Monaco vs Marseille Prediction
Stade Louis-II, Monaco
AI call
Monaco or draw
40%
26%
34%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Monaco vs Marseille prediction: Sportiko gives Monaco a 40% chance of winning, Marseille 34% and the draw 26%. Last updated 30 Aug 2026, 20:42.
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Timeline
Paris Brunner
assist: Aleksandr Golovin
13'
⚽
1–0
Denis Zakaria
Yellow Card
42'
▮
Lamine Camara
Yellow Card
43'
▮
HT 1–0
⇄
46'
Himad Abdelli
⇄ Tochukwu Nnadi
⇄
46'
Q. Timber
⇄ Keyliane Abdallah
Paris Brunner
assist: Eric Dier
54'
⚽
2–0
⇄
59'
Geoffrey Kondogbia
⇄ Nayef Aguerd
⇄
74'
Tochukwu Nnadi
⇄ Neal Maupay
Aleksandr Golovin
⇄ Matthis Abline
82'
⇄
Mamadou Coulibaly
⇄ Anis Soubeir
82'
⇄
Paris Brunner
⇄ Mika Biereth
82'
⇄
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo
⇄ Mathys Detourbet
85'
⇄
⇄
85'
Angel Gomes
⇄ Faris Moumbagna
Nazinho
Yellow Card
89'
▮
Lukáš Hrádecký
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
FT 2–0
Monaco
Match Stats
Marseille
35%
Ball Possession
65%
1.49
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
11
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots off Goal
6
2
Blocked Shots
4
7
Shots insidebox
7
4
Shots outsidebox
6
5
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
10
4
Yellow Cards
0
Red Cards
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
354
Total passes
647
308
Passes accurate
591
87%
Passes %
91%
0.81
goals_prevented
0.81
Monaco
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Paris Brunner F | 9.2 | 81' | 2 | – | 4 | 13 (10%) | 3 |
| 2 Vanderson D | 7.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | 3 |
| 8 Lamine Camara M | 7.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 53 (50%) | 4 |
| 17 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo M | 7.5 | 85' | – | – | 3 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 15 Eric Dier D | 7.5 | 94' | – | 1 | 1 | 38 (36%) | – |
| 28 Mamadou Coulibaly M | 7.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | 2 |
| 72 Sadibou Sané D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 43 (41%) | 1 |
| 10 Aleksandr Golovin M | 7.2 | 81' | – | 1 | – | 19 (17%) | – |
| 1 Lukáš Hrádecký G | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 25 (14%) | – |
| 11 Matthis Abline F | 6.7 | 13' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 7 Mathys Detourbet F | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 20 Nazinho D | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 3 |
| 14 Mika Biereth F | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 6 Denis Zakaria M | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 38 (35%) | – |
| 46 Anis Soubeir M | 6.3 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Marseille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jeffrey de Lange G | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | – |
| 4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 81 (78%) | 1 |
| 23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 83 (78%) | 3 |
| 77 Amine Harit M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 52 (43%) | 1 |
| 21 Nayef Aguerd D | 6.9 | 36' | – | – | – | 29 (28%) | 1 |
| 8 Himad Abdelli M | 6.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 32 (31%) | – |
| 22 Tim Weah D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | 2 | 65 (60%) | 3 |
| 33 Emerson Palmieri D | 6.6 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 61 (56%) | 2 |
| 6 Tochukwu Nnadi M | 6.6 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | 2 |
| 7 Angel Gomes M | 6.5 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 47 (42%) | 2 |
| 48 Keyliane Abdallah F | 6.3 | 49' | – | – | 2 | 24 (21%) | – |
| 9 Amine Gouiri F | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 37 (32%) | – |
| 27 Q. Timber M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 13 (10%) | – |
| 11 Neal Maupay F | 6.2 | 21' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 19 Geoffrey Kondogbia D | 6.2 | 58' | – | – | – | 49 (47%) | 2 |
| 29 Faris Moumbagna F | 6.2 | 9' | – | – | – | – | – |
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Confidence
Low (40%)
At a glance
Our lean
Monaco or draw
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Monaco
WDWWW
Marseille
LLLLL
Last 3 meetings
Monaco · 2W 0D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Monaco will face off against Marseille. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Monaco averaging 1.8 goals per match this season while Marseille follows closely at 1.6. Monaco's defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding 1.2 goals per match, which could be exploited by Marseille’s attacking prowess, led by their top scorer. This match is likely to be tightly contested, with both teams looking to secure crucial points early in the season.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
40%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
34%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Monaco
Paris Josua Brunner
4 gls
Marseille
A. Gouiri
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Monaco vs Marseille
2
Monaco Wins
0
Draws
1
Marseille Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2026 | Monaco | 2 - 1 | Marseille |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Marseille | 1 - 0 | Monaco |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Monaco | 3 - 0 | Marseille |
Monaco — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Lens | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Strasbourg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Paris Saint Germain | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Marseille | W | 2 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | H Gornik Zabrze | W | 4 - 1 |
Marseille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Paris Saint Germain | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Sep | A Beşiktaş | L | 4 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Rennes | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Paris FC | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Monaco | L | 2 - 0 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Marseille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Bruno Genesio
12
Lange
33
Emerson
19
Kondogbia
4
Egan-Riley
22
Weah
23
Højbjerg
8
Abdelli
27
Timber
7
Gomes
77
Harit
9
Gouiri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jeffrey De Lange | G |
| 22 | Timothy Weah | D |
| 4 | Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley | D |
| 19 | Geoffrey Kondogbia | D |
| 33 | Emerson | D |
| 8 | Himad Abdelli | M |
| 23 | Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | M |
| 77 | Amine Harit | M |
| 7 | Angel Gomes | M |
| 27 | Quinten Timber | M |
| 9 | Amine Gouiri | F |
Substitutes
| 92 | Théo Vermot | G |
| 13 | Derek Cornelius | D |
| 25 | Ulisses Garcia | D |
| 21 | Nayef Aguerd | D |
| 48 | Keyliane Abdallah | F |
| 6 | Tochukwu Nnadi | M |
| 43 | Tadjidine Mmadi | F |
| 11 | Neal Maupay | F |
| 29 | Faris Moumbagna | F |
Monaco
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Filipe Luís
1
Hrádecký
20
Nazinho
15
Dier
72
Sané
2
Vanderson
6
Zakaria
8
Camara
17
Muzambo
10
Golovin
28
Coulibaly
29
Brunner
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lukáš Hrádecký | G |
| 2 | Vanderson | D |
| 72 | Sadibou Sané | D |
| 15 | Eric Dier | D |
| 20 | Nazinho | D |
| 8 | Lamine Camara | M |
| 6 | Denis Zakaria | M |
| 28 | Mamadou Coulibaly | M |
| 10 | Aleksandr Golovin | M |
| 17 | Stanis Idumbo Muzambo | M |
| 29 | Paris Brunner | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | Philipp Köhn | G |
| 4 | Jordan Teze | D |
| 5 | Thilo Kehrer | D |
| 13 | Christian Mawissa | D |
| 7 | Mathys Detourbet | F |
| 46 | Anis Soubeir | M |
| 14 | Mika Biereth | F |
| 11 | Matthis Abline | F |
| 47 | Safouane Benzahra | M |