Rio Ave vs Sporting CP Prediction
FT
AI call
Sporting CP to win or draw
10%
18%
72%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP prediction: Sportiko gives Rio Ave a 10% chance of winning, Sporting CP 72% and the draw 18%. Last updated 28 Aug 2026, 21:10.
Premium picks
Premium- Draw/Away & Over 1.5 75%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
- Away 2H Over 0.5 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
⚽
0–1
5'
Flávio Gonçalves
assist: Issa Doumbia
⚽
0–2
19'
Geny Catamo
assist: Flávio Gonçalves
⚽
0–3
26'
Luis Javier Suárez
⚽
0–4
37'
Luis Javier Suárez
assist: Maximiliano Araújo
HT 0–4
▮
51'
Luis Javier Suárez
Yellow Card
Tamás Nikitscher
Yellow Card
60'
▮
⇄
65'
Geny Catamo
⇄ Luis Guilherme
⇄
65'
Flávio Gonçalves
⇄ Fotis Ioannidis
⇄
65'
Issa Doumbia
⇄ Silas Andersen
⇄ Malik Sellouki
66'
⇄
Dario Špikić
75'
⇄
Tamás Nikitscher
⇄ Antoine Wenck
75'
⇄
⇄
81'
Rodrigo Zalazar
⇄ Nestory Irankunda
Jalen Blesa
⇄ Caike
86'
⇄
⇄
86'
Luis Javier Suárez
⇄ Jesse Derry
Marios Vrousai
⇄ Miguel Patricío
86'
⇄
FT 0–4
Rio Ave
Match Stats
Sporting CP
39%
Ball Possession
61%
0.50
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
6
Total Shots
11
0
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
3
1
Blocked Shots
3
3
Shots insidebox
8
3
Shots outsidebox
3
2
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
0
7
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
1
Red Cards
1
Goalkeeper Saves
0
385
Total passes
600
328
Passes accurate
541
85%
Passes %
90%
0.00
goals_prevented
0.00
Rio Ave
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Malik Sellouki M | 6.9 | 25' | – | – | 1 | 10 (10%) | 1 |
| 44 Tamás Nikitscher M | 6.7 | 74' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | 2 |
| 11 Jalen Blesa M | 6.6 | 86' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | – |
| 9 Tamblé Monteiro F | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 16 (16%) | 1 |
| 54 Georgios Liavas D | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 42 (36%) | 2 |
| 30 Roland Galčík F | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 70 Antoine Wenck M | 6.3 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 17 Marios Vrousai D | 6.2 | 86' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | 9 |
| 5 Andreas Ndoj M | 6.2 | 91' | – | – | 1 | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 7 Diogo Bezerra M | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | – |
| 77 Dario Špikić M | 6.2 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 20 (18%) | 1 |
| 23 Francisco Petrasso D | 6.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 57 (49%) | 2 |
| 39 Gustavo Mancha D | 6.0 | 91' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | – |
| 99 Ennio Van Der Gouw G | 5.9 | 91' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | – |
| 79 Miguel Patricío F | — | 5' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 60 Caike D | — | 5' | – | – | – | – | – |
Sporting CP
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Luis Javier Suárez F | 8.2 | 86' | 2 | – | 2 | 27 (25%) | – |
| 58 Flávio Gonçalves M | 8.2 | 65' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 (22%) | 4 |
| 5 Sergi Altimira M | 7.7 | 91' | – | – | – | 84 (83%) | 6 |
| 6 Zeno Debast D | 7.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 83 (77%) | – |
| 25 Gonçalo Inácio D | 7.2 | 91' | – | – | – | 103 (93%) | 1 |
| 10 Geny Catamo M | 7.2 | 65' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | – |
| 77 Issa Doumbia M | 6.9 | 65' | – | 1 | 1 | 37 (32%) | 1 |
| 19 Nestory Irankunda F | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 1 Rui Silva G | 6.7 | 91' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | – |
| 22 Iván Fresneda D | 6.6 | 91' | – | – | – | 52 (48%) | 1 |
| 31 Luis Guilherme F | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 4 Silas Andersen M | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 20 (18%) | – |
| 20 Maximiliano Araújo D | 6.3 | 91' | – | 1 | – | 51 (41%) | – |
| 17 Rodrigo Zalazar M | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 48 (44%) | – |
| 7 Fotis Ioannidis F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 28 Jesse Derry F | — | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
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Confidence
High (72%)
At a glance
Our lean
Sporting CP to win or draw
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Rio Ave
LDLLW
Sporting CP
DDWWW
Last 3 meetings
Rio Ave · 0W 0D 3L
Match summary
In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Rio Ave will face Sporting CP. Sporting CP has demonstrated a strong attacking record, averaging 2.1 goals per match last season, bolstered by their high possession rate of 60%. Conversely, Rio Ave has struggled defensively, conceding 1.7 goals per match on average. The matchup will likely hinge on whether Rio Ave can tighten their defense against Sporting's potent attack, while also seeking to capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities. Expect a tactical battle as both teams aim to secure crucial points early in the season.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
10%
10%
Draw
18%
45%
Away
72%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Rio Ave
No scorer data.
Sporting CP
L. Suárez
6 gls
Flávio Gonçalves
3 gls
F. Ioannidis
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
0
Rio Ave Wins
0
Draws
3
Sporting CP Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Rio Ave | 1 - 4 | Sporting CP |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sporting CP | 4 - 0 | Rio Ave |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Rio Ave | 0 - 3 | Sporting CP |
Rio Ave — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Alverca | L | 1 - 0 |
| 14 Sep | H Estrela | D | 3 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Santa Clara | L | 4 - 0 |
| 28 Aug | H Sporting CP | L | 0 - 4 |
| 22 Aug | A Estoril | W | 0 - 2 |
Sporting CP — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Arouca | D | 2 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | A Famalicao | D | 1 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Galatasaray | W | 3 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Nacional | W | 2 - 0 |
| 28 Aug | A Rio Ave | W | 0 - 4 |
Primeira Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 |
| 2 |
Benfica
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |
Sporting CP
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |
Santa Clara
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |
Academico Viseu
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 |
Estrela
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |
GIL Vicente
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |
Maritimo
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |
Moreirense
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |
Famalicao
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 |
| 14 |
Vitória SC
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 |
| 16 |
Rio Ave
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |
Casa Pia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |
Estoril
|
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 |
Rio Ave
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Sotiris Sylaidopoulos
99
Gouw
17
Vrousai
39
Mancha
23
Petrasso
54
Liavas
5
Ndoj
44
Nikitscher
77
Špikić
11
Blesa
7
Bezerra
9
Monteiro
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Ennio Van Der Gouw | G |
| 54 | Georgios Liavas | D |
| 23 | Francisco Petrasso | D |
| 39 | Gustavo Mancha | D |
| 17 | Marios Vrousai | D |
| 44 | Tamás Nikitscher | M |
| 5 | Andreas Ndoj | M |
| 7 | Diogo Bezerra | M |
| 11 | Jalen Blesa | M |
| 77 | Dario Špikić | M |
| 9 | Tamblé Monteiro | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Kevin Chamorro | G |
| 14 | Jakub Brabec | D |
| 60 | Caike | D |
| 20 | João Tomé | D |
| 24 | Pedro Amaral | D |
| 70 | Antoine Wenck | M |
| 25 | Rafael Lobato | F |
| 79 | Miguel Patricio | F |
| 19 | Malik Sellouki | M |
| 30 | Roland Galčík | F |
| 27 | Tobias Medina | M |
| 67 | Samuel da Silva Alves | F |
Sporting CP
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Rui Borges
1
Silva
20
Araújo
25
Inácio
6
Debast
22
Fresneda
77
Doumbia
5
Altimira
58
Gonçalves
17
Zalazar
10
Catamo
97
Suárez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rui Silva | G |
| 22 | Iván Fresneda | D |
| 6 | Zeno Debast | D |
| 25 | Gonçalo Inácio | D |
| 20 | Maximiliano Araújo | D |
| 5 | Sergi Altimira | M |
| 77 | Issa Doumbia | M |
| 10 | Geny Catamo | M |
| 17 | Rodrigo Zalazar | M |
| 58 | Flávio Gonçalves | M |
| 97 | Luis Javier Suárez | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | Diego Callai | G |
| 55 | Ibrahima Ba | D |
| 13 | Georgios Vagiannidis | D |
| 72 | Eduardo Quaresma | D |
| 50 | Rodrigo Dias | D |
| 21 | Pedro Lima | M |
| 4 | Silas Andersen | M |
| 31 | Luís Guilherme | F |
| 19 | Nestory Irankunda | F |
| 9 | Rafael Nel | F |
| 28 | Jesse Derry | F |
| 7 | Fotis Ioannidis | F |