Lecce vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

07 Feb 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Napoli

Away

AI call Napoli or draw

33%

35%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lecce vs Napoli prediction: Sportiko gives Lecce a 33% chance of winning, Napoli 35% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Lecce

LWLLW

Napoli

DWLLL

Last 3 meetings Lecce · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Lecce faces Napoli in a crucial Serie A matchup with both teams having distinct strengths. Lecce has shown resilience at home, with an average of 1.5 goals scored per match this season, but they struggle defensively, conceding nearly 1.7 goals per game. Napoli, on the other hand, boasts a solid attacking line, averaging 2.2 goals per match, and a tighter defense allowing just 1.1 goals against. The outcome may hinge on Lecce's ability to contain Napoli's dynamic forward play while capitalizing on any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Napoli goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	11	7	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2
3	2	3	1	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Lecce goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

Napoli

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Home Win

33%

Draw

33%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Home Win

33%

Draw

33%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

51% Away (No Draw) 49% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	10.6%	7.0%	2.6%	0.7%
1	10.1%	15.2%	7.6%	2.9%	0.8%
2	6.5%	7.3%	4.1%	1.6%	0.4%
3	2.4%	2.7%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lecce	Draw	Napoli
Lecce	19.0%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	13.3%	21.8%	13.9%
Napoli	1.6%	4.3%	20.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lecce vs Napoli

0 Lecce Wins

0 Draws

3 Napoli Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Napoli	2 - 1	Lecce
28 Oct 2025	Lecce	0 - 1	Napoli
03 May 2025	Lecce	0 - 1	Napoli

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Napoli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fiorentina	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter	L	3 - 2
30 Aug	H Como	L	1 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.