Lens vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

06 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Strasbourg

Away

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

AI call Difficult Lens win or draw

51%

27%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lens vs Strasbourg prediction: Sportiko gives Lens a 51% chance of winning, Strasbourg 21% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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74% 72% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Lens

LDWLL

Strasbourg

LDWWL

Last 3 meetings Lens · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lens will host Strasbourg in a match that could be crucial for both teams' aspirations. Lens has demonstrated strong home form, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match at home this season, coupled with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.9 goals per game. Strasbourg, on the other hand, has struggled away, averaging just 1.2 goals scored while conceding 1.5. The matchup will likely hinge on Lens' ability to capitalize on their home advantage while containing Strasbourg's counter-attacks. Expect a tactical battle where Lens aims to control possession and create scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Strasbourg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	10	13	6	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Lens goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

Strasbourg

Gessime Yassine 2 gls

S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	5.3%	3.5%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.0%	13.1%	5.8%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.7%	9.8%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	5.5%	5.5%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.3%	2.3%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lens	Draw	Strasbourg
Lens	34.6%	4.6%	1.5%
Draw	16.2%	16.9%	8.8%
Strasbourg	2.0%	3.7%	11.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lens vs Strasbourg

1 Lens Wins

1 Draws

1 Strasbourg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Strasbourg	2 - 1	Lens
27 Feb 2026	Strasbourg	1 - 1	Lens
22 Nov 2025	Lens	1 - 0	Strasbourg

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Paris FC	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Monaco	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Estac Troyes	W	2 - 6
29 Aug	H Lens	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Marseille	L	4 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.