Genoa vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

31 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Lecce

Away

AI call Difficult Genoa win or draw

59%

28%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Genoa vs Lecce prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 59% chance of winning, Lecce 12% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 17.4%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Genoa

LWDLL

Lecce

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Genoa · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Genoa hosts Lecce in a Serie A clash that could be pivotal for both teams. Genoa has shown a solid defensive record at home, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match this season. Meanwhile, Lecce has struggled on the road, with just one win in their last five away games. The contrasting form could play a significant role in this matchup, as Genoa aims to capitalize on their defensive solidity while Lecce will look to break their away drought. Key to watch will be Genoa's ability to neutralize Lecce's attacking threats, particularly in the midfield battle.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lecce goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	6	2
1	17	12	3	1
2	14	8	2
3	7	4	1
4	3	2
5	1

↑ Genoa goals · most likely 1–0 (17.4%)

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Players in form

Genoa

No scorer data.

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

28%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

28%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

83% Home (No Draw) 17% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.7%	5.6%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
1	17.4%	12.1%	3.1%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.4%	8.2%	2.3%	0.4%	0.1%
3	7.4%	4.2%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.8%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genoa	Draw	Lecce
Genoa	37.1%	3.0%	0.5%
Draw	21.7%	20.3%	5.7%
Lecce	1.7%	3.1%	6.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Genoa vs Lecce

1 Genoa Wins

1 Draws

1 Lecce Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2026	Lecce	1 - 0	Genoa
23 Aug 2025	Genoa	0 - 0	Lecce
14 Mar 2025	Genoa	2 - 1	Lecce

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.