27%) | 2 |
| 6 Zeno Debast D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 108 (101%) | 1 |
| 97 Luis Javier Suárez F | 7.6 | 67' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 (19%) | – |
| 20 Maximiliano Araújo D | 7.5 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 44 (41%) | – |
| 25 Gonçalo Inácio D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 87 (78%) | 1 |
| 22 Iván Fresneda D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 73 (70%) | 3 |
| 5 Sergi Altimira M | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | – | 88 (78%) | 3 |
| 31 Luis Guilherme F | 7.2 | 23' | – | – | – | 15 (14%) | 1 |
| 1 Rui Silva G | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (26%) | – |
| 10 Geny Catamo M | 7.0 | 67' | – | – | 2 | 38 (35%) | – |
| 13 Giorgos Vagiannidis D | 7.0 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 77 Issa Doumbia M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (38%) | 3 |
| 4 Silas Andersen M | 6.8 | 3' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 19 Nestory Irankunda F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 17 Rodrigo Zalazar M | 6.5 | 67' | – | – | 3 | 39 (29%) | 1 |
| 7 Fotis Ioannidis F | 6.5 | 23' | – | – | 3 | 3 (3%) | – |
Nacional
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Renato Marin G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (13%) | – |
| 33 Francisco Gonçalves D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (34%) | 4 |
| 88 Deivison Souza Brito M | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 20 (18%) | – |
| 34 Léo Santos D | 6.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | – |
| 15 Chiheb Labidi M | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | 2 |
| 8 Miguel Baeza M | 6.5 | 80' | – | – | 1 | 32 (28%) | 2 |
| 11 Stavros Gavriel M | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | 2 |
| 6 Matheus Dias M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 2 |
| 99 Pablo F | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 1 |
| 38 Ze Vitor D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (29%) | 1 |
| 52 Wesley Gasolina M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | 1 |
| 9 Allen Obando F | 6.1 | 28' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 10 Daniel Júnior M | 6.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 21 Williams Kokolo M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 15 (7%) | 1 |
| 7 Markus Jensen M | 5.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | 2 |
| 20 Matchoi Djaló F | 5.9 | 17' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
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Confidence
High (79%)
At a glance
Our lean
Sporting CP to win
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Sporting CP
DDWWW
Nacional
LLLLL
Last 3 meetings
Sporting CP · 3W 0D 0L
Match summary
Sporting CP will look to capitalize on their strong attacking form as they face Nacional in this Primeira Liga clash. Sporting has averaged 2.1 goals per match over the last five games, bolstered by key players contributing to their offensive output. Nacional, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match recently. The matchup is crucial for both teams as Sporting aims to solidify their position in the league while Nacional fights to improve their standing. Expect a tactical battle with Sporting likely leveraging their offensive strengths.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
79%
45%
Draw
15%
45%
Away
6%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Sporting CP
L. Suárez
6 gls
Flávio Gonçalves
3 gls
F. Ioannidis
2 gls
Nacional
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sporting CP vs Nacional
3
Sporting CP Wins
0
Draws
0
Nacional Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb 2026 | Sporting CP | 2 - 1 | Nacional |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Nacional | 1 - 4 | Sporting CP |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Sporting CP | 2 - 0 | Nacional |
Sporting CP — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Arouca | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | A Famalicao | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Galatasaray | W | 3 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Nacional | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Aug | A Rio Ave | W | 0 - 4 |
Nacional — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Famalicao | L | 0 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Alverca | L | 1 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | A Sporting CP | L | 2 - 0 |
| 30 Aug | H Estrela | L | 2 - 3 |
| 23 Aug | A Vitória SC | L | 1 - 0 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Nacional
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: David Pagou
1
Bellucci
38
Vitor
33
Gonçalves
34
Santos
21
Kokolo
8
Baeza
6
Dias
52
Gasolina
7
Jensen
11
Gavriel
99
Ruan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renato Bellucci | G |
| 34 | Léo Santos | D |
| 33 | Francisco Gonçalves | D |
| 38 | Zé Vitor | D |
| 52 | Wesley Gasolina | M |
| 6 | Matheus Dias | M |
| 8 | Miguel Baeza | M |
| 21 | W. Kokolo | M |
| 11 | S. Gavriel | M |
| 7 | M. Jensen | M |
| 99 | Pablo Ruan | F |
Substitutes
| 9 | A. Obando | F |
| 17 | F. Nava | F |
| 50 | Kevyn | G |
| 15 | C. Labidi | M |
| 31 | D. Dongmo | M |
| 20 | Matchoi Djaló | F |
| 2 | Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz | D |
| 10 | Daniel Júnior | M |
| 88 | Deivison | M |
Sporting CP
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Rui Borges
1
Silva
20
Araújo
25
Inácio
6
Debast
22
Fresneda
77
Doumbia
5
Altimira
58
Gonçalves
17
Zalazar
10
Catamo
97
Suárez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rui Silva | G |
| 22 | Iván Fresneda | D |
| 6 | Z. Debast | D |
| 25 | Gonçalo Inácio | D |
| 20 | M. Araújo | D |
| 5 | Sergi Altimira | M |
| 77 | I. Doumbia | M |
| 10 | Geny Catamo | M |
| 17 | R. Zalazar | M |
| 58 | Flávio Gonçalves | M |
| 97 | L. Suárez | F |
Substitutes
| 50 | Rodrigo Dias | D |
| 28 | J. Derry | F |
| 9 | Rafael Ferreira Nel | F |
| 7 | F. Ioannidis | F |
| 19 | N. Irankunda | F |
| 21 | Pedro Lima | M |
| 31 | Luis Guilherme | F |
| 30 | Kaique | G |
| 72 | Eduardo Quaresma | D |
| 4 | S. Andersen | M |
| 13 | G. Vagiannidis | D |
| 73 | Eduardo Felicíssimo | M |