Le Mans vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

30 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Nice

Away

Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

AI call Le Mans to win or draw

67%

22%

10%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Le Mans vs Nice prediction: Sportiko gives Le Mans a 67% chance of winning, Nice 10% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Le Mans

WDDLD

Nice

WLDLD

Last 1 meetings Le Mans · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Le Mans faces Nice in an intriguing Ligue 1 matchup. Le Mans will aim to leverage their attacking play, having scored an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while Nice's defense has been solid, conceding only 0.9 goals per game. The key battle will be in midfield, where Le Mans needs to control possession to create scoring opportunities. Conversely, Nice will look to exploit counter-attacks, given their pace on the wings. This clash could hinge on Le Mans’ ability to break through Nice's organized back line.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nice goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	2
1	13	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Le Mans goals · most likely 2–0 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

Nice

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	3.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
1	12.7%	10.6%	3.1%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.1%	9.4%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
3	9.5%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.8%	3.2%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Mans	Draw	Nice
Le Mans	45.8%	3.1%	0.7%
Draw	21.0%	14.5%	4.7%
Nice	2.1%	2.8%	5.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Mans vs Nice

0 Le Mans Wins

1 Draws

0 Nice Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	Nice	1 - 1	Le Mans

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Auxerre	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Paris FC	L	3 - 0
22 Aug	H Lorient	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.