Nice vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

16 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Le Havre

Away

Allianz Riviera, Nice

AI call Le Havre or draw

28%

35%

36%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nice vs Le Havre prediction: Sportiko gives Nice a 28% chance of winning, Le Havre 36% and the draw 35%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:0 · 16.6%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

30%

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Nice

WLDLD

Le Havre

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings Nice · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Nice will face Le Havre. Nice has shown strong form at home, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game this season, while Le Havre has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Both teams have contrasting styles; Nice tends to dominate possession, averaging 58%, whereas Le Havre relies more on counter-attacks. This match will be crucial for both sides as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Expect Nice to leverage their attacking prowess against Le Havre's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

45%

Draw

35%

45%

Away

36%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Havre goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	17	14	8	3	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	6	6	3	1
3	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Nice goals · most likely 0–0 (16.6%)

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Players in form

Nice

No scorer data.

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Draw

35%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Draw

35%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

56% Away (No Draw) 44% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 35% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

41%

1.5

59%

70%

2.5

30%

87%

3.5

13%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

55% Even Total Goals 45% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.6%	13.5%	7.9%	2.7%	0.7%
1	11.3%	15.2%	6.9%	2.4%	0.6%
2	5.7%	5.9%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
3	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

78%

1.5

22%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

44%

34%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nice	Draw	Le Havre
Nice	15.5%	3.7%	1.3%
Draw	12.8%	25.1%	14.9%
Le Havre	1.2%	4.1%	21.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nice vs Le Havre

1 Nice Wins

1 Draws

1 Le Havre Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Nice	1 - 1	Le Havre
31 Aug 2025	Le Havre	3 - 1	Nice
16 Feb 2025	Le Havre	1 - 3	Nice

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Auxerre	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Paris FC	L	3 - 0
22 Aug	H Lorient	D	0 - 0

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.